Analysis of sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with Lassa fever disease and mortality in Nigeria.

Over past decades, there has been increasing geographical spread of Lassa fever (LF) cases across Nigeria and other countries in West Africa. This increase has been associated with significant morbidity and mortality despite increasing focus on the disease by both local and international scientists....

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Main Authors: Adebola T Olayinka, Kelly Elimian, Oladipupo Ipadeola, Chioma Dan-Nwafor, Jack Gibson, Chinwe Ochu, Yuki Furuse, Akanimo Iniobong, Adejoke Akano, Lorna Enenche, Michael Onoja, Chukwuemeka Uzoho, Nkem Ugbogulu, Favour Makava, Chinedu Arinze, Geoffrey Namara, Esther Muwanguzi, Kamji Jan, Winifred Ukponu, Tochi Okwor, Chimezie Anueyiagu, Muhammad Saleh, Anthony Ahumibe, Chibuzo Eneh, Elsie Ilori, Nwando Mba, Chikwe Ihekweazu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-01-01
Series:PLOS Global Public Health
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000191
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author Adebola T Olayinka
Kelly Elimian
Oladipupo Ipadeola
Chioma Dan-Nwafor
Jack Gibson
Chinwe Ochu
Yuki Furuse
Akanimo Iniobong
Adejoke Akano
Lorna Enenche
Michael Onoja
Chukwuemeka Uzoho
Nkem Ugbogulu
Favour Makava
Chinedu Arinze
Geoffrey Namara
Esther Muwanguzi
Kamji Jan
Winifred Ukponu
Tochi Okwor
Chimezie Anueyiagu
Muhammad Saleh
Anthony Ahumibe
Chibuzo Eneh
Elsie Ilori
Nwando Mba
Chikwe Ihekweazu
author_facet Adebola T Olayinka
Kelly Elimian
Oladipupo Ipadeola
Chioma Dan-Nwafor
Jack Gibson
Chinwe Ochu
Yuki Furuse
Akanimo Iniobong
Adejoke Akano
Lorna Enenche
Michael Onoja
Chukwuemeka Uzoho
Nkem Ugbogulu
Favour Makava
Chinedu Arinze
Geoffrey Namara
Esther Muwanguzi
Kamji Jan
Winifred Ukponu
Tochi Okwor
Chimezie Anueyiagu
Muhammad Saleh
Anthony Ahumibe
Chibuzo Eneh
Elsie Ilori
Nwando Mba
Chikwe Ihekweazu
author_sort Adebola T Olayinka
collection DOAJ
description Over past decades, there has been increasing geographical spread of Lassa fever (LF) cases across Nigeria and other countries in West Africa. This increase has been associated with significant morbidity and mortality despite increasing focus on the disease by both local and international scientists. Many of these studies on LF have been limited to few specialised centres in the country. This study was done to identify sociodemographic and clinical predictors of LF disease and related deaths across Nigeria. We analysed retrospective surveillance data on suspected LF cases collected during January-June 2018 and 2019. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify the factors independently associated with laboratory-confirmed LF diagnosis, and with LF-related deaths. There were confirmed 815 of 1991 suspected LF cases with complete records during this period. Of these, 724/815 confirmed cases had known clinical outcomes, of whom 100 died. LF confirmation was associated with presentation of gastrointestinal tract (aOR 3.47, 95% CI: 2.79-4.32), ear, nose and throat (aOR 2.73, 95% CI: 1.80-4.15), general systemic (aOR 2.12, 95% CI: 1.65-2.70) and chest/respiratory (aOR 1.71, 95% CI: 1.28-2.29) symptoms. Other factors were being male (aOR 1.32, 95% CI: 1.06-1.63), doing business/trading (aOR 2.16, 95% CI: 1.47-3.16) and farming (aOR 1.73, 95% CI: 1.12-2.68). Factors associated with LF mortality were a one-year increase in age (aOR 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.04), bleeding (aOR 2.07, 95% CI: 1.07-4.00), and central nervous manifestations (aOR 5.02, 95% CI: 3.12-10.16). Diverse factors were associated with both LF disease and related death. A closer look at patterns of clinical variables would be helpful to support early detection and management of cases. The findings would also be useful for planning preparedness and response interventions against LF in the country and region.
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spelling doaj.art-e91c873648714a96bad8182e60802bcc2023-09-03T13:32:53ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLOS Global Public Health2767-33752022-01-0128e000019110.1371/journal.pgph.0000191Analysis of sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with Lassa fever disease and mortality in Nigeria.Adebola T OlayinkaKelly ElimianOladipupo IpadeolaChioma Dan-NwaforJack GibsonChinwe OchuYuki FuruseAkanimo IniobongAdejoke AkanoLorna EnencheMichael OnojaChukwuemeka UzohoNkem UgboguluFavour MakavaChinedu ArinzeGeoffrey NamaraEsther MuwanguziKamji JanWinifred UkponuTochi OkworChimezie AnueyiaguMuhammad SalehAnthony AhumibeChibuzo EnehElsie IloriNwando MbaChikwe IhekweazuOver past decades, there has been increasing geographical spread of Lassa fever (LF) cases across Nigeria and other countries in West Africa. This increase has been associated with significant morbidity and mortality despite increasing focus on the disease by both local and international scientists. Many of these studies on LF have been limited to few specialised centres in the country. This study was done to identify sociodemographic and clinical predictors of LF disease and related deaths across Nigeria. We analysed retrospective surveillance data on suspected LF cases collected during January-June 2018 and 2019. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify the factors independently associated with laboratory-confirmed LF diagnosis, and with LF-related deaths. There were confirmed 815 of 1991 suspected LF cases with complete records during this period. Of these, 724/815 confirmed cases had known clinical outcomes, of whom 100 died. LF confirmation was associated with presentation of gastrointestinal tract (aOR 3.47, 95% CI: 2.79-4.32), ear, nose and throat (aOR 2.73, 95% CI: 1.80-4.15), general systemic (aOR 2.12, 95% CI: 1.65-2.70) and chest/respiratory (aOR 1.71, 95% CI: 1.28-2.29) symptoms. Other factors were being male (aOR 1.32, 95% CI: 1.06-1.63), doing business/trading (aOR 2.16, 95% CI: 1.47-3.16) and farming (aOR 1.73, 95% CI: 1.12-2.68). Factors associated with LF mortality were a one-year increase in age (aOR 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.04), bleeding (aOR 2.07, 95% CI: 1.07-4.00), and central nervous manifestations (aOR 5.02, 95% CI: 3.12-10.16). Diverse factors were associated with both LF disease and related death. A closer look at patterns of clinical variables would be helpful to support early detection and management of cases. The findings would also be useful for planning preparedness and response interventions against LF in the country and region.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000191
spellingShingle Adebola T Olayinka
Kelly Elimian
Oladipupo Ipadeola
Chioma Dan-Nwafor
Jack Gibson
Chinwe Ochu
Yuki Furuse
Akanimo Iniobong
Adejoke Akano
Lorna Enenche
Michael Onoja
Chukwuemeka Uzoho
Nkem Ugbogulu
Favour Makava
Chinedu Arinze
Geoffrey Namara
Esther Muwanguzi
Kamji Jan
Winifred Ukponu
Tochi Okwor
Chimezie Anueyiagu
Muhammad Saleh
Anthony Ahumibe
Chibuzo Eneh
Elsie Ilori
Nwando Mba
Chikwe Ihekweazu
Analysis of sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with Lassa fever disease and mortality in Nigeria.
PLOS Global Public Health
title Analysis of sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with Lassa fever disease and mortality in Nigeria.
title_full Analysis of sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with Lassa fever disease and mortality in Nigeria.
title_fullStr Analysis of sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with Lassa fever disease and mortality in Nigeria.
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with Lassa fever disease and mortality in Nigeria.
title_short Analysis of sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with Lassa fever disease and mortality in Nigeria.
title_sort analysis of sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with lassa fever disease and mortality in nigeria
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000191
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