A Comparative Assessment of Hydrological Models in the Upper Cauvery Catchment

This paper presents a comparison of the predictive capability of three hydrological models, and a mean ensemble of these models, in a heavily influenced catchment in Peninsular India: GWAVA (Global Water AVailability Assessment) model, SWAT (Soil Water Assessment Tool) and VIC (Variable Infiltration...

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Main Authors: Robyn Horan, R Gowri, Pawan S. Wable, Helen Baron, Virginie D. J. Keller, Kaushal K. Garg, Pradeep P. Mujumdar, Helen Houghton-Carr, Gwyn Rees
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-01-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/2/151
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author Robyn Horan
R Gowri
Pawan S. Wable
Helen Baron
Virginie D. J. Keller
Kaushal K. Garg
Pradeep P. Mujumdar
Helen Houghton-Carr
Gwyn Rees
author_facet Robyn Horan
R Gowri
Pawan S. Wable
Helen Baron
Virginie D. J. Keller
Kaushal K. Garg
Pradeep P. Mujumdar
Helen Houghton-Carr
Gwyn Rees
author_sort Robyn Horan
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents a comparison of the predictive capability of three hydrological models, and a mean ensemble of these models, in a heavily influenced catchment in Peninsular India: GWAVA (Global Water AVailability Assessment) model, SWAT (Soil Water Assessment Tool) and VIC (Variable Infiltration Capacity) model. The performance of the three models and their ensemble were investigated in five sub-catchments in the upstream reaches of the Cauvery river catchment. Model performances for monthly streamflow simulations from 1983–2005 were analysed using Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, Kling-Gupta efficiency and percent bias. The predictive capability for each model was compared, and the ability to accurately represent key catchment hydrological processes is discussed. This highlighted the importance of an accurate spatial representation of precipitation for input into hydrological models, and that comprehensive reservoir functionality is paramount to obtaining good results in this region. The performance of the mean ensemble was analysed to determine whether the application of a multi-model ensemble approach can be useful in overcoming the uncertainties associated with individual models. It was demonstrated that the ensemble mean has a better predictive ability in catchments with reservoirs than the individual models, with Nash-Sutcliffe values between 0.49 and 0.92. Therefore, utilising multiple models could be a suitable methodology to offset uncertainty in input data and poor reservoir operation functionality within individual models.
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spelling doaj.art-e982ec1f053641a4a57a6437c2ff0aa72023-12-03T12:47:48ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412021-01-0113215110.3390/w13020151A Comparative Assessment of Hydrological Models in the Upper Cauvery CatchmentRobyn Horan0R Gowri1Pawan S. Wable2Helen Baron3Virginie D. J. Keller4Kaushal K. Garg5Pradeep P. Mujumdar6Helen Houghton-Carr7Gwyn Rees8UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UKDepartment of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560012, IndiaInternational Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics, Hyderabad 502324, IndiaUK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UKUK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UKInternational Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics, Hyderabad 502324, IndiaDepartment of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560012, IndiaUK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UKUK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UKThis paper presents a comparison of the predictive capability of three hydrological models, and a mean ensemble of these models, in a heavily influenced catchment in Peninsular India: GWAVA (Global Water AVailability Assessment) model, SWAT (Soil Water Assessment Tool) and VIC (Variable Infiltration Capacity) model. The performance of the three models and their ensemble were investigated in five sub-catchments in the upstream reaches of the Cauvery river catchment. Model performances for monthly streamflow simulations from 1983–2005 were analysed using Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, Kling-Gupta efficiency and percent bias. The predictive capability for each model was compared, and the ability to accurately represent key catchment hydrological processes is discussed. This highlighted the importance of an accurate spatial representation of precipitation for input into hydrological models, and that comprehensive reservoir functionality is paramount to obtaining good results in this region. The performance of the mean ensemble was analysed to determine whether the application of a multi-model ensemble approach can be useful in overcoming the uncertainties associated with individual models. It was demonstrated that the ensemble mean has a better predictive ability in catchments with reservoirs than the individual models, with Nash-Sutcliffe values between 0.49 and 0.92. Therefore, utilising multiple models could be a suitable methodology to offset uncertainty in input data and poor reservoir operation functionality within individual models.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/2/151Cauveryhydrological modellingVICSWATGWAVAensemble modelling
spellingShingle Robyn Horan
R Gowri
Pawan S. Wable
Helen Baron
Virginie D. J. Keller
Kaushal K. Garg
Pradeep P. Mujumdar
Helen Houghton-Carr
Gwyn Rees
A Comparative Assessment of Hydrological Models in the Upper Cauvery Catchment
Water
Cauvery
hydrological modelling
VIC
SWAT
GWAVA
ensemble modelling
title A Comparative Assessment of Hydrological Models in the Upper Cauvery Catchment
title_full A Comparative Assessment of Hydrological Models in the Upper Cauvery Catchment
title_fullStr A Comparative Assessment of Hydrological Models in the Upper Cauvery Catchment
title_full_unstemmed A Comparative Assessment of Hydrological Models in the Upper Cauvery Catchment
title_short A Comparative Assessment of Hydrological Models in the Upper Cauvery Catchment
title_sort comparative assessment of hydrological models in the upper cauvery catchment
topic Cauvery
hydrological modelling
VIC
SWAT
GWAVA
ensemble modelling
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/2/151
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