An adaptive adjacency matrix-based graph convolutional recurrent network for air quality prediction

Abstract In recent years, air pollution has become increasingly serious and poses a great threat to human health. Timely and accurate air quality prediction is crucial for air pollution early warning and control. Although data-driven air quality prediction methods are promising, there are still chal...

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Main Authors: Quanchao Chen, Ruyan Ding, Xinyue Mo, Huan Li, Linxuan Xie, Jiayu Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-02-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-55060-2
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author Quanchao Chen
Ruyan Ding
Xinyue Mo
Huan Li
Linxuan Xie
Jiayu Yang
author_facet Quanchao Chen
Ruyan Ding
Xinyue Mo
Huan Li
Linxuan Xie
Jiayu Yang
author_sort Quanchao Chen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract In recent years, air pollution has become increasingly serious and poses a great threat to human health. Timely and accurate air quality prediction is crucial for air pollution early warning and control. Although data-driven air quality prediction methods are promising, there are still challenges in studying spatial–temporal correlations of air pollutants to design effective predictors. To address this issue, a novel model called adaptive adjacency matrix-based graph convolutional recurrent network (AAMGCRN) is proposed in this study. The model inputs Point of Interest (POI) data and meteorological data into a fully connected neural network to learn the weights of the adjacency matrix thereby constructing the self-ringing adjacency matrix and passes the pollutant data with this matrix as input to the Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) unit. Then, the GCN unit is embedded into LSTM units to learn spatio-temporal dependencies. Furthermore, temporal features are extracted using Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM). Finally, the outputs of these two components are merged and air quality predictions are generated through a hidden layer. To evaluate the performance of the model, we conducted multi-step predictions for the hourly concentration of PM2.5, PM10 and O3 at Fangshan, Tiantan and Dongsi monitoring stations in Beijing. The experimental results show that our method achieves better predicted effects compared with other baseline models based on deep learning. In general, we designed a novel air quality prediction method and effectively addressed the shortcomings of existing studies in learning the spatio-temporal correlations of air pollutants. This method can provide more accurate air quality predictions and is expected to provide support for public health protection and government environmental decision-making.
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spelling doaj.art-ea336e236fe44c058e18d3c26e68114c2024-03-05T19:04:13ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-02-0114111710.1038/s41598-024-55060-2An adaptive adjacency matrix-based graph convolutional recurrent network for air quality predictionQuanchao Chen0Ruyan Ding1Xinyue Mo2Huan Li3Linxuan Xie4Jiayu Yang5School of Cyberspace Security/School of Cryptology, Hainan UniversitySchool of Cyberspace Security/School of Cryptology, Hainan UniversitySchool of Cyberspace Security/School of Cryptology, Hainan UniversitySchool of Cyberspace Security/School of Cryptology, Hainan UniversitySchool of Cyberspace Security/School of Cryptology, Hainan UniversitySchool of Cyberspace Security/School of Cryptology, Hainan UniversityAbstract In recent years, air pollution has become increasingly serious and poses a great threat to human health. Timely and accurate air quality prediction is crucial for air pollution early warning and control. Although data-driven air quality prediction methods are promising, there are still challenges in studying spatial–temporal correlations of air pollutants to design effective predictors. To address this issue, a novel model called adaptive adjacency matrix-based graph convolutional recurrent network (AAMGCRN) is proposed in this study. The model inputs Point of Interest (POI) data and meteorological data into a fully connected neural network to learn the weights of the adjacency matrix thereby constructing the self-ringing adjacency matrix and passes the pollutant data with this matrix as input to the Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) unit. Then, the GCN unit is embedded into LSTM units to learn spatio-temporal dependencies. Furthermore, temporal features are extracted using Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM). Finally, the outputs of these two components are merged and air quality predictions are generated through a hidden layer. To evaluate the performance of the model, we conducted multi-step predictions for the hourly concentration of PM2.5, PM10 and O3 at Fangshan, Tiantan and Dongsi monitoring stations in Beijing. The experimental results show that our method achieves better predicted effects compared with other baseline models based on deep learning. In general, we designed a novel air quality prediction method and effectively addressed the shortcomings of existing studies in learning the spatio-temporal correlations of air pollutants. This method can provide more accurate air quality predictions and is expected to provide support for public health protection and government environmental decision-making.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-55060-2Air quality predictionSpatio-temporal correlationGraph convolutional networkBayesian optimizationDeep learning
spellingShingle Quanchao Chen
Ruyan Ding
Xinyue Mo
Huan Li
Linxuan Xie
Jiayu Yang
An adaptive adjacency matrix-based graph convolutional recurrent network for air quality prediction
Scientific Reports
Air quality prediction
Spatio-temporal correlation
Graph convolutional network
Bayesian optimization
Deep learning
title An adaptive adjacency matrix-based graph convolutional recurrent network for air quality prediction
title_full An adaptive adjacency matrix-based graph convolutional recurrent network for air quality prediction
title_fullStr An adaptive adjacency matrix-based graph convolutional recurrent network for air quality prediction
title_full_unstemmed An adaptive adjacency matrix-based graph convolutional recurrent network for air quality prediction
title_short An adaptive adjacency matrix-based graph convolutional recurrent network for air quality prediction
title_sort adaptive adjacency matrix based graph convolutional recurrent network for air quality prediction
topic Air quality prediction
Spatio-temporal correlation
Graph convolutional network
Bayesian optimization
Deep learning
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-55060-2
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