Research on a load forecasting model based on ACMD and BiGRU-Attention

To lessen the impact of fluctuation and randomness of the user-side load on the load forecasting accuracy, a BiGRU-Attention (bidirectional gated recurrent unit with attention) short-term load forecasting model based on ACMD (adaptive chirp mode decomposition) and the Attention mechanism is proposed...

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Main Authors: SHEN Jianliang, LAI Jun, ZHANG Yi, WANG Jianfeng, ZHONG Zan, YANG Ping
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: zhejiang electric power 2023-06-01
Series:Zhejiang dianli
Subjects:
Online Access:https://zjdl.cbpt.cnki.net/WKE3/WebPublication/paperDigest.aspx?paperID=ca10cb95-ee2b-4d45-9978-976e5009bce7
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author SHEN Jianliang
LAI Jun
ZHANG Yi
WANG Jianfeng
ZHONG Zan
YANG Ping
author_facet SHEN Jianliang
LAI Jun
ZHANG Yi
WANG Jianfeng
ZHONG Zan
YANG Ping
author_sort SHEN Jianliang
collection DOAJ
description To lessen the impact of fluctuation and randomness of the user-side load on the load forecasting accuracy, a BiGRU-Attention (bidirectional gated recurrent unit with attention) short-term load forecasting model based on ACMD (adaptive chirp mode decomposition) and the Attention mechanism is proposed. Firstly, ACMD is used to decompose the load time series into several relatively regular subcomponents; then, the BiGRU model is used to predict the subcomponents and sum them up to obtain the final prediction results. To highlight the influence of important information, the Attention mechanism is introduced into the BiGRU model to give corresponding weights to the implied states of the BiGRU network. The sparrow search algorithm is used for the optimal selection of model hyperparameters to reduce the impact of misselection of model hyperparameters. An open data set is used for example analysis that is compared with a single model and combined model respectively. The results show that the method is superior in prediction.
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spelling doaj.art-e9d35f8d98124874ab67d330d80baf2f2023-07-04T06:43:14Zzhozhejiang electric powerZhejiang dianli1007-18812023-06-01426707710.19585/j.zjdl.2023060081007-1881(2023)06-0070-08Research on a load forecasting model based on ACMD and BiGRU-AttentionSHEN Jianliang0LAI Jun1ZHANG Yi2WANG Jianfeng3ZHONG Zan4YANG Ping5State Grid Huzhou Power Supply Company, Huzhou, Hangzhou 313000, ChinaState Grid Huzhou Power Supply Company, Huzhou, Hangzhou 313000, ChinaState Grid Huzhou Power Supply Company, Huzhou, Hangzhou 313000, ChinaState Grid Huzhou Power Supply Company, Huzhou, Hangzhou 313000, ChinaState Grid Huzhou Power Supply Company, Huzhou, Hangzhou 313000, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, ChinaTo lessen the impact of fluctuation and randomness of the user-side load on the load forecasting accuracy, a BiGRU-Attention (bidirectional gated recurrent unit with attention) short-term load forecasting model based on ACMD (adaptive chirp mode decomposition) and the Attention mechanism is proposed. Firstly, ACMD is used to decompose the load time series into several relatively regular subcomponents; then, the BiGRU model is used to predict the subcomponents and sum them up to obtain the final prediction results. To highlight the influence of important information, the Attention mechanism is introduced into the BiGRU model to give corresponding weights to the implied states of the BiGRU network. The sparrow search algorithm is used for the optimal selection of model hyperparameters to reduce the impact of misselection of model hyperparameters. An open data set is used for example analysis that is compared with a single model and combined model respectively. The results show that the method is superior in prediction.https://zjdl.cbpt.cnki.net/WKE3/WebPublication/paperDigest.aspx?paperID=ca10cb95-ee2b-4d45-9978-976e5009bce7load forecastingbigruacmdsparrow search algorithmattention mechanism
spellingShingle SHEN Jianliang
LAI Jun
ZHANG Yi
WANG Jianfeng
ZHONG Zan
YANG Ping
Research on a load forecasting model based on ACMD and BiGRU-Attention
Zhejiang dianli
load forecasting
bigru
acmd
sparrow search algorithm
attention mechanism
title Research on a load forecasting model based on ACMD and BiGRU-Attention
title_full Research on a load forecasting model based on ACMD and BiGRU-Attention
title_fullStr Research on a load forecasting model based on ACMD and BiGRU-Attention
title_full_unstemmed Research on a load forecasting model based on ACMD and BiGRU-Attention
title_short Research on a load forecasting model based on ACMD and BiGRU-Attention
title_sort research on a load forecasting model based on acmd and bigru attention
topic load forecasting
bigru
acmd
sparrow search algorithm
attention mechanism
url https://zjdl.cbpt.cnki.net/WKE3/WebPublication/paperDigest.aspx?paperID=ca10cb95-ee2b-4d45-9978-976e5009bce7
work_keys_str_mv AT shenjianliang researchonaloadforecastingmodelbasedonacmdandbigruattention
AT laijun researchonaloadforecastingmodelbasedonacmdandbigruattention
AT zhangyi researchonaloadforecastingmodelbasedonacmdandbigruattention
AT wangjianfeng researchonaloadforecastingmodelbasedonacmdandbigruattention
AT zhongzan researchonaloadforecastingmodelbasedonacmdandbigruattention
AT yangping researchonaloadforecastingmodelbasedonacmdandbigruattention