Research on Carbon Reduction Paths in Recycling Industrial Parks based on System Dynamics

The “double carbon” target is a medium-to-long-term national strategy proposed by China to combat climate change. The industrial sector is one of the key areas for the implementation of the “double carbon” target. Therefore, studying the association between carbon emission factors and carbon emissio...

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Main Authors: Cao Guoliang, Li Ruixin, Qi Lei, Ning Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2023-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/30/e3sconf_eppct2023_03014.pdf
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author Cao Guoliang
Li Ruixin
Qi Lei
Ning Chen
author_facet Cao Guoliang
Li Ruixin
Qi Lei
Ning Chen
author_sort Cao Guoliang
collection DOAJ
description The “double carbon” target is a medium-to-long-term national strategy proposed by China to combat climate change. The industrial sector is one of the key areas for the implementation of the “double carbon” target. Therefore, studying the association between carbon emission factors and carbon emissions is crucial to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from industrial activities. In the present study, the association between factors affecting carbon emissions and carbon emissions in a circular economy were investigated for an industrial park in Northwest China. A carbon emission system dynamics model for this circular economy industrial park was constructed, in reference to the relevant national policies and the current condition of the park. Five different scenarios were utilized to dynamically simulate the impact of rapid economic development, energy restructuring, industrial restructuring, and technological development, and carbon emission reduction paths for industrial parks were explored. The results showed that, the park would peak at 1134.67 thousand tons of CO2 in 2032, according to the baseline scenario, with industrial energy consumption accounting for over 80% of the total emissions. A combined regulation scenario, with increased investment in research and development and environmental management, would achieve a peak in 2030, with a relatively lower peak of 1062.88 thousand tons of CO2. Our findings provides new insights into the paths of carbon emission reduction in recycling industrial parks.
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spelling doaj.art-e9873f2e91f54edc8ea5ec441922d1952023-06-09T09:12:44ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422023-01-013930301410.1051/e3sconf/202339303014e3sconf_eppct2023_03014Research on Carbon Reduction Paths in Recycling Industrial Parks based on System DynamicsCao Guoliang0Li Ruixin1Qi Lei2Ning Chen3School of Environment and Municipal Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and TechnologySchool of Environment and Municipal Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and TechnologyThe tackle climate change office of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Department of Ecology and EnvironmentSchool of Environment and Municipal Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and TechnologyThe “double carbon” target is a medium-to-long-term national strategy proposed by China to combat climate change. The industrial sector is one of the key areas for the implementation of the “double carbon” target. Therefore, studying the association between carbon emission factors and carbon emissions is crucial to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from industrial activities. In the present study, the association between factors affecting carbon emissions and carbon emissions in a circular economy were investigated for an industrial park in Northwest China. A carbon emission system dynamics model for this circular economy industrial park was constructed, in reference to the relevant national policies and the current condition of the park. Five different scenarios were utilized to dynamically simulate the impact of rapid economic development, energy restructuring, industrial restructuring, and technological development, and carbon emission reduction paths for industrial parks were explored. The results showed that, the park would peak at 1134.67 thousand tons of CO2 in 2032, according to the baseline scenario, with industrial energy consumption accounting for over 80% of the total emissions. A combined regulation scenario, with increased investment in research and development and environmental management, would achieve a peak in 2030, with a relatively lower peak of 1062.88 thousand tons of CO2. Our findings provides new insights into the paths of carbon emission reduction in recycling industrial parks.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/30/e3sconf_eppct2023_03014.pdf
spellingShingle Cao Guoliang
Li Ruixin
Qi Lei
Ning Chen
Research on Carbon Reduction Paths in Recycling Industrial Parks based on System Dynamics
E3S Web of Conferences
title Research on Carbon Reduction Paths in Recycling Industrial Parks based on System Dynamics
title_full Research on Carbon Reduction Paths in Recycling Industrial Parks based on System Dynamics
title_fullStr Research on Carbon Reduction Paths in Recycling Industrial Parks based on System Dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Research on Carbon Reduction Paths in Recycling Industrial Parks based on System Dynamics
title_short Research on Carbon Reduction Paths in Recycling Industrial Parks based on System Dynamics
title_sort research on carbon reduction paths in recycling industrial parks based on system dynamics
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/30/e3sconf_eppct2023_03014.pdf
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AT ningchen researchoncarbonreductionpathsinrecyclingindustrialparksbasedonsystemdynamics