Forest Covers, Energy Use, and Economic Growth Nexus in the Tropics: A Case of Ethiopia

Forest is the major source of energy and income in the tropics, while economic growth affects the forest cover and energy use pattern. Although forest cover, energy use, and economic growth are the pillars of Ethiopia's climate-resilient green economy strategy, there is a limitation in empirica...

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Main Authors: Dagne Getachew Woldemedhin, Engdawork Assefa, Abrham Seyoum
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-06-01
Series:Trees, Forests and People
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666719322000735
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author Dagne Getachew Woldemedhin
Engdawork Assefa
Abrham Seyoum
author_facet Dagne Getachew Woldemedhin
Engdawork Assefa
Abrham Seyoum
author_sort Dagne Getachew Woldemedhin
collection DOAJ
description Forest is the major source of energy and income in the tropics, while economic growth affects the forest cover and energy use pattern. Although forest cover, energy use, and economic growth are the pillars of Ethiopia's climate-resilient green economy strategy, there is a limitation in empirical studies that substantiate the relationship. This paper uses Vector Auto-Regression and Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag models for the time-series data from 1990 to 2014. Besides the unit root, co-integration, and lag length tests; co-linearity, Heteroskedasticity, CUSUM, and normality were also checked. The main finding shows a direct causal relationship between energy use and forest cover, forest cover and economic growth, and energy use and economic growth. Energy use and economic growth explain 16% and 15% of the variation in forest cover, respectively. Similarly, forest cover and energy use explain 37% and 1.4% of the variation in economic growth. Moreover, forest cover and economic growth explain 29% and 23% of the variation in energy use. Though the contribution of forest cover is significant to improving energy use and economic growth, decision makers should give due emphasis to the finding.
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spelling doaj.art-ea415ff0b4fd4b9083e6517e139445152022-12-22T03:29:15ZengElsevierTrees, Forests and People2666-71932022-06-018100266Forest Covers, Energy Use, and Economic Growth Nexus in the Tropics: A Case of EthiopiaDagne Getachew Woldemedhin0Engdawork Assefa1Abrham Seyoum2Addis Ababa University, College of Development Studies, Environment and Development; P. O. Box 1176, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia; Salale University, College of Agriculture and Natural resource, Agricultural Economics, P o Box 245, Fitche, Ethiopia; Corresponding author.Addis Ababa University, College of Development Studies, Environment and Development; P. O. Box 1176, Addis Ababa, EthiopiaAddis Ababa University, College of Development Studies, Environment and Development; P. O. Box 1176, Addis Ababa, EthiopiaForest is the major source of energy and income in the tropics, while economic growth affects the forest cover and energy use pattern. Although forest cover, energy use, and economic growth are the pillars of Ethiopia's climate-resilient green economy strategy, there is a limitation in empirical studies that substantiate the relationship. This paper uses Vector Auto-Regression and Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag models for the time-series data from 1990 to 2014. Besides the unit root, co-integration, and lag length tests; co-linearity, Heteroskedasticity, CUSUM, and normality were also checked. The main finding shows a direct causal relationship between energy use and forest cover, forest cover and economic growth, and energy use and economic growth. Energy use and economic growth explain 16% and 15% of the variation in forest cover, respectively. Similarly, forest cover and energy use explain 37% and 1.4% of the variation in economic growth. Moreover, forest cover and economic growth explain 29% and 23% of the variation in energy use. Though the contribution of forest cover is significant to improving energy use and economic growth, decision makers should give due emphasis to the finding.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666719322000735Auto-Regressive Distributed LagCo-integrationresponse to shockVariance decompositionVector Auto-Regression
spellingShingle Dagne Getachew Woldemedhin
Engdawork Assefa
Abrham Seyoum
Forest Covers, Energy Use, and Economic Growth Nexus in the Tropics: A Case of Ethiopia
Trees, Forests and People
Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag
Co-integration
response to shock
Variance decomposition
Vector Auto-Regression
title Forest Covers, Energy Use, and Economic Growth Nexus in the Tropics: A Case of Ethiopia
title_full Forest Covers, Energy Use, and Economic Growth Nexus in the Tropics: A Case of Ethiopia
title_fullStr Forest Covers, Energy Use, and Economic Growth Nexus in the Tropics: A Case of Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Forest Covers, Energy Use, and Economic Growth Nexus in the Tropics: A Case of Ethiopia
title_short Forest Covers, Energy Use, and Economic Growth Nexus in the Tropics: A Case of Ethiopia
title_sort forest covers energy use and economic growth nexus in the tropics a case of ethiopia
topic Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag
Co-integration
response to shock
Variance decomposition
Vector Auto-Regression
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666719322000735
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AT abrhamseyoum forestcoversenergyuseandeconomicgrowthnexusinthetropicsacaseofethiopia