Voting behavior and budget stability

The aim of this paper is to analyze how the implementation of the Budgetary Stability Law has affected Political Budget Cycles generated by Spanish local governments. Specifically, we study whether the evolution of debt, budget deficit, capital spending and current spending over the electoral cycle...

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Main Authors: Cristina Vicente, Ana María Rios, Maria-Dolores Guillamón
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad de Murcia 2019-03-01
Series:Revista de Contabilidad: Spanish Accounting Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.um.es/rcsar/article/view/368161
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author Cristina Vicente
Cristina Vicente
Ana María Rios
Maria-Dolores Guillamón
author_facet Cristina Vicente
Cristina Vicente
Ana María Rios
Maria-Dolores Guillamón
author_sort Cristina Vicente
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this paper is to analyze how the implementation of the Budgetary Stability Law has affected Political Budget Cycles generated by Spanish local governments. Specifically, we study whether the evolution of debt, budget deficit, capital spending and current spending over the electoral cycle has changed after the introduction of this law. We use a sample of 132 Spanish municipalities with more than 50,000 inhabitants (including the provincial capitals) during the period 1995–2009. Our results show that the Budgetary Stability Law has avoided electoral cycles in debt. On the contrary, the adoption of this law has not mitigated the incumbents’ incentives to manipulate deficit, capital spending and current spending with electoral aims. Nevertheless, it has caused a change in the way in which mayors manipulate fiscal policy over the electoral cycle. The opportunistic expansion covered both preelectoral year and the electoral year before the implementation of this fiscal rule, while after that, deficit and spending increases are confined in the election year.
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spelling doaj.art-ea1e7030d18147c1bd7dadd8305724022022-12-22T01:20:01ZengUniversidad de MurciaRevista de Contabilidad: Spanish Accounting Review1138-48911988-46722019-03-0116110.1016/S1138-4891(13)70005-0Voting behavior and budget stabilityCristina VicenteCristina VicenteAna María RiosMaria-Dolores GuillamónThe aim of this paper is to analyze how the implementation of the Budgetary Stability Law has affected Political Budget Cycles generated by Spanish local governments. Specifically, we study whether the evolution of debt, budget deficit, capital spending and current spending over the electoral cycle has changed after the introduction of this law. We use a sample of 132 Spanish municipalities with more than 50,000 inhabitants (including the provincial capitals) during the period 1995–2009. Our results show that the Budgetary Stability Law has avoided electoral cycles in debt. On the contrary, the adoption of this law has not mitigated the incumbents’ incentives to manipulate deficit, capital spending and current spending with electoral aims. Nevertheless, it has caused a change in the way in which mayors manipulate fiscal policy over the electoral cycle. The opportunistic expansion covered both preelectoral year and the electoral year before the implementation of this fiscal rule, while after that, deficit and spending increases are confined in the election year.https://revistas.um.es/rcsar/article/view/368161Ley de Estabilidad PresupuestariaCiclos electoralesGobiernos locales
spellingShingle Cristina Vicente
Cristina Vicente
Ana María Rios
Maria-Dolores Guillamón
Voting behavior and budget stability
Revista de Contabilidad: Spanish Accounting Review
Ley de Estabilidad Presupuestaria
Ciclos electorales
Gobiernos locales
title Voting behavior and budget stability
title_full Voting behavior and budget stability
title_fullStr Voting behavior and budget stability
title_full_unstemmed Voting behavior and budget stability
title_short Voting behavior and budget stability
title_sort voting behavior and budget stability
topic Ley de Estabilidad Presupuestaria
Ciclos electorales
Gobiernos locales
url https://revistas.um.es/rcsar/article/view/368161
work_keys_str_mv AT cristinavicente votingbehaviorandbudgetstability
AT cristinavicente votingbehaviorandbudgetstability
AT anamariarios votingbehaviorandbudgetstability
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