Cyclical-Adjusted External Balance of Goods and Services in the Czech Republic

Article develop the cyclical adjustment methodology of the balance of goods and services, which is beneficial especially for a small open economy. Cyclical adjustment procedure is applied and adjusted to the Czech data by quantifying cyclical determinants of foreign trade such as domestic and foreig...

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Main Author: Zdeněk Pikhart
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Czech Statistical Office 2018-06-01
Series:Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.czso.cz/documents/10180/61266319/32019718q2103.pdf/caffeb17-393a-4f73-8855-44ef17ff761c?version=1.0
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author Zdeněk Pikhart
author_facet Zdeněk Pikhart
author_sort Zdeněk Pikhart
collection DOAJ
description Article develop the cyclical adjustment methodology of the balance of goods and services, which is beneficial especially for a small open economy. Cyclical adjustment procedure is applied and adjusted to the Czech data by quantifying cyclical determinants of foreign trade such as domestic and foreign output gap and trade prices deviations from the trend. Results show that cyclical adjustment of external trade balance provide a useful tool for assessing the sustainability of trade development and thus help to better analyze current situation and forecast short-term future development.
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spelling doaj.art-e9f980383ddb4f84b9d1f948aad469f82022-12-21T19:13:57ZengCzech Statistical OfficeStatistika: Statistics and Economy Journal0322-788X1804-87652018-06-01982103112Cyclical-Adjusted External Balance of Goods and Services in the Czech RepublicZdeněk Pikhart0University of Economics, Prague, Czech RepublicArticle develop the cyclical adjustment methodology of the balance of goods and services, which is beneficial especially for a small open economy. Cyclical adjustment procedure is applied and adjusted to the Czech data by quantifying cyclical determinants of foreign trade such as domestic and foreign output gap and trade prices deviations from the trend. Results show that cyclical adjustment of external trade balance provide a useful tool for assessing the sustainability of trade development and thus help to better analyze current situation and forecast short-term future development.https://www.czso.cz/documents/10180/61266319/32019718q2103.pdf/caffeb17-393a-4f73-8855-44ef17ff761c?version=1.0Business cyclecyclical adjustmentexternal balance of trade
spellingShingle Zdeněk Pikhart
Cyclical-Adjusted External Balance of Goods and Services in the Czech Republic
Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal
Business cycle
cyclical adjustment
external balance of trade
title Cyclical-Adjusted External Balance of Goods and Services in the Czech Republic
title_full Cyclical-Adjusted External Balance of Goods and Services in the Czech Republic
title_fullStr Cyclical-Adjusted External Balance of Goods and Services in the Czech Republic
title_full_unstemmed Cyclical-Adjusted External Balance of Goods and Services in the Czech Republic
title_short Cyclical-Adjusted External Balance of Goods and Services in the Czech Republic
title_sort cyclical adjusted external balance of goods and services in the czech republic
topic Business cycle
cyclical adjustment
external balance of trade
url https://www.czso.cz/documents/10180/61266319/32019718q2103.pdf/caffeb17-393a-4f73-8855-44ef17ff761c?version=1.0
work_keys_str_mv AT zdenekpikhart cyclicaladjustedexternalbalanceofgoodsandservicesintheczechrepublic