Social stability risk assessment and economic competitiveness in China

Abstract Social stability risk assessment (SSRA) has become the mainstream policy instrument for assessing potential risks of large-scale development projects across all sectors in China. In this paper, fuzzy qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) is used to quantify the impact of SSRA policy on e...

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Main Authors: Ruilian Zhang, Sandy Worden, Junzhuo Xu, John R. Owen, Guoqing Shi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Nature 2022-09-01
Series:Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-022-01329-8
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author Ruilian Zhang
Sandy Worden
Junzhuo Xu
John R. Owen
Guoqing Shi
author_facet Ruilian Zhang
Sandy Worden
Junzhuo Xu
John R. Owen
Guoqing Shi
author_sort Ruilian Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Social stability risk assessment (SSRA) has become the mainstream policy instrument for assessing potential risks of large-scale development projects across all sectors in China. In this paper, fuzzy qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) is used to quantify the impact of SSRA policy on economic competitiveness across China’s 31 provinces using a SSRA policy dataset (2003–2020) and a provincial economic competitiveness dataset (2019–2020). QCA combines Boolean algebra and set theory to identify configurations of conditions that are necessary or sufficient for a given outcome. Rather than following the mainstream statistical method of developing a single causal model that best fits the data, QCA explores multiple concurrent causality. A typology of SSRA policies was developed to guide our analysis. The research concluded that to support high economic competitiveness within provinces, SSRA policies must be structured around solving social stability problems and addressing a specific industry issue (e.g., pollution) in a particular industry (e.g., resources). Policies that only include one of these factors or that focus on the performance of government officials were found to contribute to low economic competitiveness. Reorienting the focus of SSRA policies could support more rigorous risk assessments and enhance economic competitiveness, particularly in provinces that host large-scale development projects. These findings have implications for China’s policymakers given their dual objectives of driving economic reform while maintaining a harmonious society.
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spelling doaj.art-e799501b46d34cfc9424e0fce77469e62022-12-22T04:03:03ZengSpringer NatureHumanities & Social Sciences Communications2662-99922022-09-01911710.1057/s41599-022-01329-8Social stability risk assessment and economic competitiveness in ChinaRuilian Zhang0Sandy Worden1Junzhuo Xu2John R. Owen3Guoqing Shi4Centre for Social Responsibility in Mining, Sustainable Minerals Institute, The University of QueenslandCentre for Social Responsibility in Mining, Sustainable Minerals Institute, The University of QueenslandCentre for Social Stability Risk Assessment, Hohai UniversityCentre for Social Responsibility in Mining, Sustainable Minerals Institute, The University of QueenslandCentre for Social Stability Risk Assessment, Hohai UniversityAbstract Social stability risk assessment (SSRA) has become the mainstream policy instrument for assessing potential risks of large-scale development projects across all sectors in China. In this paper, fuzzy qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) is used to quantify the impact of SSRA policy on economic competitiveness across China’s 31 provinces using a SSRA policy dataset (2003–2020) and a provincial economic competitiveness dataset (2019–2020). QCA combines Boolean algebra and set theory to identify configurations of conditions that are necessary or sufficient for a given outcome. Rather than following the mainstream statistical method of developing a single causal model that best fits the data, QCA explores multiple concurrent causality. A typology of SSRA policies was developed to guide our analysis. The research concluded that to support high economic competitiveness within provinces, SSRA policies must be structured around solving social stability problems and addressing a specific industry issue (e.g., pollution) in a particular industry (e.g., resources). Policies that only include one of these factors or that focus on the performance of government officials were found to contribute to low economic competitiveness. Reorienting the focus of SSRA policies could support more rigorous risk assessments and enhance economic competitiveness, particularly in provinces that host large-scale development projects. These findings have implications for China’s policymakers given their dual objectives of driving economic reform while maintaining a harmonious society.https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-022-01329-8
spellingShingle Ruilian Zhang
Sandy Worden
Junzhuo Xu
John R. Owen
Guoqing Shi
Social stability risk assessment and economic competitiveness in China
Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
title Social stability risk assessment and economic competitiveness in China
title_full Social stability risk assessment and economic competitiveness in China
title_fullStr Social stability risk assessment and economic competitiveness in China
title_full_unstemmed Social stability risk assessment and economic competitiveness in China
title_short Social stability risk assessment and economic competitiveness in China
title_sort social stability risk assessment and economic competitiveness in china
url https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-022-01329-8
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