Polish household default risk and physical risk of climate change

This paper aims to assess the level of credit risk (from the perspective of default risk) among Polish households associated with the physical risks of climate change. In order to determine the potential impact of the physical risk of climate change on household credit risk, we conducted CAWI interv...

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Main Authors: Kurowski Łukasz, Sokal Katarzyna
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2023-09-01
Series:Financial Internet Quarterly
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/fiqf-2023-0021
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author Kurowski Łukasz
Sokal Katarzyna
author_facet Kurowski Łukasz
Sokal Katarzyna
author_sort Kurowski Łukasz
collection DOAJ
description This paper aims to assess the level of credit risk (from the perspective of default risk) among Polish households associated with the physical risks of climate change. In order to determine the potential impact of the physical risk of climate change on household credit risk, we conducted CAWI interviews with 1,006 borrowers residing in different Polish voivodeships (to account for heterogeneity of credit exposures to extreme weather events). According to these respondents, wildfires and storms in Poland are the greatest source of physical risk of climate change. In the event of a wildfire or storm, approximately 13% of borrowers would not be able to repay their loans while not being insured, which potentially increases banks’ credit risk and exposes banks to losses. However, we find that households underestimate the credit risk that could arise from a drought.
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spelling doaj.art-e6d2dfb17c1a4875ad84d42ac6a8fd2a2023-10-12T14:08:21ZengSciendoFinancial Internet Quarterly2719-34542023-09-01193879910.2478/fiqf-2023-0021Polish household default risk and physical risk of climate changeKurowski Łukasz0Sokal Katarzyna11Warsaw School of Economics2Warsaw School of EconomicsThis paper aims to assess the level of credit risk (from the perspective of default risk) among Polish households associated with the physical risks of climate change. In order to determine the potential impact of the physical risk of climate change on household credit risk, we conducted CAWI interviews with 1,006 borrowers residing in different Polish voivodeships (to account for heterogeneity of credit exposures to extreme weather events). According to these respondents, wildfires and storms in Poland are the greatest source of physical risk of climate change. In the event of a wildfire or storm, approximately 13% of borrowers would not be able to repay their loans while not being insured, which potentially increases banks’ credit risk and exposes banks to losses. However, we find that households underestimate the credit risk that could arise from a drought.https://doi.org/10.2478/fiqf-2023-0021physical riskcredit riskhousehold debtextreme weatherg21g28
spellingShingle Kurowski Łukasz
Sokal Katarzyna
Polish household default risk and physical risk of climate change
Financial Internet Quarterly
physical risk
credit risk
household debt
extreme weather
g21
g28
title Polish household default risk and physical risk of climate change
title_full Polish household default risk and physical risk of climate change
title_fullStr Polish household default risk and physical risk of climate change
title_full_unstemmed Polish household default risk and physical risk of climate change
title_short Polish household default risk and physical risk of climate change
title_sort polish household default risk and physical risk of climate change
topic physical risk
credit risk
household debt
extreme weather
g21
g28
url https://doi.org/10.2478/fiqf-2023-0021
work_keys_str_mv AT kurowskiłukasz polishhouseholddefaultriskandphysicalriskofclimatechange
AT sokalkatarzyna polishhouseholddefaultriskandphysicalriskofclimatechange