Introduction of risk size in the determination of uncertainty factor UFL in risk assessment

The methodology for using uncertainty factors in health risk assessment has been developed for several decades. A default value is usually applied for the uncertainty factor UF _L , which is used to extrapolate from LOAEL (lowest observed adverse effect level) to NAEL (no adverse effect level). Here...

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Main Authors: Jinling Xue, Yun Lu, Natalia Velasquez, Ruozhen Yu, Hongying Hu, Zhengtao Liu, Wei Meng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2012-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034036
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author Jinling Xue
Yun Lu
Natalia Velasquez
Ruozhen Yu
Hongying Hu
Zhengtao Liu
Wei Meng
author_facet Jinling Xue
Yun Lu
Natalia Velasquez
Ruozhen Yu
Hongying Hu
Zhengtao Liu
Wei Meng
author_sort Jinling Xue
collection DOAJ
description The methodology for using uncertainty factors in health risk assessment has been developed for several decades. A default value is usually applied for the uncertainty factor UF _L , which is used to extrapolate from LOAEL (lowest observed adverse effect level) to NAEL (no adverse effect level). Here, we have developed a new method that establishes a linear relationship between UF _L and the additional risk level at LOAEL based on the dose–response information, which represents a very important factor that should be carefully considered. This linear formula makes it possible to select UF _L properly in the additional risk range from 5.3% to 16.2%. Also the results remind us that the default value 10 may not be conservative enough when the additional risk level at LOAEL exceeds 16.2%. Furthermore, this novel method not only provides a flexible UF _L instead of the traditional default value, but also can ensure a conservative estimation of the UF _L with fewer errors, and avoid the benchmark response selection involved in the benchmark dose method. These advantages can improve the estimation of the extrapolation starting point in the risk assessment.
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spelling doaj.art-e83676f0a1d045029113063c29bf6a872023-08-09T14:21:58ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262012-01-017303403610.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034036Introduction of risk size in the determination of uncertainty factor UFL in risk assessmentJinling Xue0Yun Lu1Natalia Velasquez2Ruozhen Yu3Hongying Hu4Zhengtao Liu5Wei Meng6State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University , Beijing 100084, People’s Republic of ChinaState Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University , Beijing 100084, People’s Republic of ChinaState Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University , Beijing 100084, People’s Republic of ChinaChinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences , Beijing 100012, People’s Republic of ChinaState Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University , Beijing 100084, People’s Republic of ChinaChinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences , Beijing 100012, People’s Republic of ChinaChinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences , Beijing 100012, People’s Republic of ChinaThe methodology for using uncertainty factors in health risk assessment has been developed for several decades. A default value is usually applied for the uncertainty factor UF _L , which is used to extrapolate from LOAEL (lowest observed adverse effect level) to NAEL (no adverse effect level). Here, we have developed a new method that establishes a linear relationship between UF _L and the additional risk level at LOAEL based on the dose–response information, which represents a very important factor that should be carefully considered. This linear formula makes it possible to select UF _L properly in the additional risk range from 5.3% to 16.2%. Also the results remind us that the default value 10 may not be conservative enough when the additional risk level at LOAEL exceeds 16.2%. Furthermore, this novel method not only provides a flexible UF _L instead of the traditional default value, but also can ensure a conservative estimation of the UF _L with fewer errors, and avoid the benchmark response selection involved in the benchmark dose method. These advantages can improve the estimation of the extrapolation starting point in the risk assessment.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/03403662p12uncertainty factor UFLdose–responseNOAELLOAELBMD
spellingShingle Jinling Xue
Yun Lu
Natalia Velasquez
Ruozhen Yu
Hongying Hu
Zhengtao Liu
Wei Meng
Introduction of risk size in the determination of uncertainty factor UFL in risk assessment
Environmental Research Letters
62p12
uncertainty factor UFL
dose–response
NOAEL
LOAEL
BMD
title Introduction of risk size in the determination of uncertainty factor UFL in risk assessment
title_full Introduction of risk size in the determination of uncertainty factor UFL in risk assessment
title_fullStr Introduction of risk size in the determination of uncertainty factor UFL in risk assessment
title_full_unstemmed Introduction of risk size in the determination of uncertainty factor UFL in risk assessment
title_short Introduction of risk size in the determination of uncertainty factor UFL in risk assessment
title_sort introduction of risk size in the determination of uncertainty factor ufl in risk assessment
topic 62p12
uncertainty factor UFL
dose–response
NOAEL
LOAEL
BMD
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034036
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