Clinical benefit of improved Prehospital stroke scales to detect stroke patients with large vessel occlusions: results from a conditional probabilistic model
Abstract Background Clinical scales to detect large vessel occlusion (LVO) may help to determine the optimal transport destination for patients with suspected acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The clinical benefit associated with improved diagnostic accuracy of these scales has not been quantified. Metho...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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BMC
2018-02-01
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| Series: | BMC Neurology |
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| Online Access: | http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12883-018-1021-8 |
| _version_ | 1818671578058063872 |
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| author | Ludwig Schlemm Eckhard Schlemm |
| author_facet | Ludwig Schlemm Eckhard Schlemm |
| author_sort | Ludwig Schlemm |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Background Clinical scales to detect large vessel occlusion (LVO) may help to determine the optimal transport destination for patients with suspected acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The clinical benefit associated with improved diagnostic accuracy of these scales has not been quantified. Methods We used a previously reported conditional model to estimate the probability of good outcome (modified Rankin scale sore ≤2) for patients with AIS and unknown vessel status occurring in regions with greater proximity to a primary than to a comprehensive stroke center. Optimal rapid arterial occlusion evaluation (RACE) scale cutoff scores were calculated based on time-dependent effect-size estimates from recent randomized controlled trials. Probabilities of good outcome were compared between a triage strategy based on these cutoffs and a strategy based on a hypothetical perfect LVO detection tool with 100% diagnostic accuracy. Results In our model, the additional benefit of a perfect LVO detection tool as compared to optimal transport-time dependent RACE cutoff scores ranges from 0 to 5%. It is largest for patients with medium stroke symptom severity (RACE score 5) and in geographic environments with longer transfer time between the primary and comprehensive stroke center. Conclusion Based on a probabilistic conditional model, the results of our simulation indicate that more accurate prehospital clinical LVO detections scales may be associated with only modest improvements in the expected probability of good outcome for patients with suspected acute ischemic stroke and unknown vessel status. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-17T07:26:13Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-e915e70e57064a89a3b73717a6030240 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1471-2377 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-17T07:26:13Z |
| publishDate | 2018-02-01 |
| publisher | BMC |
| record_format | Article |
| series | BMC Neurology |
| spelling | doaj.art-e915e70e57064a89a3b73717a60302402022-12-21T21:58:38ZengBMCBMC Neurology1471-23772018-02-011811510.1186/s12883-018-1021-8Clinical benefit of improved Prehospital stroke scales to detect stroke patients with large vessel occlusions: results from a conditional probabilistic modelLudwig Schlemm0Eckhard Schlemm1Department of Neurology, Charité – Universitätsmedizin BerlinUniversität Hamburg, Medizinische FakultätAbstract Background Clinical scales to detect large vessel occlusion (LVO) may help to determine the optimal transport destination for patients with suspected acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The clinical benefit associated with improved diagnostic accuracy of these scales has not been quantified. Methods We used a previously reported conditional model to estimate the probability of good outcome (modified Rankin scale sore ≤2) for patients with AIS and unknown vessel status occurring in regions with greater proximity to a primary than to a comprehensive stroke center. Optimal rapid arterial occlusion evaluation (RACE) scale cutoff scores were calculated based on time-dependent effect-size estimates from recent randomized controlled trials. Probabilities of good outcome were compared between a triage strategy based on these cutoffs and a strategy based on a hypothetical perfect LVO detection tool with 100% diagnostic accuracy. Results In our model, the additional benefit of a perfect LVO detection tool as compared to optimal transport-time dependent RACE cutoff scores ranges from 0 to 5%. It is largest for patients with medium stroke symptom severity (RACE score 5) and in geographic environments with longer transfer time between the primary and comprehensive stroke center. Conclusion Based on a probabilistic conditional model, the results of our simulation indicate that more accurate prehospital clinical LVO detections scales may be associated with only modest improvements in the expected probability of good outcome for patients with suspected acute ischemic stroke and unknown vessel status.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12883-018-1021-8Ischemic strokeEndovascular treatmentThrombectomyThrombolysisPrehospital triageEmergency medical services |
| spellingShingle | Ludwig Schlemm Eckhard Schlemm Clinical benefit of improved Prehospital stroke scales to detect stroke patients with large vessel occlusions: results from a conditional probabilistic model BMC Neurology Ischemic stroke Endovascular treatment Thrombectomy Thrombolysis Prehospital triage Emergency medical services |
| title | Clinical benefit of improved Prehospital stroke scales to detect stroke patients with large vessel occlusions: results from a conditional probabilistic model |
| title_full | Clinical benefit of improved Prehospital stroke scales to detect stroke patients with large vessel occlusions: results from a conditional probabilistic model |
| title_fullStr | Clinical benefit of improved Prehospital stroke scales to detect stroke patients with large vessel occlusions: results from a conditional probabilistic model |
| title_full_unstemmed | Clinical benefit of improved Prehospital stroke scales to detect stroke patients with large vessel occlusions: results from a conditional probabilistic model |
| title_short | Clinical benefit of improved Prehospital stroke scales to detect stroke patients with large vessel occlusions: results from a conditional probabilistic model |
| title_sort | clinical benefit of improved prehospital stroke scales to detect stroke patients with large vessel occlusions results from a conditional probabilistic model |
| topic | Ischemic stroke Endovascular treatment Thrombectomy Thrombolysis Prehospital triage Emergency medical services |
| url | http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12883-018-1021-8 |
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