Do Earthquakes Shake Stock Markets?

This paper examines how major earthquakes affected the returns and volatility of aggregate stock market indices in thirty-five financial markets over the last twenty years. Results show that global financial markets are resilient to shocks caused by earthquakes even if these are domestic. Our analys...

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Main Authors: Susana Ferreira, Berna Karali
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2015-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4510879?pdf=render
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author Susana Ferreira
Berna Karali
author_facet Susana Ferreira
Berna Karali
author_sort Susana Ferreira
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines how major earthquakes affected the returns and volatility of aggregate stock market indices in thirty-five financial markets over the last twenty years. Results show that global financial markets are resilient to shocks caused by earthquakes even if these are domestic. Our analysis reveals that, in a few instances, some macroeconomic variables and earthquake characteristics (gross domestic product per capita, trade openness, bilateral trade flows, earthquake magnitude, a tsunami indicator, distance to the epicenter, and number of fatalities) mediate the impact of earthquakes on stock market returns, resulting in a zero net effect. However, the influence of these variables is market-specific, indicating no systematic pattern across global capital markets. Results also demonstrate that stock market volatility is unaffected by earthquakes, except for Japan.
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spelling doaj.art-e9ba449845d5491d8ece8e083f8748892022-12-22T03:17:44ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032015-01-01107e013331910.1371/journal.pone.0133319Do Earthquakes Shake Stock Markets?Susana FerreiraBerna KaraliThis paper examines how major earthquakes affected the returns and volatility of aggregate stock market indices in thirty-five financial markets over the last twenty years. Results show that global financial markets are resilient to shocks caused by earthquakes even if these are domestic. Our analysis reveals that, in a few instances, some macroeconomic variables and earthquake characteristics (gross domestic product per capita, trade openness, bilateral trade flows, earthquake magnitude, a tsunami indicator, distance to the epicenter, and number of fatalities) mediate the impact of earthquakes on stock market returns, resulting in a zero net effect. However, the influence of these variables is market-specific, indicating no systematic pattern across global capital markets. Results also demonstrate that stock market volatility is unaffected by earthquakes, except for Japan.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4510879?pdf=render
spellingShingle Susana Ferreira
Berna Karali
Do Earthquakes Shake Stock Markets?
PLoS ONE
title Do Earthquakes Shake Stock Markets?
title_full Do Earthquakes Shake Stock Markets?
title_fullStr Do Earthquakes Shake Stock Markets?
title_full_unstemmed Do Earthquakes Shake Stock Markets?
title_short Do Earthquakes Shake Stock Markets?
title_sort do earthquakes shake stock markets
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4510879?pdf=render
work_keys_str_mv AT susanaferreira doearthquakesshakestockmarkets
AT bernakarali doearthquakesshakestockmarkets