Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model
This paper analyses the impacts of the Farm to Fork strategy (F2F) target of 25% organic farmland by 2030 in the EU using a farm level model. Two approaches are deployed to model conversion to organic agriculture. The first one, the endogenous approach, operates under the assumption that farm conve...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Firenze University Press
2023-10-01
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Series: | Bio-based and Applied Economics |
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Online Access: | https://oaj.fupress.net/index.php/bae/article/view/13925 |
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author | Dimitrios Kremmydas Pavel Ciaian Edoardo Baldoni |
author_facet | Dimitrios Kremmydas Pavel Ciaian Edoardo Baldoni |
author_sort | Dimitrios Kremmydas |
collection | DOAJ |
description |
This paper analyses the impacts of the Farm to Fork strategy (F2F) target of 25% organic farmland by 2030 in the EU using a farm level model. Two approaches are deployed to model conversion to organic agriculture. The first one, the endogenous approach, operates under the assumption that farm conversions to organic production result from assessing the utility difference between organic and conventional production systems. The exogenous approach relies on econometric estimation of the likelihood of farms to convert to organic driven by a combination of monetary and non-monetary drivers. The simulated impacts of the F2F target at the EU level vary depending on the chosen methodology. Gross income changes range from +3.8% under the endogenous approach to -1.3% under the exogenous approach. Both approaches forecast decreased production (-0.5% to -15%) for most crops and animal products upon achieving the organic target.
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first_indexed | 2024-03-11T14:27:38Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-e6e98a9868614b538e14bd700809b5bf |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2280-6180 2280-6172 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-11T14:27:38Z |
publishDate | 2023-10-01 |
publisher | Firenze University Press |
record_format | Article |
series | Bio-based and Applied Economics |
spelling | doaj.art-e6e98a9868614b538e14bd700809b5bf2023-10-31T14:29:04ZengFirenze University PressBio-based and Applied Economics2280-61802280-61722023-10-0110.36253/bae-13925Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm modelDimitrios Kremmydas0Pavel Ciaian1Edoardo Baldoni2Joint Research Center - European CommissionJoint Research Center - European CommissionJoint Research Center - European Commission This paper analyses the impacts of the Farm to Fork strategy (F2F) target of 25% organic farmland by 2030 in the EU using a farm level model. Two approaches are deployed to model conversion to organic agriculture. The first one, the endogenous approach, operates under the assumption that farm conversions to organic production result from assessing the utility difference between organic and conventional production systems. The exogenous approach relies on econometric estimation of the likelihood of farms to convert to organic driven by a combination of monetary and non-monetary drivers. The simulated impacts of the F2F target at the EU level vary depending on the chosen methodology. Gross income changes range from +3.8% under the endogenous approach to -1.3% under the exogenous approach. Both approaches forecast decreased production (-0.5% to -15%) for most crops and animal products upon achieving the organic target. https://oaj.fupress.net/index.php/bae/article/view/13925Organic farmingFarm to Fork strategyEU Green DealFarm modelIFM-CAP |
spellingShingle | Dimitrios Kremmydas Pavel Ciaian Edoardo Baldoni Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model Bio-based and Applied Economics Organic farming Farm to Fork strategy EU Green Deal Farm model IFM-CAP |
title | Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model |
title_full | Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model |
title_fullStr | Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model |
title_full_unstemmed | Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model |
title_short | Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model |
title_sort | modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an eu wide farm model |
topic | Organic farming Farm to Fork strategy EU Green Deal Farm model IFM-CAP |
url | https://oaj.fupress.net/index.php/bae/article/view/13925 |
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