Strong support for a heterogeneous speciation decline model in Dinosauria: a response to claims made by Bonsor <italic toggle="yes">et al</italic>. (2020)

Through phylogenetic modelling, we previously presented strong support for diversification decline in the three major subclades of dinosaurs (Sakamoto et al. 2016 Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 113, 5036–5040. (doi:10.1073/pnas.1521478113)). Recently, our support for this model has been criticized (Bonso...

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Main Authors: Manabu Sakamoto, Michael J. Benton, Chris Venditti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2021-08-01
Series:Royal Society Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.202143
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author Manabu Sakamoto
Michael J. Benton
Chris Venditti
author_facet Manabu Sakamoto
Michael J. Benton
Chris Venditti
author_sort Manabu Sakamoto
collection DOAJ
description Through phylogenetic modelling, we previously presented strong support for diversification decline in the three major subclades of dinosaurs (Sakamoto et al. 2016 Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 113, 5036–5040. (doi:10.1073/pnas.1521478113)). Recently, our support for this model has been criticized (Bonsor et al. 2020 R. Soc. Open Sci. 7, 201195. (doi:10.1098/rsos.201195)). Here, we highlight that these criticisms seem to largely stem from a misunderstanding of our study: contrary to Bonsor et al.'s claims, our model accounts for heterogeneity in diversification dynamics, was selected based on deviance information criterion (DIC) scores (not parameter significance), and intercepts were estimated to account for uncertainties in the root age of the phylogenetic tree. We also demonstrate that their new analyses are not comparable to our models: they fit simple, Dinosauria-wide models as a direct comparison to our group-wise models, and their additional trees are subclades that are limited in taxonomic coverage and temporal span, i.e. severely affected by incomplete sampling. We further present results of new analyses on larger, better-sampled trees (N = 961) of dinosaurs, showing support for the time-quadratic model. Disagreements in how we interpret modelled diversification dynamics are to be expected, but criticisms should be based on sound logic and understanding of the model under discussion.
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spelling doaj.art-e81125d871a44813a3c18140dfc293612022-12-21T22:42:51ZengThe Royal SocietyRoyal Society Open Science2054-57032021-08-018810.1098/rsos.202143Strong support for a heterogeneous speciation decline model in Dinosauria: a response to claims made by Bonsor <italic toggle="yes">et al</italic>. (2020)Manabu Sakamoto0Michael J. Benton1Chris Venditti2School of Life Sciences, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UKSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UKSchool of Biological Sciences, University of Reading, Reading, UKThrough phylogenetic modelling, we previously presented strong support for diversification decline in the three major subclades of dinosaurs (Sakamoto et al. 2016 Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 113, 5036–5040. (doi:10.1073/pnas.1521478113)). Recently, our support for this model has been criticized (Bonsor et al. 2020 R. Soc. Open Sci. 7, 201195. (doi:10.1098/rsos.201195)). Here, we highlight that these criticisms seem to largely stem from a misunderstanding of our study: contrary to Bonsor et al.'s claims, our model accounts for heterogeneity in diversification dynamics, was selected based on deviance information criterion (DIC) scores (not parameter significance), and intercepts were estimated to account for uncertainties in the root age of the phylogenetic tree. We also demonstrate that their new analyses are not comparable to our models: they fit simple, Dinosauria-wide models as a direct comparison to our group-wise models, and their additional trees are subclades that are limited in taxonomic coverage and temporal span, i.e. severely affected by incomplete sampling. We further present results of new analyses on larger, better-sampled trees (N = 961) of dinosaurs, showing support for the time-quadratic model. Disagreements in how we interpret modelled diversification dynamics are to be expected, but criticisms should be based on sound logic and understanding of the model under discussion.https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.202143dinosaursphylogenetic comparative methodsgeneralized linear mixed modeldiversification ratediversification decline
spellingShingle Manabu Sakamoto
Michael J. Benton
Chris Venditti
Strong support for a heterogeneous speciation decline model in Dinosauria: a response to claims made by Bonsor <italic toggle="yes">et al</italic>. (2020)
Royal Society Open Science
dinosaurs
phylogenetic comparative methods
generalized linear mixed model
diversification rate
diversification decline
title Strong support for a heterogeneous speciation decline model in Dinosauria: a response to claims made by Bonsor <italic toggle="yes">et al</italic>. (2020)
title_full Strong support for a heterogeneous speciation decline model in Dinosauria: a response to claims made by Bonsor <italic toggle="yes">et al</italic>. (2020)
title_fullStr Strong support for a heterogeneous speciation decline model in Dinosauria: a response to claims made by Bonsor <italic toggle="yes">et al</italic>. (2020)
title_full_unstemmed Strong support for a heterogeneous speciation decline model in Dinosauria: a response to claims made by Bonsor <italic toggle="yes">et al</italic>. (2020)
title_short Strong support for a heterogeneous speciation decline model in Dinosauria: a response to claims made by Bonsor <italic toggle="yes">et al</italic>. (2020)
title_sort strong support for a heterogeneous speciation decline model in dinosauria a response to claims made by bonsor italic toggle yes et al italic 2020
topic dinosaurs
phylogenetic comparative methods
generalized linear mixed model
diversification rate
diversification decline
url https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.202143
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