Estimating relative risk of within-lake aquatic plant invasion using combined measures of recreational boater movement and habitat suitability

Effective monitoring, prevention and impact mitigation of nonindigenous aquatic species relies upon the ability to predict dispersal pathways and receiving habitats with the greatest risk of establishment. To examine mechanisms affecting species establishment within a large lake, we combined observa...

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Main Authors: Marion E. Wittmann, Bruce E. Kendall, Christopher L. Jerde, Lars W.J. Anderson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: PeerJ Inc. 2015-03-01
Series:PeerJ
Subjects:
Online Access:https://peerj.com/articles/845.pdf
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author Marion E. Wittmann
Bruce E. Kendall
Christopher L. Jerde
Lars W.J. Anderson
author_facet Marion E. Wittmann
Bruce E. Kendall
Christopher L. Jerde
Lars W.J. Anderson
author_sort Marion E. Wittmann
collection DOAJ
description Effective monitoring, prevention and impact mitigation of nonindigenous aquatic species relies upon the ability to predict dispersal pathways and receiving habitats with the greatest risk of establishment. To examine mechanisms affecting species establishment within a large lake, we combined observations of recreational boater movements with empirical measurements of habitat suitability represented by nearshore wave energy to assess the relative risk of Eurasian watermilfoil (Myriophyllum spicatum) establishment. The model was evaluated using information from a 17 year (1995–2012) sequence of M. spicatum presence and absence monitoring. M. spicatum presence was not specifically correlated with recreational boater movements; however its establishment appears to be limited by wave action in Lake Tahoe. Of the sites in the “High” establishment risk category (n = 37), 54% had current or historical infestations, which included 8 of the 10 sites with the highest relative risk. Of the 11 sites in the “Medium” establishment risk category, 5 had current or historical M. spicatum populations. Most (76%) of the sites in the “Low” establishment risk category were observed in locations with higher wave action. Four sites that received zero boater visits from infested locations were occupied by M. spicatum. This suggests that the boater survey either represents incomplete coverage of boater movement, or other processes, such as the movement of propagules by surface currents or introductions from external sources are important to the establishment of this species. This study showed the combination of habitat specific and dispersal data in a relative risk framework can potentially reduce uncertainty in estimates of invasion risk.
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spelling doaj.art-e81b61f6fe1b4cfa8f25084de1e137dc2023-12-02T21:50:22ZengPeerJ Inc.PeerJ2167-83592015-03-013e84510.7717/peerj.845845Estimating relative risk of within-lake aquatic plant invasion using combined measures of recreational boater movement and habitat suitabilityMarion E. Wittmann0Bruce E. Kendall1Christopher L. Jerde2Lars W.J. Anderson3Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, USABren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, USADepartment of Biology, University of Nevada, Reno, NV, USAWaterweedSolutions, Pt. Reyes, CA, USAEffective monitoring, prevention and impact mitigation of nonindigenous aquatic species relies upon the ability to predict dispersal pathways and receiving habitats with the greatest risk of establishment. To examine mechanisms affecting species establishment within a large lake, we combined observations of recreational boater movements with empirical measurements of habitat suitability represented by nearshore wave energy to assess the relative risk of Eurasian watermilfoil (Myriophyllum spicatum) establishment. The model was evaluated using information from a 17 year (1995–2012) sequence of M. spicatum presence and absence monitoring. M. spicatum presence was not specifically correlated with recreational boater movements; however its establishment appears to be limited by wave action in Lake Tahoe. Of the sites in the “High” establishment risk category (n = 37), 54% had current or historical infestations, which included 8 of the 10 sites with the highest relative risk. Of the 11 sites in the “Medium” establishment risk category, 5 had current or historical M. spicatum populations. Most (76%) of the sites in the “Low” establishment risk category were observed in locations with higher wave action. Four sites that received zero boater visits from infested locations were occupied by M. spicatum. This suggests that the boater survey either represents incomplete coverage of boater movement, or other processes, such as the movement of propagules by surface currents or introductions from external sources are important to the establishment of this species. This study showed the combination of habitat specific and dispersal data in a relative risk framework can potentially reduce uncertainty in estimates of invasion risk.https://peerj.com/articles/845.pdfDispersalInvasive speciesEurasian milfoilRisk assessmentWave actionSuitable habitat
spellingShingle Marion E. Wittmann
Bruce E. Kendall
Christopher L. Jerde
Lars W.J. Anderson
Estimating relative risk of within-lake aquatic plant invasion using combined measures of recreational boater movement and habitat suitability
PeerJ
Dispersal
Invasive species
Eurasian milfoil
Risk assessment
Wave action
Suitable habitat
title Estimating relative risk of within-lake aquatic plant invasion using combined measures of recreational boater movement and habitat suitability
title_full Estimating relative risk of within-lake aquatic plant invasion using combined measures of recreational boater movement and habitat suitability
title_fullStr Estimating relative risk of within-lake aquatic plant invasion using combined measures of recreational boater movement and habitat suitability
title_full_unstemmed Estimating relative risk of within-lake aquatic plant invasion using combined measures of recreational boater movement and habitat suitability
title_short Estimating relative risk of within-lake aquatic plant invasion using combined measures of recreational boater movement and habitat suitability
title_sort estimating relative risk of within lake aquatic plant invasion using combined measures of recreational boater movement and habitat suitability
topic Dispersal
Invasive species
Eurasian milfoil
Risk assessment
Wave action
Suitable habitat
url https://peerj.com/articles/845.pdf
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