Cost-effectiveness of Chagas disease screening in Latin American migrants at primary health-care centres in Europe: a Markov model analysis

Summary: Background: Chagas disease is currently prevalent in European countries hosting large communities from Latin America. Whether asymptomatic individuals at risk of Chagas disease living in Europe should be screened and treated accordingly is unclear. We performed an economic evaluation of sy...

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Main Authors: Ana Requena-Méndez, DrPhD, Sheila Bussion, Edelweiss Aldasoro, MSc, Yves Jackson, PhD, Andrea Angheben, MD, David Moore, PhD, Maria-Jesús Pinazo, PhD, Joaquim Gascón, PhD, Jose Muñoz, PhD, Elisa Sicuri, PhD
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2017-04-01
Series:The Lancet Global Health
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214109X17300736
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author Ana Requena-Méndez, DrPhD
Sheila Bussion
Edelweiss Aldasoro, MSc
Yves Jackson, PhD
Andrea Angheben, MD
David Moore, PhD
Maria-Jesús Pinazo, PhD
Joaquim Gascón, PhD
Jose Muñoz, PhD
Elisa Sicuri, PhD
author_facet Ana Requena-Méndez, DrPhD
Sheila Bussion
Edelweiss Aldasoro, MSc
Yves Jackson, PhD
Andrea Angheben, MD
David Moore, PhD
Maria-Jesús Pinazo, PhD
Joaquim Gascón, PhD
Jose Muñoz, PhD
Elisa Sicuri, PhD
author_sort Ana Requena-Méndez, DrPhD
collection DOAJ
description Summary: Background: Chagas disease is currently prevalent in European countries hosting large communities from Latin America. Whether asymptomatic individuals at risk of Chagas disease living in Europe should be screened and treated accordingly is unclear. We performed an economic evaluation of systematic Chagas disease screening of the Latin American population attending primary care centres in Europe. Methods: We constructed a decision tree model that compared the test option (screening of asymptomatic individuals, treatment, and follow-up of positive cases) with the no-test option (screening, treating, and follow-up of symptomatic individuals). The decision tree included a Markov model with five states, related to the chronic stage of the disease: indeterminate, cardiomyopathy, gastrointestinal, response to treatment, and death. The model started with a target population of 100 000 individuals, of which 4·2% (95% CI 2·2–6·8) were estimated to be infected by Trypanosoma cruzi. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between test and no-test options. Deterministic and probabilistic analyses (Monte Carlo simulations) were performed. Findings: In the deterministic analysis, total costs referred to 100 000 individuals in the test and no-test option were €30 903 406 and €6 597 403 respectively, with a difference of €24 306 003. The respective number of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained in the test and no-test option were 61 820·82 and 57 354·42. The ICER was €5442. In the probabilistic analysis, total costs for the test and no-test option were €32 163 649 (95% CI 31 263 705–33 063 593) and €6 904 764 (6 703 258–7 106 270), respectively. The respective number of QALYs gained was 64 634·35 (95% CI 62 809·6–66 459·1) and 59 875·73 (58 191·18–61 560·28). The difference in QALYs gained between the test and no test options was 4758·62 (95% CI 4618·42–4898·82). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was €6840·75 (95% CI 2545–2759) per QALY gained for a treatment efficacy of 20% and €4243 per QALY gained for treatment efficacy of 50%. Even with a reduction in Chagas disease prevalence to 0·05% and with large variations in all the parameters, the test option would still be more cost-effective than the no-test option (less than €30000 per QALY). Interpretation: Screening for Chagas disease in asymptomatic Latin American adults living in Europe is a cost-effective strategy. Findings of our model provide an important element to support the implementation of T cruzi screening programmes at primary health centres in European countries hosting Latin American migrants. Funding: European Commission 7th Framework Program.
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spelling doaj.art-e8b6212e381a4e87abaa19029007db712022-12-22T03:15:22ZengElsevierThe Lancet Global Health2214-109X2017-04-0154e439e447Cost-effectiveness of Chagas disease screening in Latin American migrants at primary health-care centres in Europe: a Markov model analysisAna Requena-Méndez, DrPhD0Sheila Bussion1Edelweiss Aldasoro, MSc2Yves Jackson, PhD3Andrea Angheben, MD4David Moore, PhD5Maria-Jesús Pinazo, PhD6Joaquim Gascón, PhD7Jose Muñoz, PhD8Elisa Sicuri, PhD9ISGlobal, Barcelona Ctr. Int. Health Res. (CRESIB), Hospital Clínic—Universitat de Barcelona, Spain; Correspondence to: Dr Ana Requena-Méndez, Barcelona Institute for Global Health, ISGlobal-CRESIB, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona 08036, SpainISGlobal, Barcelona Ctr. Int. Health Res. (CRESIB), Hospital Clínic—Universitat de Barcelona, SpainISGlobal, Barcelona Ctr. Int. Health Res. (CRESIB), Hospital Clínic—Universitat de Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Community Medicine, Primary Care and Emergency Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, SwitzerlandCentre for Tropical Diseases, Sacro-Cuore Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar, ItalyDepartment of Clinical Research, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UKISGlobal, Barcelona Ctr. Int. Health Res. (CRESIB), Hospital Clínic—Universitat de Barcelona, SpainISGlobal, Barcelona Ctr. Int. Health Res. (CRESIB), Hospital Clínic—Universitat de Barcelona, SpainISGlobal, Barcelona Ctr. Int. Health Res. (CRESIB), Hospital Clínic—Universitat de Barcelona, SpainISGlobal, Barcelona Ctr. Int. Health Res. (CRESIB), Hospital Clínic—Universitat de Barcelona, Spain; Health Economics Group, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UKSummary: Background: Chagas disease is currently prevalent in European countries hosting large communities from Latin America. Whether asymptomatic individuals at risk of Chagas disease living in Europe should be screened and treated accordingly is unclear. We performed an economic evaluation of systematic Chagas disease screening of the Latin American population attending primary care centres in Europe. Methods: We constructed a decision tree model that compared the test option (screening of asymptomatic individuals, treatment, and follow-up of positive cases) with the no-test option (screening, treating, and follow-up of symptomatic individuals). The decision tree included a Markov model with five states, related to the chronic stage of the disease: indeterminate, cardiomyopathy, gastrointestinal, response to treatment, and death. The model started with a target population of 100 000 individuals, of which 4·2% (95% CI 2·2–6·8) were estimated to be infected by Trypanosoma cruzi. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between test and no-test options. Deterministic and probabilistic analyses (Monte Carlo simulations) were performed. Findings: In the deterministic analysis, total costs referred to 100 000 individuals in the test and no-test option were €30 903 406 and €6 597 403 respectively, with a difference of €24 306 003. The respective number of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained in the test and no-test option were 61 820·82 and 57 354·42. The ICER was €5442. In the probabilistic analysis, total costs for the test and no-test option were €32 163 649 (95% CI 31 263 705–33 063 593) and €6 904 764 (6 703 258–7 106 270), respectively. The respective number of QALYs gained was 64 634·35 (95% CI 62 809·6–66 459·1) and 59 875·73 (58 191·18–61 560·28). The difference in QALYs gained between the test and no test options was 4758·62 (95% CI 4618·42–4898·82). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was €6840·75 (95% CI 2545–2759) per QALY gained for a treatment efficacy of 20% and €4243 per QALY gained for treatment efficacy of 50%. Even with a reduction in Chagas disease prevalence to 0·05% and with large variations in all the parameters, the test option would still be more cost-effective than the no-test option (less than €30000 per QALY). Interpretation: Screening for Chagas disease in asymptomatic Latin American adults living in Europe is a cost-effective strategy. Findings of our model provide an important element to support the implementation of T cruzi screening programmes at primary health centres in European countries hosting Latin American migrants. Funding: European Commission 7th Framework Program.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214109X17300736
spellingShingle Ana Requena-Méndez, DrPhD
Sheila Bussion
Edelweiss Aldasoro, MSc
Yves Jackson, PhD
Andrea Angheben, MD
David Moore, PhD
Maria-Jesús Pinazo, PhD
Joaquim Gascón, PhD
Jose Muñoz, PhD
Elisa Sicuri, PhD
Cost-effectiveness of Chagas disease screening in Latin American migrants at primary health-care centres in Europe: a Markov model analysis
The Lancet Global Health
title Cost-effectiveness of Chagas disease screening in Latin American migrants at primary health-care centres in Europe: a Markov model analysis
title_full Cost-effectiveness of Chagas disease screening in Latin American migrants at primary health-care centres in Europe: a Markov model analysis
title_fullStr Cost-effectiveness of Chagas disease screening in Latin American migrants at primary health-care centres in Europe: a Markov model analysis
title_full_unstemmed Cost-effectiveness of Chagas disease screening in Latin American migrants at primary health-care centres in Europe: a Markov model analysis
title_short Cost-effectiveness of Chagas disease screening in Latin American migrants at primary health-care centres in Europe: a Markov model analysis
title_sort cost effectiveness of chagas disease screening in latin american migrants at primary health care centres in europe a markov model analysis
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214109X17300736
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