Modeling variability of infiltration tests in ephemeral stream beds as a random function for uncertainty quantification

Abstract Infiltration processes are highly variable in space and time, and therefore, building reliable hydrological models without considering the variability is questionable. In this research, we propose a methodology that can systematically handle the variability in the infiltration process. The...

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Main Authors: Burhan Niyazi, Milad Masoud, Amro Elfeki, Natarajan Rajmohan, Abdulaziz Alqarawy, Mohamed Rashed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2023-02-01
Series:Applied Water Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-023-01870-0
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author Burhan Niyazi
Milad Masoud
Amro Elfeki
Natarajan Rajmohan
Abdulaziz Alqarawy
Mohamed Rashed
author_facet Burhan Niyazi
Milad Masoud
Amro Elfeki
Natarajan Rajmohan
Abdulaziz Alqarawy
Mohamed Rashed
author_sort Burhan Niyazi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Infiltration processes are highly variable in space and time, and therefore, building reliable hydrological models without considering the variability is questionable. In this research, we propose a methodology that can systematically handle the variability in the infiltration process. The methodology is based on the theory of random functions in a dimensionless formalism that allows the derivation of a generalized model from the observed infiltration test data. The Monte Carlo technique is utilized to generate hypothetical infiltration tests that carputer the characteristics of the real tests. The methodology is applied to a case study in ephemeral stream beds located in Al Madinah Al Munawarah Province in Saudi Arabia. The measurements are made by the double-ring infiltrometer. Beta distribution fits the dimensionless cumulative infiltration relatively well at a 1% significant level at all times, and therefore, it can be used to model the uncertainty in hydrological modeling. High variability is observed in infiltration tests at the early time (a platykurtic distribution with high dispersion); however, it decreases at the late time (Leptokurtic distribution with low dispersion) since the infiltration reaches a steady infiltration. Some extreme tests show different behavior from the fourteen tests that cannot be captured by the model and therefore need special treatment.
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spelling doaj.art-e5db8fbe02bb4d4381aa8e4c06ba49ec2023-03-22T12:01:40ZengSpringerOpenApplied Water Science2190-54872190-54952023-02-0113311410.1007/s13201-023-01870-0Modeling variability of infiltration tests in ephemeral stream beds as a random function for uncertainty quantificationBurhan Niyazi0Milad Masoud1Amro Elfeki2Natarajan Rajmohan3Abdulaziz Alqarawy4Mohamed Rashed5Water Research Center, King Abdulaziz UniversityWater Research Center, King Abdulaziz UniversityFaculty of Meteorology, Environment and Arid Land Agriculture, King Abdulaziz UniversityWater Research Center, King Abdulaziz UniversityWater Research Center, King Abdulaziz UniversityWater Research Center, King Abdulaziz UniversityAbstract Infiltration processes are highly variable in space and time, and therefore, building reliable hydrological models without considering the variability is questionable. In this research, we propose a methodology that can systematically handle the variability in the infiltration process. The methodology is based on the theory of random functions in a dimensionless formalism that allows the derivation of a generalized model from the observed infiltration test data. The Monte Carlo technique is utilized to generate hypothetical infiltration tests that carputer the characteristics of the real tests. The methodology is applied to a case study in ephemeral stream beds located in Al Madinah Al Munawarah Province in Saudi Arabia. The measurements are made by the double-ring infiltrometer. Beta distribution fits the dimensionless cumulative infiltration relatively well at a 1% significant level at all times, and therefore, it can be used to model the uncertainty in hydrological modeling. High variability is observed in infiltration tests at the early time (a platykurtic distribution with high dispersion); however, it decreases at the late time (Leptokurtic distribution with low dispersion) since the infiltration reaches a steady infiltration. Some extreme tests show different behavior from the fourteen tests that cannot be captured by the model and therefore need special treatment.https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-023-01870-0Infiltration testsMonte Carlo methodBeta distributionDimensionless curvesAl Madinah Al MunawarahSaudi Arabia
spellingShingle Burhan Niyazi
Milad Masoud
Amro Elfeki
Natarajan Rajmohan
Abdulaziz Alqarawy
Mohamed Rashed
Modeling variability of infiltration tests in ephemeral stream beds as a random function for uncertainty quantification
Applied Water Science
Infiltration tests
Monte Carlo method
Beta distribution
Dimensionless curves
Al Madinah Al Munawarah
Saudi Arabia
title Modeling variability of infiltration tests in ephemeral stream beds as a random function for uncertainty quantification
title_full Modeling variability of infiltration tests in ephemeral stream beds as a random function for uncertainty quantification
title_fullStr Modeling variability of infiltration tests in ephemeral stream beds as a random function for uncertainty quantification
title_full_unstemmed Modeling variability of infiltration tests in ephemeral stream beds as a random function for uncertainty quantification
title_short Modeling variability of infiltration tests in ephemeral stream beds as a random function for uncertainty quantification
title_sort modeling variability of infiltration tests in ephemeral stream beds as a random function for uncertainty quantification
topic Infiltration tests
Monte Carlo method
Beta distribution
Dimensionless curves
Al Madinah Al Munawarah
Saudi Arabia
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-023-01870-0
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