Validation of the CALL score as a mortality prediction tool in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Chile

IntroductionThe CALL score is a predictive tool for respiratory failure progression in COVID-19. Whether the CALL score is useful to predict short- and medium-term mortality in an unvaccinated population is unknown.Materials and methodsThis is a prospective cohort study in unvaccinated inpatients wi...

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Main Authors: Matías Sanhueza, Manuel Barrera, Juan C. Pedemonte, Luis Rojas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-08-01
Series:Frontiers in Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2023.1164615/full
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author Matías Sanhueza
Manuel Barrera
Juan C. Pedemonte
Juan C. Pedemonte
Luis Rojas
Luis Rojas
author_facet Matías Sanhueza
Manuel Barrera
Juan C. Pedemonte
Juan C. Pedemonte
Luis Rojas
Luis Rojas
author_sort Matías Sanhueza
collection DOAJ
description IntroductionThe CALL score is a predictive tool for respiratory failure progression in COVID-19. Whether the CALL score is useful to predict short- and medium-term mortality in an unvaccinated population is unknown.Materials and methodsThis is a prospective cohort study in unvaccinated inpatients with a COVID-19 pneumonia diagnosis upon hospital admission. Patients were followed up for mortality at 28 days, 3, 6, and 12 months. Associations between CALL score and mortality were analyzed using logistic regression. The prediction performance was evaluated using the area under a receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).ResultsA total of 592 patients were included. On average, the CALL score was 9.25 (±2). Higher CALL scores were associated with increased mortality at 28 days [univariate: odds ratio (OR) 1.58 (95% CI, 1.34–1.88), p < 0.001; multivariate: OR 1.54 (95% CI, 1.26–1.87), p < 0.001] and 12 months [univariate OR 1.63 (95% CI, 1.38–1.93), p < 0.001; multivariate OR 1.63 (95% CI, 1.35–1.97), p < 0.001]. The prediction performance was good for both univariate [AUROC 0.739 (0.687–0.791) at 28 days and 0.869 (0.828–0.91) at 12 months] and multivariate models [AUROC 0.752 (0.704–0.8) at 28 days and 0.862 (0.82–0.905) at 12 months].ConclusionThe CALL score exhibits a good predictive capacity for short- and medium-term mortality in an unvaccinated population.
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spelling doaj.art-e76512cff64942d7ac03847f14d4effd2023-08-28T11:14:52ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Medicine2296-858X2023-08-011010.3389/fmed.2023.11646151164615Validation of the CALL score as a mortality prediction tool in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in ChileMatías Sanhueza0Manuel Barrera1Juan C. Pedemonte2Juan C. Pedemonte3Luis Rojas4Luis Rojas5School of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileSchool of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileSchool of Medicine, Division of Anesthesiology, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileSchool of Medicine, Program of Pharmacology and Toxicology, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileSchool of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileSchool of Medicine, Program of Pharmacology and Toxicology, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileIntroductionThe CALL score is a predictive tool for respiratory failure progression in COVID-19. Whether the CALL score is useful to predict short- and medium-term mortality in an unvaccinated population is unknown.Materials and methodsThis is a prospective cohort study in unvaccinated inpatients with a COVID-19 pneumonia diagnosis upon hospital admission. Patients were followed up for mortality at 28 days, 3, 6, and 12 months. Associations between CALL score and mortality were analyzed using logistic regression. The prediction performance was evaluated using the area under a receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).ResultsA total of 592 patients were included. On average, the CALL score was 9.25 (±2). Higher CALL scores were associated with increased mortality at 28 days [univariate: odds ratio (OR) 1.58 (95% CI, 1.34–1.88), p < 0.001; multivariate: OR 1.54 (95% CI, 1.26–1.87), p < 0.001] and 12 months [univariate OR 1.63 (95% CI, 1.38–1.93), p < 0.001; multivariate OR 1.63 (95% CI, 1.35–1.97), p < 0.001]. The prediction performance was good for both univariate [AUROC 0.739 (0.687–0.791) at 28 days and 0.869 (0.828–0.91) at 12 months] and multivariate models [AUROC 0.752 (0.704–0.8) at 28 days and 0.862 (0.82–0.905) at 12 months].ConclusionThe CALL score exhibits a good predictive capacity for short- and medium-term mortality in an unvaccinated population.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2023.1164615/fullCALL scoreCOVID-19mortalitypredictioninpatients
spellingShingle Matías Sanhueza
Manuel Barrera
Juan C. Pedemonte
Juan C. Pedemonte
Luis Rojas
Luis Rojas
Validation of the CALL score as a mortality prediction tool in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Chile
Frontiers in Medicine
CALL score
COVID-19
mortality
prediction
inpatients
title Validation of the CALL score as a mortality prediction tool in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Chile
title_full Validation of the CALL score as a mortality prediction tool in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Chile
title_fullStr Validation of the CALL score as a mortality prediction tool in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Chile
title_full_unstemmed Validation of the CALL score as a mortality prediction tool in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Chile
title_short Validation of the CALL score as a mortality prediction tool in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Chile
title_sort validation of the call score as a mortality prediction tool in a cohort of hospitalized covid 19 patients in chile
topic CALL score
COVID-19
mortality
prediction
inpatients
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2023.1164615/full
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