Identifying inter-seasonal drought characteristics using binary outcome panel data models

This study mainly focuses on spatiotemporal and inter-seasonal meteorological drought characteristics. Random Effect Logistic Regression Model (RELRM) and Conditional Fixed Effect Logistic Regression Model (CFELRM) are used to identify the spatiotemporal and inter-seasonal characteristics of meteoro...

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Main Authors: Rizwan Niaz, Anwar Hussain, Mohammed M. A. Almazah, Ijaz Hussain, Zulfiqar Ali, A. Y. Al-Rezami
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-12-01
Series:Geocarto International
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2023.2178527
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author Rizwan Niaz
Anwar Hussain
Mohammed M. A. Almazah
Ijaz Hussain
Zulfiqar Ali
A. Y. Al-Rezami
author_facet Rizwan Niaz
Anwar Hussain
Mohammed M. A. Almazah
Ijaz Hussain
Zulfiqar Ali
A. Y. Al-Rezami
author_sort Rizwan Niaz
collection DOAJ
description This study mainly focuses on spatiotemporal and inter-seasonal meteorological drought characteristics. Random Effect Logistic Regression Model (RELRM) and Conditional Fixed Effect Logistic Regression Model (CFELRM) are used to identify the spatiotemporal and inter-seasonal characteristics of meteorological drought in selected stations. The log-likelihood Ratio Chi-Square (LRCST) and Wald chi-square tests (WCTs) are used to assess the significance of RELRM and CFELRM. The Hausman test (HT) is applied to select the appropriate model between RELRM and CFELRM. For instance, HT suggests the CFELRM as an appropriate model in spring-to-summer spatiotemporal drought modelling. The significant coefficient from CFELRM indicates that an increment in moisture conditions of the spring season will decrease the probability of drought in the summer. The odds ratio of 0.1942 means that 19.42% chance of being in a higher category. Similarly, in summer-to-autumn using RELRM the computed odds ratio of 0.0673 shows that 6.73% chance of being in a higher category.
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spelling doaj.art-e611f4748a60448c8d2489e92c0bdcee2023-09-19T09:13:17ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeocarto International1010-60491752-07622023-12-0138110.1080/10106049.2023.21785272178527Identifying inter-seasonal drought characteristics using binary outcome panel data modelsRizwan Niaz0Anwar Hussain1Mohammed M. A. Almazah2Ijaz Hussain3Zulfiqar Ali4A. Y. Al-Rezami5Department of Statistics, Quaid-I-Azam UniversityDepartment of Statistics, Quaid-I-Azam UniversityDepartment of Mathematics, College of Sciences and Arts (Muhyil), King Khalid UniversityDepartment of Statistics, Quaid-I-Azam UniversityCollege of Statistical Sciences, University of the PunjabMathematics Department, Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz UniversityThis study mainly focuses on spatiotemporal and inter-seasonal meteorological drought characteristics. Random Effect Logistic Regression Model (RELRM) and Conditional Fixed Effect Logistic Regression Model (CFELRM) are used to identify the spatiotemporal and inter-seasonal characteristics of meteorological drought in selected stations. The log-likelihood Ratio Chi-Square (LRCST) and Wald chi-square tests (WCTs) are used to assess the significance of RELRM and CFELRM. The Hausman test (HT) is applied to select the appropriate model between RELRM and CFELRM. For instance, HT suggests the CFELRM as an appropriate model in spring-to-summer spatiotemporal drought modelling. The significant coefficient from CFELRM indicates that an increment in moisture conditions of the spring season will decrease the probability of drought in the summer. The odds ratio of 0.1942 means that 19.42% chance of being in a higher category. Similarly, in summer-to-autumn using RELRM the computed odds ratio of 0.0673 shows that 6.73% chance of being in a higher category.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2023.2178527standardized drought indicesmeteorological droughtdrought persistenceconditional fixed effect logistic regression modelrandom effect logistics model
spellingShingle Rizwan Niaz
Anwar Hussain
Mohammed M. A. Almazah
Ijaz Hussain
Zulfiqar Ali
A. Y. Al-Rezami
Identifying inter-seasonal drought characteristics using binary outcome panel data models
Geocarto International
standardized drought indices
meteorological drought
drought persistence
conditional fixed effect logistic regression model
random effect logistics model
title Identifying inter-seasonal drought characteristics using binary outcome panel data models
title_full Identifying inter-seasonal drought characteristics using binary outcome panel data models
title_fullStr Identifying inter-seasonal drought characteristics using binary outcome panel data models
title_full_unstemmed Identifying inter-seasonal drought characteristics using binary outcome panel data models
title_short Identifying inter-seasonal drought characteristics using binary outcome panel data models
title_sort identifying inter seasonal drought characteristics using binary outcome panel data models
topic standardized drought indices
meteorological drought
drought persistence
conditional fixed effect logistic regression model
random effect logistics model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2023.2178527
work_keys_str_mv AT rizwanniaz identifyinginterseasonaldroughtcharacteristicsusingbinaryoutcomepaneldatamodels
AT anwarhussain identifyinginterseasonaldroughtcharacteristicsusingbinaryoutcomepaneldatamodels
AT mohammedmaalmazah identifyinginterseasonaldroughtcharacteristicsusingbinaryoutcomepaneldatamodels
AT ijazhussain identifyinginterseasonaldroughtcharacteristicsusingbinaryoutcomepaneldatamodels
AT zulfiqarali identifyinginterseasonaldroughtcharacteristicsusingbinaryoutcomepaneldatamodels
AT ayalrezami identifyinginterseasonaldroughtcharacteristicsusingbinaryoutcomepaneldatamodels