Evaluation of Exchange Rate Regime’s Effect on Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of Propensity Score Matching Approach

Estimating the real exchange rate misalignment from the equilibrium value and exploring the factors affecting its changes is crucial for both economic policymakers and economic agents. Among the various factors affecting exchange rate misalignment, the exchange rate regime, has received less attenti...

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Main Authors: Seyed Hasan Malekhosseini, Seyed Komail Tayebi, Monireh Rafat, Mahdi Yazdani
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2022-12-01
Series:فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_14451_eab56061ef5b6853d739db1da494e17b.pdf
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author Seyed Hasan Malekhosseini
Seyed Komail Tayebi
Monireh Rafat
Mahdi Yazdani
author_facet Seyed Hasan Malekhosseini
Seyed Komail Tayebi
Monireh Rafat
Mahdi Yazdani
author_sort Seyed Hasan Malekhosseini
collection DOAJ
description Estimating the real exchange rate misalignment from the equilibrium value and exploring the factors affecting its changes is crucial for both economic policymakers and economic agents. Among the various factors affecting exchange rate misalignment, the exchange rate regime, has received less attention in experimental studies. Accordingly, the present paper seeks to find out the answer to the question of how real exchange rate misalignment is affected by different exchange rate regimes. In other words, in which of the exchange rate regimes is the exchange rate misalignment less and in which one it is higher? To answer the question, the propensity score matching approach has been used. For this purpose, we have used data from 116 developing countries with different exchange rate regimes in 2019. Other factors such as real exchange rate misalignment in the previous period, inflation, the quality of institutions and financial development have been considered as match variables to net the effect of the exchange rate regime on real exchange rate misalignment and to separate the effects of other variables. The results showed that the real exchange rate misalignment from its equilibrium level has responded significantly to the type of exchange rate regime adopted by the countries, so that the floating exchange rate regime increases the real exchange rate misalignment in the selected developing countries wherever implemented. It can be argued that factors such as high exchange rate  fluctuations, a more drastic adjustment in the price level, and speculative bubbles or contagion effects in the floating exchange rate regime have led to an increase in these misalignments.
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spelling doaj.art-eafe41abc4ef400ab0bb80159c7fb1f02024-01-02T10:30:37ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressفصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران1726-07282476-64452022-12-01279310513610.22054/ijer.2022.62893.102614451Evaluation of Exchange Rate Regime’s Effect on Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of Propensity Score Matching ApproachSeyed Hasan Malekhosseini0Seyed Komail Tayebi1Monireh Rafat2Mahdi Yazdani3PhD of Economics, Department of Economics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, IranProfessor, Department of Economics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, IranAssociate Professor, Department of Economics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, IranAssistant Professor, Department of Economics, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, IranEstimating the real exchange rate misalignment from the equilibrium value and exploring the factors affecting its changes is crucial for both economic policymakers and economic agents. Among the various factors affecting exchange rate misalignment, the exchange rate regime, has received less attention in experimental studies. Accordingly, the present paper seeks to find out the answer to the question of how real exchange rate misalignment is affected by different exchange rate regimes. In other words, in which of the exchange rate regimes is the exchange rate misalignment less and in which one it is higher? To answer the question, the propensity score matching approach has been used. For this purpose, we have used data from 116 developing countries with different exchange rate regimes in 2019. Other factors such as real exchange rate misalignment in the previous period, inflation, the quality of institutions and financial development have been considered as match variables to net the effect of the exchange rate regime on real exchange rate misalignment and to separate the effects of other variables. The results showed that the real exchange rate misalignment from its equilibrium level has responded significantly to the type of exchange rate regime adopted by the countries, so that the floating exchange rate regime increases the real exchange rate misalignment in the selected developing countries wherever implemented. It can be argued that factors such as high exchange rate  fluctuations, a more drastic adjustment in the price level, and speculative bubbles or contagion effects in the floating exchange rate regime have led to an increase in these misalignments.https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_14451_eab56061ef5b6853d739db1da494e17b.pdfexchange rate regimeexchange rate misalignmentdeveloping countriespropensity score matchin
spellingShingle Seyed Hasan Malekhosseini
Seyed Komail Tayebi
Monireh Rafat
Mahdi Yazdani
Evaluation of Exchange Rate Regime’s Effect on Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of Propensity Score Matching Approach
فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
exchange rate regime
exchange rate misalignment
developing countries
propensity score matchin
title Evaluation of Exchange Rate Regime’s Effect on Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of Propensity Score Matching Approach
title_full Evaluation of Exchange Rate Regime’s Effect on Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of Propensity Score Matching Approach
title_fullStr Evaluation of Exchange Rate Regime’s Effect on Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of Propensity Score Matching Approach
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of Exchange Rate Regime’s Effect on Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of Propensity Score Matching Approach
title_short Evaluation of Exchange Rate Regime’s Effect on Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of Propensity Score Matching Approach
title_sort evaluation of exchange rate regime s effect on real exchange rate misalignment an application of propensity score matching approach
topic exchange rate regime
exchange rate misalignment
developing countries
propensity score matchin
url https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_14451_eab56061ef5b6853d739db1da494e17b.pdf
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