The Influence of ENSO on the Long‐Term Water Storage Anomalies in the Middle‐Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Evaluation and Analysis
Abstract Recent extreme events in the Middle‐Lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin (MLYRB) are proven to be possibly linked to the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events as indicated by terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA). But the relatively short observation time of Gravity Recovery and...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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American Geophysical Union (AGU)
2023-10-01
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| Series: | Earth and Space Science |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EA003007 |
| _version_ | 1797648061095215104 |
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| author | Xiaolong Li Taoyong Jin Bingshi Liu Nengfang Chao Fupeng Li Zuansi Cai |
| author_facet | Xiaolong Li Taoyong Jin Bingshi Liu Nengfang Chao Fupeng Li Zuansi Cai |
| author_sort | Xiaolong Li |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Recent extreme events in the Middle‐Lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin (MLYRB) are proven to be possibly linked to the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events as indicated by terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA). But the relatively short observation time of Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment series missions (2002–2017; 2018–present) affects the robustness of the evaluation of TWSA. Here, the applicability of four long‐term TWSA data sets (since 1979) in the MLYRB is evaluated first using an evaluation framework including two completely independent tests. After selecting the optimal one, we investigate the effects of ENSO on TWSA in the MLYRB at the basin, subbasin, and grid cell scales, respectively. Results show that ENSO, especially the Eastern Pacific type ENSO has had a significant impact on TWSA variations in the MLYRB and its two subbasins (the Dongting Lake basin and the Poyang Lake basin) since 1979 with correlation coefficients at 0.56–0.65 and time lags at 5–6 months. However, TWSAs in the other two subbasins (the Hanjiang River basin and the Mainstream River basin) have almost no correlation with ENSO. Further analysis reveals that compared with human activity that has a limited impact on TWSA, precipitation is one of the key inducements for regional water storage changes in these two subbasins, and the no correlation between ENSO and TWSA is mainly caused by the weak link between ENSO and precipitation. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-11T15:25:38Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-e69a08b36ab74379b4974be61e21a023 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2333-5084 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-11T15:25:38Z |
| publishDate | 2023-10-01 |
| publisher | American Geophysical Union (AGU) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Earth and Space Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-e69a08b36ab74379b4974be61e21a0232023-10-27T17:48:33ZengAmerican Geophysical Union (AGU)Earth and Space Science2333-50842023-10-011010n/an/a10.1029/2023EA003007The Influence of ENSO on the Long‐Term Water Storage Anomalies in the Middle‐Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Evaluation and AnalysisXiaolong Li0Taoyong Jin1Bingshi Liu2Nengfang Chao3Fupeng Li4Zuansi Cai5School of Geodesy and Geomatics Hubei Luojia Laboratory Wuhan University Wuhan ChinaSchool of Geodesy and Geomatics Hubei Luojia Laboratory Wuhan University Wuhan ChinaSchool of Geodesy and Geomatics Hubei Luojia Laboratory Wuhan University Wuhan ChinaCollege of Marine Science and Technology China University of Geosciences Wuhan ChinaInstitute of Geodesy and Geoinformation University of Bonn Bonn GermanySchool of Computing, Engineering and the Built Environment Edinburgh Napier University Edinburgh UKAbstract Recent extreme events in the Middle‐Lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin (MLYRB) are proven to be possibly linked to the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events as indicated by terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA). But the relatively short observation time of Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment series missions (2002–2017; 2018–present) affects the robustness of the evaluation of TWSA. Here, the applicability of four long‐term TWSA data sets (since 1979) in the MLYRB is evaluated first using an evaluation framework including two completely independent tests. After selecting the optimal one, we investigate the effects of ENSO on TWSA in the MLYRB at the basin, subbasin, and grid cell scales, respectively. Results show that ENSO, especially the Eastern Pacific type ENSO has had a significant impact on TWSA variations in the MLYRB and its two subbasins (the Dongting Lake basin and the Poyang Lake basin) since 1979 with correlation coefficients at 0.56–0.65 and time lags at 5–6 months. However, TWSAs in the other two subbasins (the Hanjiang River basin and the Mainstream River basin) have almost no correlation with ENSO. Further analysis reveals that compared with human activity that has a limited impact on TWSA, precipitation is one of the key inducements for regional water storage changes in these two subbasins, and the no correlation between ENSO and TWSA is mainly caused by the weak link between ENSO and precipitation.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EA003007the Middle‐Lower reaches of the Yangtze River basinEl Niño‐Southern OscillationGRACEterrestrial water storagereconstruction |
| spellingShingle | Xiaolong Li Taoyong Jin Bingshi Liu Nengfang Chao Fupeng Li Zuansi Cai The Influence of ENSO on the Long‐Term Water Storage Anomalies in the Middle‐Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Evaluation and Analysis Earth and Space Science the Middle‐Lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin El Niño‐Southern Oscillation GRACE terrestrial water storage reconstruction |
| title | The Influence of ENSO on the Long‐Term Water Storage Anomalies in the Middle‐Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Evaluation and Analysis |
| title_full | The Influence of ENSO on the Long‐Term Water Storage Anomalies in the Middle‐Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Evaluation and Analysis |
| title_fullStr | The Influence of ENSO on the Long‐Term Water Storage Anomalies in the Middle‐Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Evaluation and Analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Influence of ENSO on the Long‐Term Water Storage Anomalies in the Middle‐Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Evaluation and Analysis |
| title_short | The Influence of ENSO on the Long‐Term Water Storage Anomalies in the Middle‐Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Evaluation and Analysis |
| title_sort | influence of enso on the long term water storage anomalies in the middle lower reaches of the yangtze river basin evaluation and analysis |
| topic | the Middle‐Lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin El Niño‐Southern Oscillation GRACE terrestrial water storage reconstruction |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EA003007 |
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