Artificial Intelligence-Based Prediction of Lower Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis Risk After Knee/Hip Arthroplasty

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a common postoperative complication of knee/hip arthroplasty. There is a continued need for artificial intelligence-based methods of predicting lower extremity DVT risk after knee/hip arthroplasty. In this study, we performed a retrospective study to analyse the data fr...

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Main Authors: Xinguang Wang MD, Hanxu Xi MA, Xiao Geng MD, Yang Li MD, Minwei Zhao MD, Feng Li MD, Zijian Li MD, Hong Ji PhD, Hua Tian MD
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2023-01-01
Series:Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/10760296221139263
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author Xinguang Wang MD
Hanxu Xi MA
Xiao Geng MD
Yang Li MD
Minwei Zhao MD
Feng Li MD
Zijian Li MD
Hong Ji PhD
Hua Tian MD
author_facet Xinguang Wang MD
Hanxu Xi MA
Xiao Geng MD
Yang Li MD
Minwei Zhao MD
Feng Li MD
Zijian Li MD
Hong Ji PhD
Hua Tian MD
author_sort Xinguang Wang MD
collection DOAJ
description Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a common postoperative complication of knee/hip arthroplasty. There is a continued need for artificial intelligence-based methods of predicting lower extremity DVT risk after knee/hip arthroplasty. In this study, we performed a retrospective study to analyse the data from patients who underwent primary knee/hip arthroplasty between January 2017 and December 2021 with postoperative bilateral lower extremity venous ultrasonography. Patients’ features were extracted from electronic health records (EHRs) and assigned to the training (80%) and test (20%) datasets using six models: eXtreme gradient boosting, random forest, support vector machines, logistic regression, ensemble, and backpropagation neural network. The Caprini score was calculated according to the Caprini score measurement scale, and the corresponding optimal cut-off Caprini score was calculated according to the largest Youden index. In total, 6897 cases of knee/hip arthroplasty were included (average age, 65.5 ± 8.9 years; 1702 men), among which 1161 (16.8%) were positive and 5736 (83.2%) were negative for deep vein thrombosis. Among the six models, the ensemble model had the highest area under the curve [0.9206 (0.8956, 0.9364)], with a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1 score of 0.8027, 0.9059, 0.6100, 0.9573 and 0.7003, respectively. The corresponding optimal cut-off Caprini score was 10, with an area under the curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive values of 0.5703, 0.8915, 0.2491, 0.1937, 0.9191, and 0.3183, respectively. In conclusion, machine learning models based on EHRs can help predict the risk of deep vein thrombosis after knee/hip arthroplasty.
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spelling doaj.art-e6a9a6fc5d8f417daaf1859df649c28f2023-01-04T14:33:22ZengSAGE PublishingClinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis1938-27232023-01-012910.1177/10760296221139263Artificial Intelligence-Based Prediction of Lower Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis Risk After Knee/Hip ArthroplastyXinguang Wang MD0Hanxu Xi MA1Xiao Geng MD2Yang Li MD3Minwei Zhao MD4Feng Li MD5Zijian Li MD6Hong Ji PhD7Hua Tian MD8 Engineering Research Centre of Bone and Joint Precision Medicine, Beijing, China Information Management and Big Data Centre, , Beijing, China Engineering Research Centre of Bone and Joint Precision Medicine, Beijing, China Engineering Research Centre of Bone and Joint Precision Medicine, Beijing, China Engineering Research Centre of Bone and Joint Precision Medicine, Beijing, China Engineering Research Centre of Bone and Joint Precision Medicine, Beijing, China Engineering Research Centre of Bone and Joint Precision Medicine, Beijing, China Information Management and Big Data Centre, , Beijing, China Engineering Research Centre of Bone and Joint Precision Medicine, Beijing, ChinaDeep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a common postoperative complication of knee/hip arthroplasty. There is a continued need for artificial intelligence-based methods of predicting lower extremity DVT risk after knee/hip arthroplasty. In this study, we performed a retrospective study to analyse the data from patients who underwent primary knee/hip arthroplasty between January 2017 and December 2021 with postoperative bilateral lower extremity venous ultrasonography. Patients’ features were extracted from electronic health records (EHRs) and assigned to the training (80%) and test (20%) datasets using six models: eXtreme gradient boosting, random forest, support vector machines, logistic regression, ensemble, and backpropagation neural network. The Caprini score was calculated according to the Caprini score measurement scale, and the corresponding optimal cut-off Caprini score was calculated according to the largest Youden index. In total, 6897 cases of knee/hip arthroplasty were included (average age, 65.5 ± 8.9 years; 1702 men), among which 1161 (16.8%) were positive and 5736 (83.2%) were negative for deep vein thrombosis. Among the six models, the ensemble model had the highest area under the curve [0.9206 (0.8956, 0.9364)], with a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1 score of 0.8027, 0.9059, 0.6100, 0.9573 and 0.7003, respectively. The corresponding optimal cut-off Caprini score was 10, with an area under the curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive values of 0.5703, 0.8915, 0.2491, 0.1937, 0.9191, and 0.3183, respectively. In conclusion, machine learning models based on EHRs can help predict the risk of deep vein thrombosis after knee/hip arthroplasty.https://doi.org/10.1177/10760296221139263
spellingShingle Xinguang Wang MD
Hanxu Xi MA
Xiao Geng MD
Yang Li MD
Minwei Zhao MD
Feng Li MD
Zijian Li MD
Hong Ji PhD
Hua Tian MD
Artificial Intelligence-Based Prediction of Lower Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis Risk After Knee/Hip Arthroplasty
Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis
title Artificial Intelligence-Based Prediction of Lower Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis Risk After Knee/Hip Arthroplasty
title_full Artificial Intelligence-Based Prediction of Lower Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis Risk After Knee/Hip Arthroplasty
title_fullStr Artificial Intelligence-Based Prediction of Lower Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis Risk After Knee/Hip Arthroplasty
title_full_unstemmed Artificial Intelligence-Based Prediction of Lower Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis Risk After Knee/Hip Arthroplasty
title_short Artificial Intelligence-Based Prediction of Lower Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis Risk After Knee/Hip Arthroplasty
title_sort artificial intelligence based prediction of lower extremity deep vein thrombosis risk after knee hip arthroplasty
url https://doi.org/10.1177/10760296221139263
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