Changing ozone sensitivity in the South Coast Air Basin during the COVID-19 period

<p>The South Coast Air Basin (SoCAB), which includes the city of Los Angeles and is home to more than 15 million people, frequently experiences ozone (O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span>) levels that exceed ambient air quality standards. While st...

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Main Authors: J. R. Schroeder, C. Cai, J. Xu, D. Ridley, J. Lu, N. Bui, F. Yan, J. Avise
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2022-10-01
Series:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Online Access:https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/22/12985/2022/acp-22-12985-2022.pdf
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author J. R. Schroeder
C. Cai
J. Xu
D. Ridley
J. Lu
N. Bui
F. Yan
F. Yan
J. Avise
author_facet J. R. Schroeder
C. Cai
J. Xu
D. Ridley
J. Lu
N. Bui
F. Yan
F. Yan
J. Avise
author_sort J. R. Schroeder
collection DOAJ
description <p>The South Coast Air Basin (SoCAB), which includes the city of Los Angeles and is home to more than 15 million people, frequently experiences ozone (O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span>) levels that exceed ambient air quality standards. While strict regulation of O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> precursors has dramatically improved air quality over the past 50 years, the region has seen limited improvement in O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> over the past decade despite continued reductions in precursor emissions. One contributing factor to the recent lack of improvement is a gradual transition of the underlying photochemical environment from a VOC-limited regime (where VOC denotes volatile organic compound) towards an <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span>-limited one. The changes in human activity prompted by COVID-19-related precautions in spring and summer of 2020 exacerbated these existing changes in the O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> precursor environment. Analyses of sector-wide changes in activity indicate that emissions of <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span> decreased by 15 %–20 % during spring (April–May) and by 5 %–10 % during summer (June–July) relative to expected emissions for 2020, largely due to changes in mobile-source activity. Historical trend analysis from two indicators of O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> sensitivity (the satellite <span class="inline-formula"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M8" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow class="chem"><mi mathvariant="normal">HCHO</mi><mo>/</mo><msub><mi mathvariant="normal">NO</mi><mn mathvariant="normal">2</mn></msub></mrow></math><span><svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="61pt" height="14pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="506bea995009780c42447cfa36baaaf2"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="acp-22-12985-2022-ie00001.svg" width="61pt" height="14pt" src="acp-22-12985-2022-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg></span></span> ratio and the O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> weekend<span class="inline-formula"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M10" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mo>/</mo></math><span><svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="8pt" height="14pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="3af55808dad7e355d8e0b0b2a0272ce7"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="acp-22-12985-2022-ie00002.svg" width="8pt" height="14pt" src="acp-22-12985-2022-ie00002.png"/></svg:svg></span></span>weekday ratio) revealed that spring of 2020 was the first year on record to be on average <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span>-limited, while the “transitional” character of recent summers became <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span>-limited due to COVID-19-related <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span> reductions in 2020. Model simulations performed with baseline and COVID-19-adjusted emissions capture this change to an <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span>-limited environment and suggest that COVID-19-related emission reductions were responsible for a 0–2 ppb decrease in O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> over the study period. Reaching <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span>-limited territory is an important regulatory milestone, and this study suggests that deep reductions in <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span> emissions (in excess of those observed in this study) would be an effective pathway toward long-term O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> reductions.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-e759920c67944a91a1f850e4cca232a42022-12-22T03:30:40ZengCopernicus PublicationsAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics1680-73161680-73242022-10-0122129851300010.5194/acp-22-12985-2022Changing ozone sensitivity in the South Coast Air Basin during the COVID-19 periodJ. R. Schroeder0C. Cai1J. Xu2D. Ridley3J. Lu4N. Bui5F. Yan6F. Yan7J. Avise8California Air Resources Board, 1001 I Street, Sacramento, CA, USACalifornia Air Resources Board, 1001 I Street, Sacramento, CA, USACalifornia Air Resources Board, 1001 I Street, Sacramento, CA, USACalifornia Air Resources Board, 1001 I Street, Sacramento, CA, USACalifornia Air Resources Board, 1001 I Street, Sacramento, CA, USACalifornia Air Resources Board, 1001 I Street, Sacramento, CA, USACalifornia Air Resources Board, 1001 I Street, Sacramento, CA, USAnow at: ICF Consulting, 980 9th Street, Sacramento, CA, USACalifornia Air Resources Board, 1001 I Street, Sacramento, CA, USA<p>The South Coast Air Basin (SoCAB), which includes the city of Los Angeles and is home to more than 15 million people, frequently experiences ozone (O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span>) levels that exceed ambient air quality standards. While strict regulation of O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> precursors has dramatically improved air quality over the past 50 years, the region has seen limited improvement in O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> over the past decade despite continued reductions in precursor emissions. One contributing factor to the recent lack of improvement is a gradual transition of the underlying photochemical environment from a VOC-limited regime (where VOC denotes volatile organic compound) towards an <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span>-limited one. The changes in human activity prompted by COVID-19-related precautions in spring and summer of 2020 exacerbated these existing changes in the O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> precursor environment. Analyses of sector-wide changes in activity indicate that emissions of <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span> decreased by 15 %–20 % during spring (April–May) and by 5 %–10 % during summer (June–July) relative to expected emissions for 2020, largely due to changes in mobile-source activity. Historical trend analysis from two indicators of O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> sensitivity (the satellite <span class="inline-formula"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M8" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow class="chem"><mi mathvariant="normal">HCHO</mi><mo>/</mo><msub><mi mathvariant="normal">NO</mi><mn mathvariant="normal">2</mn></msub></mrow></math><span><svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="61pt" height="14pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="506bea995009780c42447cfa36baaaf2"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="acp-22-12985-2022-ie00001.svg" width="61pt" height="14pt" src="acp-22-12985-2022-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg></span></span> ratio and the O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> weekend<span class="inline-formula"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M10" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mo>/</mo></math><span><svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="8pt" height="14pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="3af55808dad7e355d8e0b0b2a0272ce7"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="acp-22-12985-2022-ie00002.svg" width="8pt" height="14pt" src="acp-22-12985-2022-ie00002.png"/></svg:svg></span></span>weekday ratio) revealed that spring of 2020 was the first year on record to be on average <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span>-limited, while the “transitional” character of recent summers became <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span>-limited due to COVID-19-related <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span> reductions in 2020. Model simulations performed with baseline and COVID-19-adjusted emissions capture this change to an <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span>-limited environment and suggest that COVID-19-related emission reductions were responsible for a 0–2 ppb decrease in O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> over the study period. Reaching <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span>-limited territory is an important regulatory milestone, and this study suggests that deep reductions in <span class="inline-formula">NO<sub><i>x</i></sub></span> emissions (in excess of those observed in this study) would be an effective pathway toward long-term O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> reductions.</p>https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/22/12985/2022/acp-22-12985-2022.pdf
spellingShingle J. R. Schroeder
C. Cai
J. Xu
D. Ridley
J. Lu
N. Bui
F. Yan
F. Yan
J. Avise
Changing ozone sensitivity in the South Coast Air Basin during the COVID-19 period
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
title Changing ozone sensitivity in the South Coast Air Basin during the COVID-19 period
title_full Changing ozone sensitivity in the South Coast Air Basin during the COVID-19 period
title_fullStr Changing ozone sensitivity in the South Coast Air Basin during the COVID-19 period
title_full_unstemmed Changing ozone sensitivity in the South Coast Air Basin during the COVID-19 period
title_short Changing ozone sensitivity in the South Coast Air Basin during the COVID-19 period
title_sort changing ozone sensitivity in the south coast air basin during the covid 19 period
url https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/22/12985/2022/acp-22-12985-2022.pdf
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