European legislation and live bivalve molluscs: Are the criteria for microbiological safety matching with the criteria for sanitary classification of harvesting areas?

The European Union (EU) established the criteria for the classification of shellfish harvesting areas, based on the results of monitoring E. coli in shellfish. The EU also defined E. coli as a microbiological criterion for end product safety, based on a three-class sampling plan. Both criteria are...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Cesare Ciccarelli, Melina Leinoudi, Angela Marisa Semeraro, Vittoria Di Trani, Elena Ciccarelli, Gaia Consorti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: PAGEPress Publications 2022-02-01
Series:Italian Journal of Food Safety
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.pagepressjournals.org/index.php/ijfs/article/view/9956
_version_ 1818979326471700480
author Cesare Ciccarelli
Melina Leinoudi
Angela Marisa Semeraro
Vittoria Di Trani
Elena Ciccarelli
Gaia Consorti
author_facet Cesare Ciccarelli
Melina Leinoudi
Angela Marisa Semeraro
Vittoria Di Trani
Elena Ciccarelli
Gaia Consorti
author_sort Cesare Ciccarelli
collection DOAJ
description The European Union (EU) established the criteria for the classification of shellfish harvesting areas, based on the results of monitoring E. coli in shellfish. The EU also defined E. coli as a microbiological criterion for end product safety, based on a three-class sampling plan. Both criteria are based on the MPN method, a test with a statistical approach and in which different factors contribute to the variability of the outcomes. This theoretical study, based on combinatorics and Bayes’ theorem for conditional probability, investigates the consistency between these two criteria and aims to determine the probability of obtaining false compliant and non-compliant results when applying the safety criterion test to shellfish placed on the market. The results show that in the second case, the probability of non-compliant outcomes does not appear negligible within a range between 10% and 50% in the different hypothesized scenarios, with a probability of false noncompliant outcomes over 10%. In addition, the Bayes’ Theorem shows that Class A, or Class B areas (as allowed), could be the origin of non-compliant shellfish, with a not negligible frequency. Therefore, within the limits of the assumed working hypotheses, the safety criterion for E. coli, as described in Regulation EC/2073/2005, does not appear to be consistent and coordinated with the classification criteria stated in the Regulation EU/2019/627 and it is not closely related to the sanitary status of shellfish harvesting area.
first_indexed 2024-12-20T16:57:45Z
format Article
id doaj.art-e801640dc6fe4a8e913c1b996783cd4f
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2239-7132
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-20T16:57:45Z
publishDate 2022-02-01
publisher PAGEPress Publications
record_format Article
series Italian Journal of Food Safety
spelling doaj.art-e801640dc6fe4a8e913c1b996783cd4f2022-12-21T19:32:41ZengPAGEPress PublicationsItalian Journal of Food Safety2239-71322022-02-0111110.4081/ijfs.2022.9956European legislation and live bivalve molluscs: Are the criteria for microbiological safety matching with the criteria for sanitary classification of harvesting areas?Cesare Ciccarelli0Melina Leinoudi1Angela Marisa Semeraro2Vittoria Di Trani3Elena Ciccarelli4Gaia Consorti5Regional Public Health Service Corporation of Marche – Extended Area 5ChemistRegional Public Health Service Corporation of Marche – Extended Area 5Regional Public Health Service Corporation of Marche – Extended Area 5BiologistVeterinarian The European Union (EU) established the criteria for the classification of shellfish harvesting areas, based on the results of monitoring E. coli in shellfish. The EU also defined E. coli as a microbiological criterion for end product safety, based on a three-class sampling plan. Both criteria are based on the MPN method, a test with a statistical approach and in which different factors contribute to the variability of the outcomes. This theoretical study, based on combinatorics and Bayes’ theorem for conditional probability, investigates the consistency between these two criteria and aims to determine the probability of obtaining false compliant and non-compliant results when applying the safety criterion test to shellfish placed on the market. The results show that in the second case, the probability of non-compliant outcomes does not appear negligible within a range between 10% and 50% in the different hypothesized scenarios, with a probability of false noncompliant outcomes over 10%. In addition, the Bayes’ Theorem shows that Class A, or Class B areas (as allowed), could be the origin of non-compliant shellfish, with a not negligible frequency. Therefore, within the limits of the assumed working hypotheses, the safety criterion for E. coli, as described in Regulation EC/2073/2005, does not appear to be consistent and coordinated with the classification criteria stated in the Regulation EU/2019/627 and it is not closely related to the sanitary status of shellfish harvesting area. https://www.pagepressjournals.org/index.php/ijfs/article/view/9956Shellfish safetyE. coliSafety criteriaMPNBayes Theorem
spellingShingle Cesare Ciccarelli
Melina Leinoudi
Angela Marisa Semeraro
Vittoria Di Trani
Elena Ciccarelli
Gaia Consorti
European legislation and live bivalve molluscs: Are the criteria for microbiological safety matching with the criteria for sanitary classification of harvesting areas?
Italian Journal of Food Safety
Shellfish safety
E. coli
Safety criteria
MPN
Bayes Theorem
title European legislation and live bivalve molluscs: Are the criteria for microbiological safety matching with the criteria for sanitary classification of harvesting areas?
title_full European legislation and live bivalve molluscs: Are the criteria for microbiological safety matching with the criteria for sanitary classification of harvesting areas?
title_fullStr European legislation and live bivalve molluscs: Are the criteria for microbiological safety matching with the criteria for sanitary classification of harvesting areas?
title_full_unstemmed European legislation and live bivalve molluscs: Are the criteria for microbiological safety matching with the criteria for sanitary classification of harvesting areas?
title_short European legislation and live bivalve molluscs: Are the criteria for microbiological safety matching with the criteria for sanitary classification of harvesting areas?
title_sort european legislation and live bivalve molluscs are the criteria for microbiological safety matching with the criteria for sanitary classification of harvesting areas
topic Shellfish safety
E. coli
Safety criteria
MPN
Bayes Theorem
url https://www.pagepressjournals.org/index.php/ijfs/article/view/9956
work_keys_str_mv AT cesareciccarelli europeanlegislationandlivebivalvemolluscsarethecriteriaformicrobiologicalsafetymatchingwiththecriteriaforsanitaryclassificationofharvestingareas
AT melinaleinoudi europeanlegislationandlivebivalvemolluscsarethecriteriaformicrobiologicalsafetymatchingwiththecriteriaforsanitaryclassificationofharvestingareas
AT angelamarisasemeraro europeanlegislationandlivebivalvemolluscsarethecriteriaformicrobiologicalsafetymatchingwiththecriteriaforsanitaryclassificationofharvestingareas
AT vittoriaditrani europeanlegislationandlivebivalvemolluscsarethecriteriaformicrobiologicalsafetymatchingwiththecriteriaforsanitaryclassificationofharvestingareas
AT elenaciccarelli europeanlegislationandlivebivalvemolluscsarethecriteriaformicrobiologicalsafetymatchingwiththecriteriaforsanitaryclassificationofharvestingareas
AT gaiaconsorti europeanlegislationandlivebivalvemolluscsarethecriteriaformicrobiologicalsafetymatchingwiththecriteriaforsanitaryclassificationofharvestingareas