External debt and growth: role of stable macroeconomic policies

Purpose – This study aims to examine the impact of external debt on economic growth in Bangladesh within a broader macroeconomic scenario. Design/methodology/approach – In the process of doing so, it assesses the empirical cointegration, long-run and short-run dynamics of the concerned variables for...

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Main Authors: Sima Rani Dey, Mohammad Tareque
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2020-07-01
Series:Journal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JEFAS-05-2019-0069/full/pdf?title=external-debt-and-growth-role-of-stable-macroeconomic-policies
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author Sima Rani Dey
Mohammad Tareque
author_facet Sima Rani Dey
Mohammad Tareque
author_sort Sima Rani Dey
collection DOAJ
description Purpose – This study aims to examine the impact of external debt on economic growth in Bangladesh within a broader macroeconomic scenario. Design/methodology/approach – In the process of doing so, it assesses the empirical cointegration, long-run and short-run dynamics of the concerned variables for the period of 1980–2017 applying the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration. First, debt-gross domestic product linkage explores the impact of external debt impact on economic growth using a set of macro and country risk variables, and then this linkage is also analyzed along with a newly formed macroeconomic policy (MEP) variable using principal component analysis. Findings – The study results reveal the negative impact of external debt on GDP growth, but the larger positive impact of MEP index indicates that this adverse effect of debt can be mitigated or even nullified by sound MEP and appropriate human resource policy. Originality/value – The dynamic effects of different shocks (external debt and macro policy variable) on economic growth by vector autoregression impulse response function also confirm our ARDL findings.
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spelling doaj.art-e93c82ff974f45dfbb8dbeca6699eec72022-12-22T03:17:46ZengEmerald PublishingJournal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science2077-18862218-06482020-07-01255018520410.1108/JEFAS-05-2019-0069649345External debt and growth: role of stable macroeconomic policiesSima Rani Dey0Mohammad Tareque1Bangladesh Institute of Governance and Management, Dhaka, BangladeshBangladesh Institute of Governance and Management, Dhaka, BangladeshPurpose – This study aims to examine the impact of external debt on economic growth in Bangladesh within a broader macroeconomic scenario. Design/methodology/approach – In the process of doing so, it assesses the empirical cointegration, long-run and short-run dynamics of the concerned variables for the period of 1980–2017 applying the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration. First, debt-gross domestic product linkage explores the impact of external debt impact on economic growth using a set of macro and country risk variables, and then this linkage is also analyzed along with a newly formed macroeconomic policy (MEP) variable using principal component analysis. Findings – The study results reveal the negative impact of external debt on GDP growth, but the larger positive impact of MEP index indicates that this adverse effect of debt can be mitigated or even nullified by sound MEP and appropriate human resource policy. Originality/value – The dynamic effects of different shocks (external debt and macro policy variable) on economic growth by vector autoregression impulse response function also confirm our ARDL findings.https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JEFAS-05-2019-0069/full/pdf?title=external-debt-and-growth-role-of-stable-macroeconomic-policiesexternal debteconomic growthmacroeconomic policyardlc32h63e23e60
spellingShingle Sima Rani Dey
Mohammad Tareque
External debt and growth: role of stable macroeconomic policies
Journal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science
external debt
economic growth
macroeconomic policy
ardl
c32
h63
e23
e60
title External debt and growth: role of stable macroeconomic policies
title_full External debt and growth: role of stable macroeconomic policies
title_fullStr External debt and growth: role of stable macroeconomic policies
title_full_unstemmed External debt and growth: role of stable macroeconomic policies
title_short External debt and growth: role of stable macroeconomic policies
title_sort external debt and growth role of stable macroeconomic policies
topic external debt
economic growth
macroeconomic policy
ardl
c32
h63
e23
e60
url https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JEFAS-05-2019-0069/full/pdf?title=external-debt-and-growth-role-of-stable-macroeconomic-policies
work_keys_str_mv AT simaranidey externaldebtandgrowthroleofstablemacroeconomicpolicies
AT mohammadtareque externaldebtandgrowthroleofstablemacroeconomicpolicies