Risk factors of serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years undergoing surgical intervention

Objective: We aimed to identify preoperative and intraoperative factors associated with serious postoperative outcomes, which may help patients and clinicians make better-informed decisions. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study including all patients aged ≥90 years who underwent surgery betwe...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hong Fu, Jiang Zheng, Jingyi Lai, Victor W. Xia, Kaiping He, Dingyuan Du
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-02-01
Series:Heliyon
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023003249
_version_ 1811161880119476224
author Hong Fu
Jiang Zheng
Jingyi Lai
Victor W. Xia
Kaiping He
Dingyuan Du
author_facet Hong Fu
Jiang Zheng
Jingyi Lai
Victor W. Xia
Kaiping He
Dingyuan Du
author_sort Hong Fu
collection DOAJ
description Objective: We aimed to identify preoperative and intraoperative factors associated with serious postoperative outcomes, which may help patients and clinicians make better-informed decisions. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study including all patients aged ≥90 years who underwent surgery between January 1, 2011, and January 1, 2021, at Chongqing University Central Hospital. We assessed 30 pre- and intraoperative demographic and clinical variables. Logistic regression was used to identify the independent risk factors for serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years. Results: A total of 428 patients were included in our analysis. The mean age was 92.6 years (SD ± 2.6). There were 240 (56.1%) females and 188 (43.9%) males. The most common comorbidities were hypertension (44.9%) and arrhythmias (34.8%). The 30-day hospital mortality was 5.6%, and severe morbidity was 33.2%. Based on the multivariate logistic regression classification analysis of the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA)≥ Ⅳ [odds ratio (OR), 5.39, 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.06–14.16, P = .001], emergency surgery (OR, 5.02, 95% CI, 2.85–15.98, P = .001) and chronic heart failure (OR, 6.11, 95% CI, 1.93–13.06, P = .001) were identified as independent risk factors for 30-day hospital mortality, and ASA≥ Ⅳ (OR, 4.56, 95%CI, 2.56–8.15, P < .001), Barthel index (BI) < 35 (OR, 2.28, 95%CI, 1.30–3.98, P = .001), chronic heart failure (OR, 3.67, 95%CI, 1.62–8.31, P = .002), chronic kidney disease (OR, 4.24, 95%CI, 1.99–9.05, P < .001), general anesthesia (OR, 3.31, 95%CI, 1.91–5.76, P < .001), emergency surgery (OR, 3.72, 95%CI, 1.98–6.99, P < .001), and major surgery (OR, 3.44, 95%CI, 1.90–6.22, P < .001) were identified as independent risk factors for serious postoperative complications. Conclusions: Patients aged ≥90 years with ASA≥ Ⅳ, BI < 35, combined with chronic heart failure or chronic kidney disease, undergoing emergency surgery, major surgery or general anesthesia have a higher risk of serious postoperative outcomes. Identifying these risk factors in an early stage may contribute to our clinical decision-making and improve the quality of treatments.
first_indexed 2024-04-10T06:21:08Z
format Article
id doaj.art-e925af7d9134407ca6d6484522f4e4b3
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2405-8440
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-10T06:21:08Z
publishDate 2023-02-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Heliyon
spelling doaj.art-e925af7d9134407ca6d6484522f4e4b32023-03-02T05:00:07ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402023-02-0192e13117Risk factors of serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years undergoing surgical interventionHong Fu0Jiang Zheng1Jingyi Lai2Victor W. Xia3Kaiping He4Dingyuan Du5Department of Anesthesiology, Chongqing Emergency Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital, School of Medicine, Chongqing University, Chongqing, China; Corresponding author. Department of Anesthesiology, Chongqing Emergency Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital, School of Medicine, Chongqing University, No 1, JianKang Road, Yuzhong District, Chongqing 400014, China.Department of Anesthesiology, Chongqing Emergency Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital, School of Medicine, Chongqing University, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Anesthesiology, Chongqing Emergency Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital, School of Medicine, Chongqing University, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Ronald Reagan UCLA Medical Center, Los Angeles, USA; David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, USADivision of Medical Record Statistical, Chongqing Emergency Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital, School of Medicine, Chongqing University, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Traumatology, Chongqing Emergency Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital, School of Medicine, Chongqing University, Chongqing, China; Corresponding author. Department of traumatology, Chongqing Emergency Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital, School of Medicine, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400014, China.Objective: We aimed to identify preoperative and intraoperative factors associated with serious postoperative outcomes, which may help patients and clinicians make better-informed decisions. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study including all patients aged ≥90 years who underwent surgery between January 1, 2011, and January 1, 2021, at Chongqing University Central Hospital. We assessed 30 pre- and intraoperative demographic and clinical variables. Logistic regression was used to identify the independent risk factors for serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years. Results: A total of 428 patients were included in our analysis. The mean age was 92.6 years (SD ± 2.6). There were 240 (56.1%) females and 188 (43.9%) males. The most common comorbidities were hypertension (44.9%) and arrhythmias (34.8%). The 30-day hospital mortality was 5.6%, and severe morbidity was 33.2%. Based on the multivariate logistic regression classification analysis of the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA)≥ Ⅳ [odds ratio (OR), 5.39, 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.06–14.16, P = .001], emergency surgery (OR, 5.02, 95% CI, 2.85–15.98, P = .001) and chronic heart failure (OR, 6.11, 95% CI, 1.93–13.06, P = .001) were identified as independent risk factors for 30-day hospital mortality, and ASA≥ Ⅳ (OR, 4.56, 95%CI, 2.56–8.15, P < .001), Barthel index (BI) < 35 (OR, 2.28, 95%CI, 1.30–3.98, P = .001), chronic heart failure (OR, 3.67, 95%CI, 1.62–8.31, P = .002), chronic kidney disease (OR, 4.24, 95%CI, 1.99–9.05, P < .001), general anesthesia (OR, 3.31, 95%CI, 1.91–5.76, P < .001), emergency surgery (OR, 3.72, 95%CI, 1.98–6.99, P < .001), and major surgery (OR, 3.44, 95%CI, 1.90–6.22, P < .001) were identified as independent risk factors for serious postoperative complications. Conclusions: Patients aged ≥90 years with ASA≥ Ⅳ, BI < 35, combined with chronic heart failure or chronic kidney disease, undergoing emergency surgery, major surgery or general anesthesia have a higher risk of serious postoperative outcomes. Identifying these risk factors in an early stage may contribute to our clinical decision-making and improve the quality of treatments.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023003249Aged ≥90 yearsSurgeryRisk factorSerious postoperative outcome
spellingShingle Hong Fu
Jiang Zheng
Jingyi Lai
Victor W. Xia
Kaiping He
Dingyuan Du
Risk factors of serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years undergoing surgical intervention
Heliyon
Aged ≥90 years
Surgery
Risk factor
Serious postoperative outcome
title Risk factors of serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years undergoing surgical intervention
title_full Risk factors of serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years undergoing surgical intervention
title_fullStr Risk factors of serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years undergoing surgical intervention
title_full_unstemmed Risk factors of serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years undergoing surgical intervention
title_short Risk factors of serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years undergoing surgical intervention
title_sort risk factors of serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years undergoing surgical intervention
topic Aged ≥90 years
Surgery
Risk factor
Serious postoperative outcome
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023003249
work_keys_str_mv AT hongfu riskfactorsofseriouspostoperativeoutcomesinpatientsaged90yearsundergoingsurgicalintervention
AT jiangzheng riskfactorsofseriouspostoperativeoutcomesinpatientsaged90yearsundergoingsurgicalintervention
AT jingyilai riskfactorsofseriouspostoperativeoutcomesinpatientsaged90yearsundergoingsurgicalintervention
AT victorwxia riskfactorsofseriouspostoperativeoutcomesinpatientsaged90yearsundergoingsurgicalintervention
AT kaipinghe riskfactorsofseriouspostoperativeoutcomesinpatientsaged90yearsundergoingsurgicalintervention
AT dingyuandu riskfactorsofseriouspostoperativeoutcomesinpatientsaged90yearsundergoingsurgicalintervention