Opyt razrabotki i primenenija balansovoj modeli upravlenija regional'nym razvitiem v specificheskih territorial'nyh uslovijah

In this article the authors detail the methodology of regional development forecasting with the balance method. They provide with an overview and assessment of the existing models and systems, and their use for the purposes of public administration at the regional level. The article underlines the n...

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Main Authors: Voloshenko K., Kuznetsova A.
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Immanuel Kant Baltic Federal University 2014-08-01
Series:Балтийский регион
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journals.kantiana.ru/upload/iblock/1de/Voloshenko,%20Ksenia,%20Kuznetsova,%20Anastasiya._7-26.pdf
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author Voloshenko K.
Kuznetsova A.
author_facet Voloshenko K.
Kuznetsova A.
author_sort Voloshenko K.
collection DOAJ
description In this article the authors detail the methodology of regional development forecasting with the balance method. They provide with an overview and assessment of the existing models and systems, and their use for the purposes of public administration at the regional level. The article underlines the need to develop a balance approach models for specific territorial conditions. In particular, the authors identify the possibilities of studying the connections between the proportions of material and cash flows within the regional system, and reconciling the needs of a regional economy with the production and resource potentials. The long-term sustainability balance model – a simulation of event-based forecasting – has been developed for the Russian exclave. The authors provide a general description of the balance model, its elements and simulation algorithm. The results of calculations using the balance model for forecasting regional development are provided for three alternative scenarios for the Kaliningrad region for the period until 2018.
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spelling doaj.art-e5dee6651c5e44e9b8b96352c08bf2612023-01-02T16:13:54ZrusImmanuel Kant Baltic Federal UniversityБалтийский регион2074-98482014-08-01372610.5922/2074-9848-2014-3-1Opyt razrabotki i primenenija balansovoj modeli upravlenija regional'nym razvitiem v specificheskih territorial'nyh uslovijahVoloshenko K.Kuznetsova A.In this article the authors detail the methodology of regional development forecasting with the balance method. They provide with an overview and assessment of the existing models and systems, and their use for the purposes of public administration at the regional level. The article underlines the need to develop a balance approach models for specific territorial conditions. In particular, the authors identify the possibilities of studying the connections between the proportions of material and cash flows within the regional system, and reconciling the needs of a regional economy with the production and resource potentials. The long-term sustainability balance model – a simulation of event-based forecasting – has been developed for the Russian exclave. The authors provide a general description of the balance model, its elements and simulation algorithm. The results of calculations using the balance model for forecasting regional development are provided for three alternative scenarios for the Kaliningrad region for the period until 2018.http://journals.kantiana.ru/upload/iblock/1de/Voloshenko,%20Ksenia,%20Kuznetsova,%20Anastasiya._7-26.pdfregional developmentforecastingexclavebalance model
spellingShingle Voloshenko K.
Kuznetsova A.
Opyt razrabotki i primenenija balansovoj modeli upravlenija regional'nym razvitiem v specificheskih territorial'nyh uslovijah
Балтийский регион
regional development
forecasting
exclave
balance model
title Opyt razrabotki i primenenija balansovoj modeli upravlenija regional'nym razvitiem v specificheskih territorial'nyh uslovijah
title_full Opyt razrabotki i primenenija balansovoj modeli upravlenija regional'nym razvitiem v specificheskih territorial'nyh uslovijah
title_fullStr Opyt razrabotki i primenenija balansovoj modeli upravlenija regional'nym razvitiem v specificheskih territorial'nyh uslovijah
title_full_unstemmed Opyt razrabotki i primenenija balansovoj modeli upravlenija regional'nym razvitiem v specificheskih territorial'nyh uslovijah
title_short Opyt razrabotki i primenenija balansovoj modeli upravlenija regional'nym razvitiem v specificheskih territorial'nyh uslovijah
title_sort opyt razrabotki i primenenija balansovoj modeli upravlenija regional nym razvitiem v specificheskih territorial nyh uslovijah
topic regional development
forecasting
exclave
balance model
url http://journals.kantiana.ru/upload/iblock/1de/Voloshenko,%20Ksenia,%20Kuznetsova,%20Anastasiya._7-26.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT voloshenkok opytrazrabotkiiprimenenijabalansovojmodeliupravlenijaregionalnymrazvitiemvspecificheskihterritorialnyhuslovijah
AT kuznetsovaa opytrazrabotkiiprimenenijabalansovojmodeliupravlenijaregionalnymrazvitiemvspecificheskihterritorialnyhuslovijah