Variation of Net Primary Production and Its Correlation with Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities over the Tibetan Plateau

Grasslands in the Tibetan Plateau are claimed to be sensitive and vulnerable to climate change and anthropogenic activities. Quantifying the impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities on grassland growth is an essential step for developing sustainable grassland ecosystem management strat...

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Main Authors: Zhaohui Luo, Wenchen Wu, Xijun Yu, Qingmei Song, Jian Yang, Jiahui Wu, Hengjun Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-08-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/9/1352
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author Zhaohui Luo
Wenchen Wu
Xijun Yu
Qingmei Song
Jian Yang
Jiahui Wu
Hengjun Zhang
author_facet Zhaohui Luo
Wenchen Wu
Xijun Yu
Qingmei Song
Jian Yang
Jiahui Wu
Hengjun Zhang
author_sort Zhaohui Luo
collection DOAJ
description Grasslands in the Tibetan Plateau are claimed to be sensitive and vulnerable to climate change and anthropogenic activities. Quantifying the impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities on grassland growth is an essential step for developing sustainable grassland ecosystem management strategies under the background of climate change and increasing anthropogenic activities occurring in the plateau. Net primary productivity (NPP) is one of the key components in the carbon cycle of terrestrial ecosystems, and can serve an important role in the assessment of vegetation growth. In this study, a modified Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model, which considers remote sensing information for the estimation of the water stress coefficient and time-lag effects of climatic factors on NPP simulation, was applied to simulate NPP in the Tibetan Plateau from 2001 to 2015. Then, the spatiotemporal variations of NPP and its correlation with climatic factors and anthropogenic activities were analyzed. The results showed that the mean values of NPP were 0.18 kg∙C∙m−2∙a−1 and 0.16 kg∙C∙m−2∙a−1 for the original CASA model and modified CASA model, respectively. The modified CASA model performed well in estimating NPP compared with field-observed data, with root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.13 kg∙C∙m−2∙a−1 and 0.10 kg∙C∙m−2∙a−1, respectively. Relative RMSE and MAE decreased by 45.8% and 44.4%, respectively, compared to the original CASA model. The variation of NPP showed gradients decreasing from southeast to northwest spatially, and displayed an overall decreasing trend for the study area temporally, with a mean value of −0.02 × 10−2 kg∙C∙m−2∙a−1 due to climate change and increasing anthropogenic activities (i.e., land use and land cover change). Generally, 54% and 89% of the total pixels displayed a negative relationship between NPP and mean annual temperature, as well as annual cumulative precipitation, respectively, with average values of –0.0003 (kg∙C∙m−2 a−1)/°C and −0.254 (g∙C∙m−2∙a−1)/mm for mean annual temperature and annual cumulative precipitation, respectively. Additionally, about 68% of the total pixels displayed a positive relationship between annual cumulative solar radiation and NPP, with a mean value of 0.038 (g∙C∙m−2·a−1)/(MJ m−2). Anthropogenic activities had a negative effect on NPP variation, and it was larger than that of climate change, implying that human intervention plays a critical role in mitigating the degenerating ecosystem. In terms of human intervention, ecological destruction has a significantly negative effect on the NPP trend, and the absolute value was larger than that of ecological restoration, which has a significantly positive effect on NPP the trend. Our results indicate that ecological destruction should be paid more attention, and ecological restoration should be conducted to mitigate the overall decreasing trend of NPP in the plateau.
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spelling doaj.art-e8e9640167904651bb089c9e23e47e182022-12-22T04:13:48ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922018-08-01109135210.3390/rs10091352rs10091352Variation of Net Primary Production and Its Correlation with Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities over the Tibetan PlateauZhaohui Luo0Wenchen Wu1Xijun Yu2Qingmei Song3Jian Yang4Jiahui Wu5Hengjun Zhang6South China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Guangzhou 510655, ChinaSouth China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Guangzhou 510655, ChinaSouth China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Guangzhou 510655, ChinaSouth China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Guangzhou 510655, ChinaSouth China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Guangzhou 510655, ChinaSouth China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Guangzhou 510655, ChinaSouth China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Guangzhou 510655, ChinaGrasslands in the Tibetan Plateau are claimed to be sensitive and vulnerable to climate change and anthropogenic activities. Quantifying the impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities on grassland growth is an essential step for developing sustainable grassland ecosystem management strategies under the background of climate change and increasing anthropogenic activities occurring in the plateau. Net primary productivity (NPP) is one of the key components in the carbon cycle of terrestrial ecosystems, and can serve an important role in the assessment of vegetation growth. In this study, a modified Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model, which considers remote sensing information for the estimation of the water stress coefficient and time-lag effects of climatic factors on NPP simulation, was applied to simulate NPP in the Tibetan Plateau from 2001 to 2015. Then, the spatiotemporal variations of NPP and its correlation with climatic factors and anthropogenic activities were analyzed. The results showed that the mean values of NPP were 0.18 kg∙C∙m−2∙a−1 and 0.16 kg∙C∙m−2∙a−1 for the original CASA model and modified CASA model, respectively. The modified CASA model performed well in estimating NPP compared with field-observed data, with root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.13 kg∙C∙m−2∙a−1 and 0.10 kg∙C∙m−2∙a−1, respectively. Relative RMSE and MAE decreased by 45.8% and 44.4%, respectively, compared to the original CASA model. The variation of NPP showed gradients decreasing from southeast to northwest spatially, and displayed an overall decreasing trend for the study area temporally, with a mean value of −0.02 × 10−2 kg∙C∙m−2∙a−1 due to climate change and increasing anthropogenic activities (i.e., land use and land cover change). Generally, 54% and 89% of the total pixels displayed a negative relationship between NPP and mean annual temperature, as well as annual cumulative precipitation, respectively, with average values of –0.0003 (kg∙C∙m−2 a−1)/°C and −0.254 (g∙C∙m−2∙a−1)/mm for mean annual temperature and annual cumulative precipitation, respectively. Additionally, about 68% of the total pixels displayed a positive relationship between annual cumulative solar radiation and NPP, with a mean value of 0.038 (g∙C∙m−2·a−1)/(MJ m−2). Anthropogenic activities had a negative effect on NPP variation, and it was larger than that of climate change, implying that human intervention plays a critical role in mitigating the degenerating ecosystem. In terms of human intervention, ecological destruction has a significantly negative effect on the NPP trend, and the absolute value was larger than that of ecological restoration, which has a significantly positive effect on NPP the trend. Our results indicate that ecological destruction should be paid more attention, and ecological restoration should be conducted to mitigate the overall decreasing trend of NPP in the plateau.http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/9/1352net primary productionspatiotemporal patternsclimate changeanthropogenic activitiesTibetan Plateau
spellingShingle Zhaohui Luo
Wenchen Wu
Xijun Yu
Qingmei Song
Jian Yang
Jiahui Wu
Hengjun Zhang
Variation of Net Primary Production and Its Correlation with Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities over the Tibetan Plateau
Remote Sensing
net primary production
spatiotemporal patterns
climate change
anthropogenic activities
Tibetan Plateau
title Variation of Net Primary Production and Its Correlation with Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities over the Tibetan Plateau
title_full Variation of Net Primary Production and Its Correlation with Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities over the Tibetan Plateau
title_fullStr Variation of Net Primary Production and Its Correlation with Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities over the Tibetan Plateau
title_full_unstemmed Variation of Net Primary Production and Its Correlation with Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities over the Tibetan Plateau
title_short Variation of Net Primary Production and Its Correlation with Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities over the Tibetan Plateau
title_sort variation of net primary production and its correlation with climate change and anthropogenic activities over the tibetan plateau
topic net primary production
spatiotemporal patterns
climate change
anthropogenic activities
Tibetan Plateau
url http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/9/1352
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