Relevância de Prêmio por Risco País no Custo de Capital das Empresas

A common practice in business valuation and the determination of fair rates of return by regulatory agencies is to use the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) with the ad hoc addition of a country risk premium. The present paper documents this practice in the valuation reports required in public ac...

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Main Author: Antonio Zoratto Sanvicente
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Associação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração (ANPAD) 2015-05-01
Series:RAC: Revista de Administração Contemporânea
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1982-7849rac2015140097
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author Antonio Zoratto Sanvicente
author_facet Antonio Zoratto Sanvicente
author_sort Antonio Zoratto Sanvicente
collection DOAJ
description A common practice in business valuation and the determination of fair rates of return by regulatory agencies is to use the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) with the ad hoc addition of a country risk premium. The present paper documents this practice in the valuation reports required in public acquisition offers available on the CVM (Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission) website. Multiple linear regression is used with monthly returns for stock shares of 204 firms listed on the BM&FBovespa (Brazilian Stock Exchange). The period covered is from January 2009 to December 2013, and the results indicate that there is a premium for Brazilian risk that is not completely reflected in Ibovespa returns for only 17 securities. Hence, if one uses the local market index when estimating a firm’s cost of equity, it would be both redundant and incorrect to add a country risk premium. The paper concludes with a real company example in which the adoption of the conventional approach – with a country risk premium added – would lead to a 17% pricing error.
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spelling doaj.art-e5fbc8a66e584ff28595569e4ebaf8b52023-08-02T06:26:20ZengAssociação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração (ANPAD)RAC: Revista de Administração Contemporânea1415-65551982-78492015-05-0119Special3852Relevância de Prêmio por Risco País no Custo de Capital das EmpresasAntonio Zoratto Sanvicente0Fundação Getulio Vargas – FGVA common practice in business valuation and the determination of fair rates of return by regulatory agencies is to use the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) with the ad hoc addition of a country risk premium. The present paper documents this practice in the valuation reports required in public acquisition offers available on the CVM (Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission) website. Multiple linear regression is used with monthly returns for stock shares of 204 firms listed on the BM&FBovespa (Brazilian Stock Exchange). The period covered is from January 2009 to December 2013, and the results indicate that there is a premium for Brazilian risk that is not completely reflected in Ibovespa returns for only 17 securities. Hence, if one uses the local market index when estimating a firm’s cost of equity, it would be both redundant and incorrect to add a country risk premium. The paper concludes with a real company example in which the adoption of the conventional approach – with a country risk premium added – would lead to a 17% pricing error.http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1982-7849rac2015140097country risk premium; cost of equity; stock valuation; fair rates of return.
spellingShingle Antonio Zoratto Sanvicente
Relevância de Prêmio por Risco País no Custo de Capital das Empresas
RAC: Revista de Administração Contemporânea
country risk premium; cost of equity; stock valuation; fair rates of return.
title Relevância de Prêmio por Risco País no Custo de Capital das Empresas
title_full Relevância de Prêmio por Risco País no Custo de Capital das Empresas
title_fullStr Relevância de Prêmio por Risco País no Custo de Capital das Empresas
title_full_unstemmed Relevância de Prêmio por Risco País no Custo de Capital das Empresas
title_short Relevância de Prêmio por Risco País no Custo de Capital das Empresas
title_sort relevancia de premio por risco pais no custo de capital das empresas
topic country risk premium; cost of equity; stock valuation; fair rates of return.
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1982-7849rac2015140097
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