A surrogate-assisted point estimate method for hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow in distribution networks

The uncertain power flow analysis is essential to assessing the operating states of distribution networks under various uncertainties. The power flow calculations considering the single uncertainty have been well developed. However, different types of uncertainties may coexist in power systems. In o...

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Main Authors: Chenxu Wang, Yan Peng, Yixi Zhou, Junchao Ma, Chengyu Lu, Xiyun Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-11-01
Series:Energy Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722014883
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author Chenxu Wang
Yan Peng
Yixi Zhou
Junchao Ma
Chengyu Lu
Xiyun Yang
author_facet Chenxu Wang
Yan Peng
Yixi Zhou
Junchao Ma
Chengyu Lu
Xiyun Yang
author_sort Chenxu Wang
collection DOAJ
description The uncertain power flow analysis is essential to assessing the operating states of distribution networks under various uncertainties. The power flow calculations considering the single uncertainty have been well developed. However, different types of uncertainties may coexist in power systems. In order to comprehensively assess the impacts of mixed uncertainties, this paper proposes a surrogate-assisted point estimate method to solve the hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow. By taking advantage of the point estimate method and high-fidelity surrogate model, the proposed method can accurately obtain the relevant results of power flow calculation with high efficiency. The numerical studies in IEEE 33-bus and 141-bus systems verify the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method by comparing it with other well-known methods.
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spelling doaj.art-ea16909bedf44eff8477aa16855f5d582023-02-22T04:31:08ZengElsevierEnergy Reports2352-48472022-11-018713721A surrogate-assisted point estimate method for hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow in distribution networksChenxu Wang0Yan Peng1Yixi Zhou2Junchao Ma3Chengyu Lu4Xiyun Yang5Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Corporation, Hangzhou 310014, China; Corresponding author.Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Corporation, Hangzhou 310014, ChinaState Grid Hangzhou Electric Power Supply Company, Hangzhou 310020, ChinaElectric Power Research Institute of State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Corporation, Hangzhou 310014, ChinaElectric Power Research Institute of State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Corporation, Hangzhou 310014, ChinaSchool of Control and Computer Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, ChinaThe uncertain power flow analysis is essential to assessing the operating states of distribution networks under various uncertainties. The power flow calculations considering the single uncertainty have been well developed. However, different types of uncertainties may coexist in power systems. In order to comprehensively assess the impacts of mixed uncertainties, this paper proposes a surrogate-assisted point estimate method to solve the hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow. By taking advantage of the point estimate method and high-fidelity surrogate model, the proposed method can accurately obtain the relevant results of power flow calculation with high efficiency. The numerical studies in IEEE 33-bus and 141-bus systems verify the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method by comparing it with other well-known methods.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722014883Uncertain power flowHybrid uncertaintiesDistributed generatorsPoint estimate methodSurrogate model
spellingShingle Chenxu Wang
Yan Peng
Yixi Zhou
Junchao Ma
Chengyu Lu
Xiyun Yang
A surrogate-assisted point estimate method for hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow in distribution networks
Energy Reports
Uncertain power flow
Hybrid uncertainties
Distributed generators
Point estimate method
Surrogate model
title A surrogate-assisted point estimate method for hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow in distribution networks
title_full A surrogate-assisted point estimate method for hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow in distribution networks
title_fullStr A surrogate-assisted point estimate method for hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow in distribution networks
title_full_unstemmed A surrogate-assisted point estimate method for hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow in distribution networks
title_short A surrogate-assisted point estimate method for hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow in distribution networks
title_sort surrogate assisted point estimate method for hybrid probabilistic and interval power flow in distribution networks
topic Uncertain power flow
Hybrid uncertainties
Distributed generators
Point estimate method
Surrogate model
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722014883
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