Food and Non-Food Prices Nexus in Developing Economies: Disaggregated Panel Data Analysis

In this paper, an attempt has been made to examine a new transmission mechanism of inflation that is effect of food prices on non-food prices. The panel generalized method of moment (GMM) has been employed on the panels of 47 developing countries disaggregated by income, i.e. low-income, lower-mi...

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Main Authors: Mujahid Zaman (Corresponding author), Rana Ejaz Ali Khan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Johar Education Society 2018-12-01
Series:Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jespk.net/publications/4319.pdf
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author Mujahid Zaman (Corresponding author)
Rana Ejaz Ali Khan
author_facet Mujahid Zaman (Corresponding author)
Rana Ejaz Ali Khan
author_sort Mujahid Zaman (Corresponding author)
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, an attempt has been made to examine a new transmission mechanism of inflation that is effect of food prices on non-food prices. The panel generalized method of moment (GMM) has been employed on the panels of 47 developing countries disaggregated by income, i.e. low-income, lower-middle income and upper-middle income countries. The data-set covers the time period of 2000 to 2014. The panel Granger causality tests like error correction model, panel Stacked and Dumitrescu Hurlin test of causality are also employed to see the direction of causality between food prices and non-food prices. The results of panel GMM estimation indicate that food prices positively affect non-food prices in all the income groups of economies. The causality direction is also found from food prices to non-food prices in these groups of economies. It concludes that inflation transmission mechanism of food prices to non-food prices exists in developing countries. For policy making, it is suggested that any attempt to control inflation in developing economies, one component of anti-inflationary policy should be to control the food prices.
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spelling doaj.art-e7f6297449314036a449b707838d030a2022-12-22T00:54:16ZengJohar Education SocietyPakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences1997-85532309-86192018-12-01123865885Food and Non-Food Prices Nexus in Developing Economies: Disaggregated Panel Data AnalysisMujahid Zaman (Corresponding author) 0Rana Ejaz Ali Khan 1Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, PakistanDepartment of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, PakistanIn this paper, an attempt has been made to examine a new transmission mechanism of inflation that is effect of food prices on non-food prices. The panel generalized method of moment (GMM) has been employed on the panels of 47 developing countries disaggregated by income, i.e. low-income, lower-middle income and upper-middle income countries. The data-set covers the time period of 2000 to 2014. The panel Granger causality tests like error correction model, panel Stacked and Dumitrescu Hurlin test of causality are also employed to see the direction of causality between food prices and non-food prices. The results of panel GMM estimation indicate that food prices positively affect non-food prices in all the income groups of economies. The causality direction is also found from food prices to non-food prices in these groups of economies. It concludes that inflation transmission mechanism of food prices to non-food prices exists in developing countries. For policy making, it is suggested that any attempt to control inflation in developing economies, one component of anti-inflationary policy should be to control the food prices.http://jespk.net/publications/4319.pdffood pricesnon-food pricesgranger causalityinflation transmissionmoney supply
spellingShingle Mujahid Zaman (Corresponding author)
Rana Ejaz Ali Khan
Food and Non-Food Prices Nexus in Developing Economies: Disaggregated Panel Data Analysis
Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences
food prices
non-food prices
granger causality
inflation transmission
money supply
title Food and Non-Food Prices Nexus in Developing Economies: Disaggregated Panel Data Analysis
title_full Food and Non-Food Prices Nexus in Developing Economies: Disaggregated Panel Data Analysis
title_fullStr Food and Non-Food Prices Nexus in Developing Economies: Disaggregated Panel Data Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Food and Non-Food Prices Nexus in Developing Economies: Disaggregated Panel Data Analysis
title_short Food and Non-Food Prices Nexus in Developing Economies: Disaggregated Panel Data Analysis
title_sort food and non food prices nexus in developing economies disaggregated panel data analysis
topic food prices
non-food prices
granger causality
inflation transmission
money supply
url http://jespk.net/publications/4319.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT mujahidzamancorrespondingauthor foodandnonfoodpricesnexusindevelopingeconomiesdisaggregatedpaneldataanalysis
AT ranaejazalikhan foodandnonfoodpricesnexusindevelopingeconomiesdisaggregatedpaneldataanalysis