Income inequality and financial crises: evidence from the bootstrap rolling window

Abstract This study aims to investigate the validity of the Rajan hypothesis, which argues that increasing income inequality plays a key role in the outbreak of financial crises. The relationship between income inequality and credit booms are examined in 10 developed countries: Australia, Canada, De...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mehmet Akif Destek, Bilge Koksel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2019-05-01
Series:Financial Innovation
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40854-019-0136-2
_version_ 1811223965106962432
author Mehmet Akif Destek
Bilge Koksel
author_facet Mehmet Akif Destek
Bilge Koksel
author_sort Mehmet Akif Destek
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study aims to investigate the validity of the Rajan hypothesis, which argues that increasing income inequality plays a key role in the outbreak of financial crises. The relationship between income inequality and credit booms are examined in 10 developed countries: Australia, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, the United Kingdom, Japan, Norway, Sweden, and the United States. In doing so, a bootstrap rolling-window estimation procedure is used to detect any possible causal link between inequality and credit booms in financial crisis sub-periods. The results reveal that the Rajan hypothesis is supported for the 1989 crisis in Australia, the 1991 and 2007 crises in the United Kingdom, and the 1929 and 2007 crises in the United States. Therefore, increasing income inequality has positive predictive power on credit booms in Anglo-Saxon countries. However, the hypothesis is not confirmed for Scandinavian and continental European countries. Our study is novel in its use of the bootstrap rolling-window procedure, which allows us to detect the possible relationship between inequality and credit booms in financial crises. The findings suggest that a progressive taxation policy or investments to accumulate human capital and increase the labor force are more beneficial than temporary solutions.
first_indexed 2024-04-12T08:41:11Z
format Article
id doaj.art-e90d50377db7482e9c03e6a69bf0d1f8
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2199-4730
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-12T08:41:11Z
publishDate 2019-05-01
publisher SpringerOpen
record_format Article
series Financial Innovation
spelling doaj.art-e90d50377db7482e9c03e6a69bf0d1f82022-12-22T03:39:52ZengSpringerOpenFinancial Innovation2199-47302019-05-015112310.1186/s40854-019-0136-2Income inequality and financial crises: evidence from the bootstrap rolling windowMehmet Akif Destek0Bilge Koksel1Department of Economics, Gaziantep UniversityDepartment of Economics, Gaziantep UniversityAbstract This study aims to investigate the validity of the Rajan hypothesis, which argues that increasing income inequality plays a key role in the outbreak of financial crises. The relationship between income inequality and credit booms are examined in 10 developed countries: Australia, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, the United Kingdom, Japan, Norway, Sweden, and the United States. In doing so, a bootstrap rolling-window estimation procedure is used to detect any possible causal link between inequality and credit booms in financial crisis sub-periods. The results reveal that the Rajan hypothesis is supported for the 1989 crisis in Australia, the 1991 and 2007 crises in the United Kingdom, and the 1929 and 2007 crises in the United States. Therefore, increasing income inequality has positive predictive power on credit booms in Anglo-Saxon countries. However, the hypothesis is not confirmed for Scandinavian and continental European countries. Our study is novel in its use of the bootstrap rolling-window procedure, which allows us to detect the possible relationship between inequality and credit booms in financial crises. The findings suggest that a progressive taxation policy or investments to accumulate human capital and increase the labor force are more beneficial than temporary solutions.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40854-019-0136-2Income inequalityCredit boomsFinancial crisisRolling window estimation
spellingShingle Mehmet Akif Destek
Bilge Koksel
Income inequality and financial crises: evidence from the bootstrap rolling window
Financial Innovation
Income inequality
Credit booms
Financial crisis
Rolling window estimation
title Income inequality and financial crises: evidence from the bootstrap rolling window
title_full Income inequality and financial crises: evidence from the bootstrap rolling window
title_fullStr Income inequality and financial crises: evidence from the bootstrap rolling window
title_full_unstemmed Income inequality and financial crises: evidence from the bootstrap rolling window
title_short Income inequality and financial crises: evidence from the bootstrap rolling window
title_sort income inequality and financial crises evidence from the bootstrap rolling window
topic Income inequality
Credit booms
Financial crisis
Rolling window estimation
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40854-019-0136-2
work_keys_str_mv AT mehmetakifdestek incomeinequalityandfinancialcrisesevidencefromthebootstraprollingwindow
AT bilgekoksel incomeinequalityandfinancialcrisesevidencefromthebootstraprollingwindow