Environmental and socioeconomic analysis of malaria transmission in the Brazilian Amazon, 2010–2015

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To analyze the environmental and socioeconomic risk factors of malaria transmission at municipality level, from 2010 to 2015, in the Brazilian Amazon. METHODS The municipalities were stratified into high, moderate, and low transmission based on the annual parasite incidence. A...

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Main Authors: Tiago Canelas, Carlos Castillo-Salgado, Oswaldo Santos Baquero, Helena Ribeiro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidade de São Paulo 2019-05-01
Series:Revista de Saúde Pública
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89102019000100244&lng=en&tlng=en
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author Tiago Canelas
Carlos Castillo-Salgado
Oswaldo Santos Baquero
Helena Ribeiro
author_facet Tiago Canelas
Carlos Castillo-Salgado
Oswaldo Santos Baquero
Helena Ribeiro
author_sort Tiago Canelas
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To analyze the environmental and socioeconomic risk factors of malaria transmission at municipality level, from 2010 to 2015, in the Brazilian Amazon. METHODS The municipalities were stratified into high, moderate, and low transmission based on the annual parasite incidence. A multinomial logistic regression that compared low with medium transmission and low with high transmission was performed. For each category, three models were analyzed: one only with socioeconomic risk factors (Gini index, illiteracy, number of mines and indigenous areas); a second with the environmental factors (forest coverage and length of the wet season); and a third with all covariates (full model). RESULTS The full model showed the best performance. The most important risks factors for high transmission were Gini index, length of the wet season and illiteracy, OR 2.06 (95%CI 1.19–3.56), 1.73 (95%CI 1.19–2.51) and 1.10 (95%CI 1.03–1.17), respectively. The medium transmission showed a weaker influence of the risk factors, being illiteracy, forest coverage and indigenous areas statistically significant but with marginal influence. CONCLUSIONS As a disease of poverty, the reduction in wealth inequalities and, therefore, health inequalities, could reduce the transmission considerably. Besides, environmental risk factors as length of the wet season should be considered in the planning, prevention and control. Municipality-level and fine-scale analysis should be done together to improve the knowledge of the local dynamics of transmission.
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spelling doaj.art-ea14e4765e9342c4ba6c838e4f8abcde2022-12-22T03:15:00ZengUniversidade de São PauloRevista de Saúde Pública1518-87872019-05-0153010.11606/s1518-8787.2019053000983S0034-89102019000100244Environmental and socioeconomic analysis of malaria transmission in the Brazilian Amazon, 2010–2015Tiago CanelasCarlos Castillo-SalgadoOswaldo Santos BaqueroHelena RibeiroABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To analyze the environmental and socioeconomic risk factors of malaria transmission at municipality level, from 2010 to 2015, in the Brazilian Amazon. METHODS The municipalities were stratified into high, moderate, and low transmission based on the annual parasite incidence. A multinomial logistic regression that compared low with medium transmission and low with high transmission was performed. For each category, three models were analyzed: one only with socioeconomic risk factors (Gini index, illiteracy, number of mines and indigenous areas); a second with the environmental factors (forest coverage and length of the wet season); and a third with all covariates (full model). RESULTS The full model showed the best performance. The most important risks factors for high transmission were Gini index, length of the wet season and illiteracy, OR 2.06 (95%CI 1.19–3.56), 1.73 (95%CI 1.19–2.51) and 1.10 (95%CI 1.03–1.17), respectively. The medium transmission showed a weaker influence of the risk factors, being illiteracy, forest coverage and indigenous areas statistically significant but with marginal influence. CONCLUSIONS As a disease of poverty, the reduction in wealth inequalities and, therefore, health inequalities, could reduce the transmission considerably. Besides, environmental risk factors as length of the wet season should be considered in the planning, prevention and control. Municipality-level and fine-scale analysis should be done together to improve the knowledge of the local dynamics of transmission.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89102019000100244&lng=en&tlng=enMalaria, epidemiologyRisk FactorsSocioeconomic FactorsSpatial AnalysisAmazonian EcosystemHealth Status Disparities
spellingShingle Tiago Canelas
Carlos Castillo-Salgado
Oswaldo Santos Baquero
Helena Ribeiro
Environmental and socioeconomic analysis of malaria transmission in the Brazilian Amazon, 2010–2015
Revista de Saúde Pública
Malaria, epidemiology
Risk Factors
Socioeconomic Factors
Spatial Analysis
Amazonian Ecosystem
Health Status Disparities
title Environmental and socioeconomic analysis of malaria transmission in the Brazilian Amazon, 2010–2015
title_full Environmental and socioeconomic analysis of malaria transmission in the Brazilian Amazon, 2010–2015
title_fullStr Environmental and socioeconomic analysis of malaria transmission in the Brazilian Amazon, 2010–2015
title_full_unstemmed Environmental and socioeconomic analysis of malaria transmission in the Brazilian Amazon, 2010–2015
title_short Environmental and socioeconomic analysis of malaria transmission in the Brazilian Amazon, 2010–2015
title_sort environmental and socioeconomic analysis of malaria transmission in the brazilian amazon 2010 2015
topic Malaria, epidemiology
Risk Factors
Socioeconomic Factors
Spatial Analysis
Amazonian Ecosystem
Health Status Disparities
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89102019000100244&lng=en&tlng=en
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AT oswaldosantosbaquero environmentalandsocioeconomicanalysisofmalariatransmissioninthebrazilianamazon20102015
AT helenaribeiro environmentalandsocioeconomicanalysisofmalariatransmissioninthebrazilianamazon20102015