Limited Usefulness of Capture Procedure and Capture Percentage for Evaluating Reproducibility in Psychological Science

In psychological science, there is an increasing concern regarding the reproducibility of scientific findings. For instance, Replication Project: Psychology (Open Science Collaboration, 2015) found that the proportion of successful replication in psychology was 41%. This proportion was calculated ba...

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Main Authors: Yongtian Cheng, Johnson Ching-Hong Li, Xiyao Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2018-09-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.01657/full
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author Yongtian Cheng
Johnson Ching-Hong Li
Xiyao Liu
author_facet Yongtian Cheng
Johnson Ching-Hong Li
Xiyao Liu
author_sort Yongtian Cheng
collection DOAJ
description In psychological science, there is an increasing concern regarding the reproducibility of scientific findings. For instance, Replication Project: Psychology (Open Science Collaboration, 2015) found that the proportion of successful replication in psychology was 41%. This proportion was calculated based on Cumming and Maillardet (2006) widely employed capture procedure (CPro) and capture percentage (CPer). Despite the popularity of CPro and CPer, we believe that using them may lead to an incorrect conclusion of (a) successful replication when the population effect sizes in the original and replicated studies are different; and (b) unsuccessful replication when the population effect sizes in the original and replicated studies are identical but their sample sizes are different. Our simulation results show that the performances of CPro and CPer become biased, such that researchers can easily make a wrong conclusion of successful/unsuccessful replication. Implications of these findings are considered in the conclusion.
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spelling doaj.art-eb12cf77c7364bd8a46692cdbac1ff2b2022-12-22T02:41:43ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychology1664-10782018-09-01910.3389/fpsyg.2018.01657385273Limited Usefulness of Capture Procedure and Capture Percentage for Evaluating Reproducibility in Psychological ScienceYongtian Cheng0Johnson Ching-Hong Li1Xiyao Liu2Department of Psychology, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, CanadaDepartment of Psychology, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, CanadaDepartment of Psychology, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, United StatesIn psychological science, there is an increasing concern regarding the reproducibility of scientific findings. For instance, Replication Project: Psychology (Open Science Collaboration, 2015) found that the proportion of successful replication in psychology was 41%. This proportion was calculated based on Cumming and Maillardet (2006) widely employed capture procedure (CPro) and capture percentage (CPer). Despite the popularity of CPro and CPer, we believe that using them may lead to an incorrect conclusion of (a) successful replication when the population effect sizes in the original and replicated studies are different; and (b) unsuccessful replication when the population effect sizes in the original and replicated studies are identical but their sample sizes are different. Our simulation results show that the performances of CPro and CPer become biased, such that researchers can easily make a wrong conclusion of successful/unsuccessful replication. Implications of these findings are considered in the conclusion.https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.01657/fullreproducibilityeffect sizescapture percentagecapture proceduresimulation
spellingShingle Yongtian Cheng
Johnson Ching-Hong Li
Xiyao Liu
Limited Usefulness of Capture Procedure and Capture Percentage for Evaluating Reproducibility in Psychological Science
Frontiers in Psychology
reproducibility
effect sizes
capture percentage
capture procedure
simulation
title Limited Usefulness of Capture Procedure and Capture Percentage for Evaluating Reproducibility in Psychological Science
title_full Limited Usefulness of Capture Procedure and Capture Percentage for Evaluating Reproducibility in Psychological Science
title_fullStr Limited Usefulness of Capture Procedure and Capture Percentage for Evaluating Reproducibility in Psychological Science
title_full_unstemmed Limited Usefulness of Capture Procedure and Capture Percentage for Evaluating Reproducibility in Psychological Science
title_short Limited Usefulness of Capture Procedure and Capture Percentage for Evaluating Reproducibility in Psychological Science
title_sort limited usefulness of capture procedure and capture percentage for evaluating reproducibility in psychological science
topic reproducibility
effect sizes
capture percentage
capture procedure
simulation
url https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.01657/full
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