Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model

This paper analyses the impacts of the Farm to Fork strategy (F2F) target of 25% organic farmland by 2030 in the EU using a farm level model. Two approaches are deployed to model conversion to organic agriculture. The first one, the endogenous approach, operates under the assumption that farm conve...

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Main Authors: Dimitrios Kremmydas, Pavel Ciaian, Edoardo Baldoni
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Firenze University Press 2023-10-01
Series:Bio-based and Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://oaj.fupress.net/index.php/bae/article/view/13925
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author Dimitrios Kremmydas
Pavel Ciaian
Edoardo Baldoni
author_facet Dimitrios Kremmydas
Pavel Ciaian
Edoardo Baldoni
author_sort Dimitrios Kremmydas
collection DOAJ
description This paper analyses the impacts of the Farm to Fork strategy (F2F) target of 25% organic farmland by 2030 in the EU using a farm level model. Two approaches are deployed to model conversion to organic agriculture. The first one, the endogenous approach, operates under the assumption that farm conversions to organic production result from assessing the utility difference between organic and conventional production systems. The exogenous approach relies on econometric estimation of the likelihood of farms to convert to organic driven by a combination of monetary and non-monetary drivers. The simulated impacts of the F2F target at the EU level vary depending on the chosen methodology. Gross income changes range from +3.8% under the endogenous approach to -1.3% under the exogenous approach. Both approaches forecast decreased production (-0.5% to -15%) for most crops and animal products upon achieving the organic target.
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spelling doaj.art-e6e98a9868614b538e14bd700809b5bf2023-10-31T14:29:04ZengFirenze University PressBio-based and Applied Economics2280-61802280-61722023-10-0110.36253/bae-13925Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm modelDimitrios Kremmydas0Pavel Ciaian1Edoardo Baldoni2Joint Research Center - European CommissionJoint Research Center - European CommissionJoint Research Center - European Commission This paper analyses the impacts of the Farm to Fork strategy (F2F) target of 25% organic farmland by 2030 in the EU using a farm level model. Two approaches are deployed to model conversion to organic agriculture. The first one, the endogenous approach, operates under the assumption that farm conversions to organic production result from assessing the utility difference between organic and conventional production systems. The exogenous approach relies on econometric estimation of the likelihood of farms to convert to organic driven by a combination of monetary and non-monetary drivers. The simulated impacts of the F2F target at the EU level vary depending on the chosen methodology. Gross income changes range from +3.8% under the endogenous approach to -1.3% under the exogenous approach. Both approaches forecast decreased production (-0.5% to -15%) for most crops and animal products upon achieving the organic target. https://oaj.fupress.net/index.php/bae/article/view/13925Organic farmingFarm to Fork strategyEU Green DealFarm modelIFM-CAP
spellingShingle Dimitrios Kremmydas
Pavel Ciaian
Edoardo Baldoni
Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model
Bio-based and Applied Economics
Organic farming
Farm to Fork strategy
EU Green Deal
Farm model
IFM-CAP
title Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model
title_full Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model
title_fullStr Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model
title_full_unstemmed Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model
title_short Modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an EU-wide farm model
title_sort modeling conversion to organic agriculture with an eu wide farm model
topic Organic farming
Farm to Fork strategy
EU Green Deal
Farm model
IFM-CAP
url https://oaj.fupress.net/index.php/bae/article/view/13925
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AT pavelciaian modelingconversiontoorganicagriculturewithaneuwidefarmmodel
AT edoardobaldoni modelingconversiontoorganicagriculturewithaneuwidefarmmodel