Predictive value of shock index variants on 30-day mortality of trauma patients in helicopter emergency medical services: a nationwide observational retrospective multicenter study

Abstract The original shock index (SI) has been further developed to increase its prognostic value. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of different SI variants on 30-day mortality among severely injured trauma patients in pre-hospital critical care settings. Adult trauma patients in the natio...

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Main Authors: Timo Iirola, Johannes Björkman, Mikael Laaksonen, Jouni Nurmi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-11-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24272-9
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author Timo Iirola
Johannes Björkman
Mikael Laaksonen
Jouni Nurmi
author_facet Timo Iirola
Johannes Björkman
Mikael Laaksonen
Jouni Nurmi
author_sort Timo Iirola
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The original shock index (SI) has been further developed to increase its prognostic value. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of different SI variants on 30-day mortality among severely injured trauma patients in pre-hospital critical care settings. Adult trauma patients in the national Helicopter Emergency Medical Services (HEMS) registry were evaluated based on the primary outcome of 30-day mortality. SI, SIA (SI multiplied by age), SI/G (SI divided by Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS)), SIA/G (SI multiplied by age and divided by GCS), and SS (SI divided by oxygen saturation) were calculated based on the first vital signs measured at the time of HEMS contact. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) was calculated for each SI variant. In total 4108 patients were included in the study. The overall 30-day mortality was 13.5%. The SIA/G and SI/G had the highest predictive ability (AUROC 0.884 [95% CI 0.869–0.899] and 0.8000 [95% CI 0.7780–0.8239], respectively). The SIA/G yielded good predictive performance between 30-day survivors and non-survivors in the pre-hospital critical care setting.
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spelling doaj.art-e73f91e1d56c4668bf4201ce58f84b692022-12-22T03:43:04ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-11-011211710.1038/s41598-022-24272-9Predictive value of shock index variants on 30-day mortality of trauma patients in helicopter emergency medical services: a nationwide observational retrospective multicenter studyTimo Iirola0Johannes Björkman1Mikael Laaksonen2Jouni Nurmi3Emergency Medical Services, Turku University Hospital and University of TurkuFinnHEMS Research and Development UnitDepartment of Perioperative Services, Intensive Care Medicine and Pain Management, Turku University Hospital and University of TurkuEmergency Medicine and Services, Helsinki University Hospital and University of HelsinkiAbstract The original shock index (SI) has been further developed to increase its prognostic value. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of different SI variants on 30-day mortality among severely injured trauma patients in pre-hospital critical care settings. Adult trauma patients in the national Helicopter Emergency Medical Services (HEMS) registry were evaluated based on the primary outcome of 30-day mortality. SI, SIA (SI multiplied by age), SI/G (SI divided by Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS)), SIA/G (SI multiplied by age and divided by GCS), and SS (SI divided by oxygen saturation) were calculated based on the first vital signs measured at the time of HEMS contact. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) was calculated for each SI variant. In total 4108 patients were included in the study. The overall 30-day mortality was 13.5%. The SIA/G and SI/G had the highest predictive ability (AUROC 0.884 [95% CI 0.869–0.899] and 0.8000 [95% CI 0.7780–0.8239], respectively). The SIA/G yielded good predictive performance between 30-day survivors and non-survivors in the pre-hospital critical care setting.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24272-9
spellingShingle Timo Iirola
Johannes Björkman
Mikael Laaksonen
Jouni Nurmi
Predictive value of shock index variants on 30-day mortality of trauma patients in helicopter emergency medical services: a nationwide observational retrospective multicenter study
Scientific Reports
title Predictive value of shock index variants on 30-day mortality of trauma patients in helicopter emergency medical services: a nationwide observational retrospective multicenter study
title_full Predictive value of shock index variants on 30-day mortality of trauma patients in helicopter emergency medical services: a nationwide observational retrospective multicenter study
title_fullStr Predictive value of shock index variants on 30-day mortality of trauma patients in helicopter emergency medical services: a nationwide observational retrospective multicenter study
title_full_unstemmed Predictive value of shock index variants on 30-day mortality of trauma patients in helicopter emergency medical services: a nationwide observational retrospective multicenter study
title_short Predictive value of shock index variants on 30-day mortality of trauma patients in helicopter emergency medical services: a nationwide observational retrospective multicenter study
title_sort predictive value of shock index variants on 30 day mortality of trauma patients in helicopter emergency medical services a nationwide observational retrospective multicenter study
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24272-9
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