Recent Decadal Weakening of the Summertime Rainfall Interannual Variability Over Yellow-Huaihe River Valley Attributable to the Western Pacific Cooling

This study focuses on the interdecadal transition of summer rainfall interannual variability over the Yellow-Huaihe River valley (YHRV). It is found that the interannual variability of summer rainfall over the YHRV becomes significantly weakened after the late 2000s. In the decade before the late 20...

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Main Authors: Wei Lu, Yimin Zhu, Yao Ha, Zhong Zhong, Yijia Hu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Earth Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2022.946252/full
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author Wei Lu
Yimin Zhu
Yimin Zhu
Yao Ha
Yao Ha
Zhong Zhong
Zhong Zhong
Yijia Hu
author_facet Wei Lu
Yimin Zhu
Yimin Zhu
Yao Ha
Yao Ha
Zhong Zhong
Zhong Zhong
Yijia Hu
author_sort Wei Lu
collection DOAJ
description This study focuses on the interdecadal transition of summer rainfall interannual variability over the Yellow-Huaihe River valley (YHRV). It is found that the interannual variability of summer rainfall over the YHRV becomes significantly weakened after the late 2000s. In the decade before the late 2000s (hereafter P1), the variance is 1.28 mm d−1 and the mean value of interannual variability is 1.49 mm d−1. In the decade after the late 2000s (P2), the variance is 0.35 mm d−1 and the mean value of interannual variability is 0.62 mm d−1. The variance and mean value of summer rainfall interannual variability have considerably decreased by 72.7% and 58.4% since the late 2000s, respectively. The reasons for the aforementioned interdecadal transition are explored. The results show that the interdecadal shift of the East Asian jet stream axis and the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) are two major factors leading to the interdecadal transition of summer rainfall interannual variability over the YHRV. The northward shift of the jet stream axis, which resembles the Pacific-Japan (PJ) pattern, suppresses the development of summer rainfall over the YHRV. The interannual oscillation of WPSH in P1 is more significant than that in P2, which is consistent with the weakened interannual variability of summer rainfall in P2. Further analysis reveals that the modulation factors responsible for the above changes are El Niño in its decaying phase in the equatorial central eastern Pacific and the warming in the Maritime continent and the western Pacific (WP) in P1. While in P2, the primary modulation factor is La Niña in its developing phase in the equatorial central eastern Pacific. As for the mechanism of the growth of summer rainfall in P1 positive years, the WP warm pool and El Niño in its decaying phase strengthen the Walker circulation in the tropical Pacific and induce Hadley circulation, whose ascending branch over the YHRV provides a favorable condition for the development of rainfall. At the same time, the northward propagation of Rossby waves in response to the above SSTA pattern suppresses convective activities over the Northwestern Pacific (NWP), which indirectly intensifies the WPSH. As a result, the PJ pattern is triggered and provides a favorable large-scale circulation condition for the growth of rainfall.
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spelling doaj.art-e6362582abcd460bb6bbafb5436e17672022-12-22T01:20:03ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Earth Science2296-64632022-07-011010.3389/feart.2022.946252946252Recent Decadal Weakening of the Summertime Rainfall Interannual Variability Over Yellow-Huaihe River Valley Attributable to the Western Pacific CoolingWei Lu0Yimin Zhu1Yimin Zhu2Yao Ha3Yao Ha4Zhong Zhong5Zhong Zhong6Yijia Hu7College of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, ChinaJiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Climate Change and School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, ChinaJiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Climate Change and School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, ChinaJiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Climate Change and School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, ChinaThis study focuses on the interdecadal transition of summer rainfall interannual variability over the Yellow-Huaihe River valley (YHRV). It is found that the interannual variability of summer rainfall over the YHRV becomes significantly weakened after the late 2000s. In the decade before the late 2000s (hereafter P1), the variance is 1.28 mm d−1 and the mean value of interannual variability is 1.49 mm d−1. In the decade after the late 2000s (P2), the variance is 0.35 mm d−1 and the mean value of interannual variability is 0.62 mm d−1. The variance and mean value of summer rainfall interannual variability have considerably decreased by 72.7% and 58.4% since the late 2000s, respectively. The reasons for the aforementioned interdecadal transition are explored. The results show that the interdecadal shift of the East Asian jet stream axis and the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) are two major factors leading to the interdecadal transition of summer rainfall interannual variability over the YHRV. The northward shift of the jet stream axis, which resembles the Pacific-Japan (PJ) pattern, suppresses the development of summer rainfall over the YHRV. The interannual oscillation of WPSH in P1 is more significant than that in P2, which is consistent with the weakened interannual variability of summer rainfall in P2. Further analysis reveals that the modulation factors responsible for the above changes are El Niño in its decaying phase in the equatorial central eastern Pacific and the warming in the Maritime continent and the western Pacific (WP) in P1. While in P2, the primary modulation factor is La Niña in its developing phase in the equatorial central eastern Pacific. As for the mechanism of the growth of summer rainfall in P1 positive years, the WP warm pool and El Niño in its decaying phase strengthen the Walker circulation in the tropical Pacific and induce Hadley circulation, whose ascending branch over the YHRV provides a favorable condition for the development of rainfall. At the same time, the northward propagation of Rossby waves in response to the above SSTA pattern suppresses convective activities over the Northwestern Pacific (NWP), which indirectly intensifies the WPSH. As a result, the PJ pattern is triggered and provides a favorable large-scale circulation condition for the growth of rainfall.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2022.946252/fullsummer rainfallYellow-Huaihe River valleyinterannual variabilityinterdecadal transitionEl Niño decayingwestern pacific warm pool
spellingShingle Wei Lu
Yimin Zhu
Yimin Zhu
Yao Ha
Yao Ha
Zhong Zhong
Zhong Zhong
Yijia Hu
Recent Decadal Weakening of the Summertime Rainfall Interannual Variability Over Yellow-Huaihe River Valley Attributable to the Western Pacific Cooling
Frontiers in Earth Science
summer rainfall
Yellow-Huaihe River valley
interannual variability
interdecadal transition
El Niño decaying
western pacific warm pool
title Recent Decadal Weakening of the Summertime Rainfall Interannual Variability Over Yellow-Huaihe River Valley Attributable to the Western Pacific Cooling
title_full Recent Decadal Weakening of the Summertime Rainfall Interannual Variability Over Yellow-Huaihe River Valley Attributable to the Western Pacific Cooling
title_fullStr Recent Decadal Weakening of the Summertime Rainfall Interannual Variability Over Yellow-Huaihe River Valley Attributable to the Western Pacific Cooling
title_full_unstemmed Recent Decadal Weakening of the Summertime Rainfall Interannual Variability Over Yellow-Huaihe River Valley Attributable to the Western Pacific Cooling
title_short Recent Decadal Weakening of the Summertime Rainfall Interannual Variability Over Yellow-Huaihe River Valley Attributable to the Western Pacific Cooling
title_sort recent decadal weakening of the summertime rainfall interannual variability over yellow huaihe river valley attributable to the western pacific cooling
topic summer rainfall
Yellow-Huaihe River valley
interannual variability
interdecadal transition
El Niño decaying
western pacific warm pool
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2022.946252/full
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