COVID-19 and liquidity risk, exploring the relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns

The impact on economic aspects of the COVID-19 is continuing under discussion. This study unveils effects of the pandemic on relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns. Using the time series and machine learning techniques, the analysis is based on the Dow Jones Industrial...

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Main Author: Jawad Saleemi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2021-04-01
Series:National Accounting Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/NAR.2021011?viewType=HTML
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author Jawad Saleemi
author_facet Jawad Saleemi
author_sort Jawad Saleemi
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description The impact on economic aspects of the COVID-19 is continuing under discussion. This study unveils effects of the pandemic on relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns. Using the time series and machine learning techniques, the analysis is based on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) index. If the entire dataset was examined, the liquidity cost was found to be positive and significantly related to the DJI index returns. From the VAR estimation, the market returns were significantly explained by past values of the liquidity cost. The statistical Granger-causality was also observed between variables. If the relationship was analyzed during peak restrictions, the results were changed. The liquidity cost was observed to be negative and insignificantly related to the DJI index returns. The market returns were not associated with lags of the liquidity cost. In addition, the Granger-causality was not found between variables. If effects associated with easing restrictions were examined, the liquidity cost was found to be positive and significantly associated with returns on the DJI index. Meanwhile, the returns were more sensitive to the liquidity cost. However, the market returns were not explained by lags of the liquidity cost. The liquidity cost did not Granger-cause returns. The findings suggest that the liquidity cost must be priced in returns due to the pandemic-related uncertainty.
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spelling doaj.art-e9c55cf137fe44939f67e7306ce634c62022-12-21T21:25:28ZengAIMS PressNational Accounting Review2689-30102021-04-013221823610.3934/NAR.2021011COVID-19 and liquidity risk, exploring the relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returnsJawad Saleemi 0Department of Economics and Social Sciences, Universitat Politècnica De València, 46022 Valencia, SpainThe impact on economic aspects of the COVID-19 is continuing under discussion. This study unveils effects of the pandemic on relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns. Using the time series and machine learning techniques, the analysis is based on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) index. If the entire dataset was examined, the liquidity cost was found to be positive and significantly related to the DJI index returns. From the VAR estimation, the market returns were significantly explained by past values of the liquidity cost. The statistical Granger-causality was also observed between variables. If the relationship was analyzed during peak restrictions, the results were changed. The liquidity cost was observed to be negative and insignificantly related to the DJI index returns. The market returns were not associated with lags of the liquidity cost. In addition, the Granger-causality was not found between variables. If effects associated with easing restrictions were examined, the liquidity cost was found to be positive and significantly associated with returns on the DJI index. Meanwhile, the returns were more sensitive to the liquidity cost. However, the market returns were not explained by lags of the liquidity cost. The liquidity cost did not Granger-cause returns. The findings suggest that the liquidity cost must be priced in returns due to the pandemic-related uncertainty.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/NAR.2021011?viewType=HTMLasset pricingliquidity coststock market returnscovid-19 impact
spellingShingle Jawad Saleemi
COVID-19 and liquidity risk, exploring the relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns
National Accounting Review
asset pricing
liquidity cost
stock market returns
covid-19 impact
title COVID-19 and liquidity risk, exploring the relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns
title_full COVID-19 and liquidity risk, exploring the relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns
title_fullStr COVID-19 and liquidity risk, exploring the relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 and liquidity risk, exploring the relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns
title_short COVID-19 and liquidity risk, exploring the relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns
title_sort covid 19 and liquidity risk exploring the relationship dynamics between liquidity cost and stock market returns
topic asset pricing
liquidity cost
stock market returns
covid-19 impact
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/NAR.2021011?viewType=HTML
work_keys_str_mv AT jawadsaleemi covid19andliquidityriskexploringtherelationshipdynamicsbetweenliquiditycostandstockmarketreturns