Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for Poland

The economic activity of businesses and the living standards of the population are largely dependent on inflation. Here, energy prices are of particular importance. Energy is what offers a competitive edge to economies. Therefore, many energy sectors still remain under state control. However, the fu...

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Main Authors: Grzegorz Przekota, Anna Szczepańska-Przekota
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-04-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/9/3045
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author Grzegorz Przekota
Anna Szczepańska-Przekota
author_facet Grzegorz Przekota
Anna Szczepańska-Przekota
author_sort Grzegorz Przekota
collection DOAJ
description The economic activity of businesses and the living standards of the population are largely dependent on inflation. Here, energy prices are of particular importance. Energy is what offers a competitive edge to economies. Therefore, many energy sectors still remain under state control. However, the fuel market is free although highly concentrated. The primary objective of this study was to determine the impact of fuel price changes on inflation in Poland. The research was based on causality models and regression models including asymmetry correction. The flow path was analyzed of price impulses from the basic raw material (i.e., crude oil) through wholesale diesel prices to inflation. The study demonstrates that with each successive stage of raw material processing, price volatility proves to be weaker. However, the final effect is still significant: inflation is largely shaped by energy carriers and, here, specifically by fuel prices. Such results have serious implications for the state’s economic policy. On one hand, they point to the limitations of this policy and, on the other hand, they raise questions about the legitimacy of the reforms that free up energy markets.
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spelling doaj.art-e84cedaa61404a479e835f01456e68962023-11-23T08:05:47ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732022-04-01159304510.3390/en15093045Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for PolandGrzegorz Przekota0Anna Szczepańska-Przekota1Department of Economics, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Koszalin University of Technology, 75-453 Koszalin, PolandDepartment of Finance, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Koszalin University of Technology, 75-453 Koszalin, PolandThe economic activity of businesses and the living standards of the population are largely dependent on inflation. Here, energy prices are of particular importance. Energy is what offers a competitive edge to economies. Therefore, many energy sectors still remain under state control. However, the fuel market is free although highly concentrated. The primary objective of this study was to determine the impact of fuel price changes on inflation in Poland. The research was based on causality models and regression models including asymmetry correction. The flow path was analyzed of price impulses from the basic raw material (i.e., crude oil) through wholesale diesel prices to inflation. The study demonstrates that with each successive stage of raw material processing, price volatility proves to be weaker. However, the final effect is still significant: inflation is largely shaped by energy carriers and, here, specifically by fuel prices. Such results have serious implications for the state’s economic policy. On one hand, they point to the limitations of this policy and, on the other hand, they raise questions about the legitimacy of the reforms that free up energy markets.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/9/3045oil pricesinflationexchange ratecausality
spellingShingle Grzegorz Przekota
Anna Szczepańska-Przekota
Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for Poland
Energies
oil prices
inflation
exchange rate
causality
title Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for Poland
title_full Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for Poland
title_fullStr Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for Poland
title_full_unstemmed Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for Poland
title_short Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for Poland
title_sort pro inflationary impact of the oil market a study for poland
topic oil prices
inflation
exchange rate
causality
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/9/3045
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