Two millennia of Main region (southern Germany) hydroclimate variability

<p>A reconstruction of hydroclimate with an annual resolution covering millennia for a geographically limited region in continental Europe significantly improves our knowledge of past climate dynamics. With the use of an extensive collection of oak ring-width series (<i>Quercus robur<...

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Main Authors: A. Land, S. Remmele, J. Hofmann, D. Reichle, M. Eppli, C. Zang, A. Buras, S. Hein, R. Zimmermann
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2019-09-01
Series:Climate of the Past
Online Access:https://www.clim-past.net/15/1677/2019/cp-15-1677-2019.pdf
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author A. Land
A. Land
S. Remmele
S. Remmele
J. Hofmann
D. Reichle
M. Eppli
C. Zang
A. Buras
S. Hein
R. Zimmermann
author_facet A. Land
A. Land
S. Remmele
S. Remmele
J. Hofmann
D. Reichle
M. Eppli
C. Zang
A. Buras
S. Hein
R. Zimmermann
author_sort A. Land
collection DOAJ
description <p>A reconstruction of hydroclimate with an annual resolution covering millennia for a geographically limited region in continental Europe significantly improves our knowledge of past climate dynamics. With the use of an extensive collection of oak ring-width series (<i>Quercus robur</i> and <i>Quercus petraea</i>) from living trees, historic timbers and subfossil alluvial wood deposits from the Main River region in southern Germany, a regional, 2000-year long, seasonally resolved hydroclimate reconstruction for the Main region has been developed. Climate-growth response analysis has been performed with daily climate records from AD&thinsp;1900 onwards. To test the stability of the developed transfer function, a bootstrapped transfer function stability test (BTFS) as well as a classical calibration/verification approach have been implemented to study climate-growth model performance. Living oak trees from the Main River region show a significant sensitivity to the precipitation sum from 26 February to 6 July (spring to midsummer) during the full (<span class="inline-formula"><i>r</i>=0.49</span>, <span class="inline-formula"><i>p</i><i>&lt;</i>0.01</span>, <span class="inline-formula"><i>N</i>=116</span>) and split (<span class="inline-formula"><i>r</i>=0.58</span>, <span class="inline-formula"><i>p</i><i>&lt;</i>0.01</span>, <span class="inline-formula"><i>N</i>=58</span>) calibration periods. BTFS confirmed the stability of the developed transfer function. The developed precipitation reconstruction reveals high variability on a high- to mid-frequency scale during the past two millennia. Very dry spring to midsummer seasons lasting multiple years appeared in the decades AD&thinsp;500/510s, 940s, 1170s, 1390s and 1160s. At the end of the AD&thinsp;330s, a persistent multi-year drought with drastically reduced rainfall (with regard to 1901–2000) could be identified, which was the driest decade over the past 2000 years in this region. In the AD&thinsp;550s, 1050s, 1310s and 1480s, multi-year periods with high rainfall hit the Main region. In spring to midsummer of AD&thinsp;338, precipitation was reduced by <span class="inline-formula">∼38</span>&thinsp;% and in AD&thinsp;357 it increased by <span class="inline-formula">∼39</span>&thinsp;%. The presented hydroclimate reconstruction and its comparison to other records reveal interesting insights into the hydroclimate dynamics of the geographically limited area over the Common Era, in addition to revealing noticeable temporal differences.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-ea6023b7aa41479e9b32a2b68363128a2022-12-21T23:41:34ZengCopernicus PublicationsClimate of the Past1814-93241814-93322019-09-01151677169010.5194/cp-15-1677-2019Two millennia of Main region (southern Germany) hydroclimate variabilityA. Land0A. Land1S. Remmele2S. Remmele3J. Hofmann4D. Reichle5M. Eppli6C. Zang7A. Buras8S. Hein9R. Zimmermann10University of Hohenheim, Institute of Botany (210a), Garbenstraße 30, 70599 Stuttgart, GermanyUniversity of Applied Forest Sciences, Schadenweilerhof, 72108 Rottenburg am Neckar, GermanyUniversity of Hohenheim, Institute of Botany (210a), Garbenstraße 30, 70599 Stuttgart, GermanyUniversity of Applied Forest Sciences, Schadenweilerhof, 72108 Rottenburg am Neckar, GermanyJahrringlabor Hofmann, Waldhäuser Str. 12, 72622 Nürtingen, GermanyUniversity of Hohenheim, Institute of Botany (210a), Garbenstraße 30, 70599 Stuttgart, GermanyUniversity of Hohenheim, Institute of Botany (210a), Garbenstraße 30, 70599 Stuttgart, GermanyTechnical University of Munich, Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions, Hans-Carl-von-Carlowitz-Platz 2, 85354 Freising, GermanyTechnical University of Munich, Ecoclimatology, Hans-Carl-von-Carlowitz-Platz 2, 85354 Freising, GermanyUniversity of Applied Forest Sciences, Schadenweilerhof, 72108 Rottenburg am Neckar, GermanyUniversity of Hohenheim, Institute of Botany (210a), Garbenstraße 30, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany<p>A reconstruction of hydroclimate with an annual resolution covering millennia for a geographically limited region in continental Europe significantly improves our knowledge of past climate dynamics. With the use of an extensive collection of oak ring-width series (<i>Quercus robur</i> and <i>Quercus petraea</i>) from living trees, historic timbers and subfossil alluvial wood deposits from the Main River region in southern Germany, a regional, 2000-year long, seasonally resolved hydroclimate reconstruction for the Main region has been developed. Climate-growth response analysis has been performed with daily climate records from AD&thinsp;1900 onwards. To test the stability of the developed transfer function, a bootstrapped transfer function stability test (BTFS) as well as a classical calibration/verification approach have been implemented to study climate-growth model performance. Living oak trees from the Main River region show a significant sensitivity to the precipitation sum from 26 February to 6 July (spring to midsummer) during the full (<span class="inline-formula"><i>r</i>=0.49</span>, <span class="inline-formula"><i>p</i><i>&lt;</i>0.01</span>, <span class="inline-formula"><i>N</i>=116</span>) and split (<span class="inline-formula"><i>r</i>=0.58</span>, <span class="inline-formula"><i>p</i><i>&lt;</i>0.01</span>, <span class="inline-formula"><i>N</i>=58</span>) calibration periods. BTFS confirmed the stability of the developed transfer function. The developed precipitation reconstruction reveals high variability on a high- to mid-frequency scale during the past two millennia. Very dry spring to midsummer seasons lasting multiple years appeared in the decades AD&thinsp;500/510s, 940s, 1170s, 1390s and 1160s. At the end of the AD&thinsp;330s, a persistent multi-year drought with drastically reduced rainfall (with regard to 1901–2000) could be identified, which was the driest decade over the past 2000 years in this region. In the AD&thinsp;550s, 1050s, 1310s and 1480s, multi-year periods with high rainfall hit the Main region. In spring to midsummer of AD&thinsp;338, precipitation was reduced by <span class="inline-formula">∼38</span>&thinsp;% and in AD&thinsp;357 it increased by <span class="inline-formula">∼39</span>&thinsp;%. The presented hydroclimate reconstruction and its comparison to other records reveal interesting insights into the hydroclimate dynamics of the geographically limited area over the Common Era, in addition to revealing noticeable temporal differences.</p>https://www.clim-past.net/15/1677/2019/cp-15-1677-2019.pdf
spellingShingle A. Land
A. Land
S. Remmele
S. Remmele
J. Hofmann
D. Reichle
M. Eppli
C. Zang
A. Buras
S. Hein
R. Zimmermann
Two millennia of Main region (southern Germany) hydroclimate variability
Climate of the Past
title Two millennia of Main region (southern Germany) hydroclimate variability
title_full Two millennia of Main region (southern Germany) hydroclimate variability
title_fullStr Two millennia of Main region (southern Germany) hydroclimate variability
title_full_unstemmed Two millennia of Main region (southern Germany) hydroclimate variability
title_short Two millennia of Main region (southern Germany) hydroclimate variability
title_sort two millennia of main region southern germany hydroclimate variability
url https://www.clim-past.net/15/1677/2019/cp-15-1677-2019.pdf
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