Early adaptation to heat waves and future reduction of air-conditioning energy use in Paris

Some actions intended to adapt to climate change may do more harm than good, especially when they consume energy, making it more difficult to shift to decarbonized energy, or when, in meeting the needs of one group of people, they increase the vulnerability of others. Heat wave risk provides a typic...

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Main Authors: Vincent Viguié, Aude Lemonsu, Stéphane Hallegatte, Anne-Lise Beaulant, Colette Marchadier, Valéry Masson, Grégoire Pigeon, Jean-Luc Salagnac
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2020-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6a24
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author Vincent Viguié
Aude Lemonsu
Stéphane Hallegatte
Anne-Lise Beaulant
Colette Marchadier
Valéry Masson
Grégoire Pigeon
Jean-Luc Salagnac
author_facet Vincent Viguié
Aude Lemonsu
Stéphane Hallegatte
Anne-Lise Beaulant
Colette Marchadier
Valéry Masson
Grégoire Pigeon
Jean-Luc Salagnac
author_sort Vincent Viguié
collection DOAJ
description Some actions intended to adapt to climate change may do more harm than good, especially when they consume energy, making it more difficult to shift to decarbonized energy, or when, in meeting the needs of one group of people, they increase the vulnerability of others. Heat wave risk provides a typical example: air conditioning (AC) equipment may trigger large energy consumption and worsen outdoor heat stress. Alternative adaptation strategies exist, but it is not clear whether they can prevent the massive use of AC. Here, with an interdisciplinary modeling platform, taking Paris as a case study, we provide a first quantified analysis of the efficiency of adaptation strategies (large scale urban greening, building insulation policy, and generalized behavioral changes in AC use) in reducing future potential AC need. We find that even ambitious strategies do not appear sufficient to totally replace AC and ensure thermal comfort, under a median climate change scenario. They can, however, reduce AC energy use by half during heat waves and compensate for the heat released to the outdoor environment. Our results show that adaptation actions, implemented early, may play a key role if we are to remain on a low-carbon pathway.
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spelling doaj.art-eab17d966a0a4f8296d4de8b752eb3f62023-08-09T15:02:51ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262020-01-0115707500610.1088/1748-9326/ab6a24Early adaptation to heat waves and future reduction of air-conditioning energy use in ParisVincent Viguié0Aude Lemonsu1Stéphane Hallegatte2Anne-Lise Beaulant3Colette Marchadier4Valéry Masson5Grégoire Pigeon6Jean-Luc Salagnac7CIRED, Ecole des Ponts ParisTech, Paris, Site du jardin tropical, 45bis, Avenue de la Belle Gabrielle, F-94736 Nogent-sur-Marne, FranceCNRM 42, avenue Gaspard Coriolis, F-31057 Toulouse Cedex 1, FranceThe World Bank, Washington DC, United States of AmericaCNRM 42, avenue Gaspard Coriolis, F-31057 Toulouse Cedex 1, FranceCNRM 42, avenue Gaspard Coriolis, F-31057 Toulouse Cedex 1, FranceCNRM 42, avenue Gaspard Coriolis, F-31057 Toulouse Cedex 1, FranceCNRM 42, avenue Gaspard Coriolis, F-31057 Toulouse Cedex 1, FranceCentre Scientifique et Technique du Bâtiment, Vincennes, FranceSome actions intended to adapt to climate change may do more harm than good, especially when they consume energy, making it more difficult to shift to decarbonized energy, or when, in meeting the needs of one group of people, they increase the vulnerability of others. Heat wave risk provides a typical example: air conditioning (AC) equipment may trigger large energy consumption and worsen outdoor heat stress. Alternative adaptation strategies exist, but it is not clear whether they can prevent the massive use of AC. Here, with an interdisciplinary modeling platform, taking Paris as a case study, we provide a first quantified analysis of the efficiency of adaptation strategies (large scale urban greening, building insulation policy, and generalized behavioral changes in AC use) in reducing future potential AC need. We find that even ambitious strategies do not appear sufficient to totally replace AC and ensure thermal comfort, under a median climate change scenario. They can, however, reduce AC energy use by half during heat waves and compensate for the heat released to the outdoor environment. Our results show that adaptation actions, implemented early, may play a key role if we are to remain on a low-carbon pathway.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6a24adaptationcoolingenergymaladaptationclimate changeheat wave
spellingShingle Vincent Viguié
Aude Lemonsu
Stéphane Hallegatte
Anne-Lise Beaulant
Colette Marchadier
Valéry Masson
Grégoire Pigeon
Jean-Luc Salagnac
Early adaptation to heat waves and future reduction of air-conditioning energy use in Paris
Environmental Research Letters
adaptation
cooling
energy
maladaptation
climate change
heat wave
title Early adaptation to heat waves and future reduction of air-conditioning energy use in Paris
title_full Early adaptation to heat waves and future reduction of air-conditioning energy use in Paris
title_fullStr Early adaptation to heat waves and future reduction of air-conditioning energy use in Paris
title_full_unstemmed Early adaptation to heat waves and future reduction of air-conditioning energy use in Paris
title_short Early adaptation to heat waves and future reduction of air-conditioning energy use in Paris
title_sort early adaptation to heat waves and future reduction of air conditioning energy use in paris
topic adaptation
cooling
energy
maladaptation
climate change
heat wave
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6a24
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