Time Series Forecasting with Missing Values

Time series prediction has become more popular in various kinds of applications such as weather prediction, control engineering, financial analysis, industrial monitoring, etc. To deal with real-world problems, we are often faced with missing values in the data due to sensor malfunctions or human er...

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Main Authors: Shin-Fu Wu, Chia-Yung Chang, Shie-Jue Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: European Alliance for Innovation (EAI) 2015-11-01
Series:EAI Endorsed Transactions on Cognitive Communications
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eudl.eu/doi/10.4108/icst.iniscom.2015.258269
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author Shin-Fu Wu
Chia-Yung Chang
Shie-Jue Lee
author_facet Shin-Fu Wu
Chia-Yung Chang
Shie-Jue Lee
author_sort Shin-Fu Wu
collection DOAJ
description Time series prediction has become more popular in various kinds of applications such as weather prediction, control engineering, financial analysis, industrial monitoring, etc. To deal with real-world problems, we are often faced with missing values in the data due to sensor malfunctions or human errors. Traditionally, the missing values are simply omitted or replaced by means of imputation methods. However, omitting those missing values may cause temporal discontinuity. Imputation methods, on the other hand, may alter the original time series. In this study, we propose a novel forecasting method based on least squares support vector machine (LSSVM). We employ the input patterns with the temporal information which is defined as local time index (LTI). Time series data as well as local time indexes are fed to LSSVM for doing forecasting without imputation. We compare the forecasting performance of our method with other imputation methods. Experimental results show that the proposed method is promising and is worth further investigations.
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spelling doaj.art-ea0be11e671147428eca5b9b2fd4bf0c2022-12-22T00:07:27ZengEuropean Alliance for Innovation (EAI)EAI Endorsed Transactions on Cognitive Communications2313-45342015-11-01141610.4108/icst.iniscom.2015.258269Time Series Forecasting with Missing ValuesShin-Fu WuChia-Yung ChangShie-Jue LeeTime series prediction has become more popular in various kinds of applications such as weather prediction, control engineering, financial analysis, industrial monitoring, etc. To deal with real-world problems, we are often faced with missing values in the data due to sensor malfunctions or human errors. Traditionally, the missing values are simply omitted or replaced by means of imputation methods. However, omitting those missing values may cause temporal discontinuity. Imputation methods, on the other hand, may alter the original time series. In this study, we propose a novel forecasting method based on least squares support vector machine (LSSVM). We employ the input patterns with the temporal information which is defined as local time index (LTI). Time series data as well as local time indexes are fed to LSSVM for doing forecasting without imputation. We compare the forecasting performance of our method with other imputation methods. Experimental results show that the proposed method is promising and is worth further investigations.http://eudl.eu/doi/10.4108/icst.iniscom.2015.258269time series predictionmissing valueslocal time indexleast squares support vector machine (lssvm)
spellingShingle Shin-Fu Wu
Chia-Yung Chang
Shie-Jue Lee
Time Series Forecasting with Missing Values
EAI Endorsed Transactions on Cognitive Communications
time series prediction
missing values
local time index
least squares support vector machine (lssvm)
title Time Series Forecasting with Missing Values
title_full Time Series Forecasting with Missing Values
title_fullStr Time Series Forecasting with Missing Values
title_full_unstemmed Time Series Forecasting with Missing Values
title_short Time Series Forecasting with Missing Values
title_sort time series forecasting with missing values
topic time series prediction
missing values
local time index
least squares support vector machine (lssvm)
url http://eudl.eu/doi/10.4108/icst.iniscom.2015.258269
work_keys_str_mv AT shinfuwu timeseriesforecastingwithmissingvalues
AT chiayungchang timeseriesforecastingwithmissingvalues
AT shiejuelee timeseriesforecastingwithmissingvalues