On redshift evolution and negative dark energy density in Pantheon + Supernovae

Abstract Within the Friedmann–Lemaître–Robertson–Walker (FLRW) framework, the Hubble constant $$H_0$$ H 0 is an integration constant. Thus, consistency of the model demands observational constancy of $$H_0$$ H 0 . We demonstrate redshift evolution of best fit $$\Lambda $$ Λ CDM parameters $$(H_0, \O...

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Main Authors: M. Malekjani, R. Mc Conville, E. Ó Colgáin, S. Pourojaghi, M. M. Sheikh-Jabbari
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2024-03-01
Series:European Physical Journal C: Particles and Fields
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-024-12667-z
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author M. Malekjani
R. Mc Conville
E. Ó Colgáin
S. Pourojaghi
M. M. Sheikh-Jabbari
author_facet M. Malekjani
R. Mc Conville
E. Ó Colgáin
S. Pourojaghi
M. M. Sheikh-Jabbari
author_sort M. Malekjani
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Within the Friedmann–Lemaître–Robertson–Walker (FLRW) framework, the Hubble constant $$H_0$$ H 0 is an integration constant. Thus, consistency of the model demands observational constancy of $$H_0$$ H 0 . We demonstrate redshift evolution of best fit $$\Lambda $$ Λ CDM parameters $$(H_0, \Omega _{m})$$ ( H 0 , Ω m ) in Pantheon+ supernove (SNe). Redshift evolution of best fit cosmological parameters is a prerequisite to finding a statistically significant evolution as well as identifying alternative models that are competitive with $$\Lambda $$ Λ CDM in a Bayesian model comparison. To assess statistical significance, we employ three different methods: (i) Bayesian model comparison, (ii) mock simulations and (iii) profile distributions. The first shows a marginal preference for the vanilla $$\Lambda $$ Λ CDM model over an ad hoc model with 3 additional parameters and an unphysical jump in cosmological parameters at $$z=1$$ z = 1 . From mock simulations, we estimate the statistical significance of redshift evolution of best fit parameters and negative dark energy density ( $$\Omega _m > 1$$ Ω m > 1 ) to be in the $$1-2 \sigma $$ 1 - 2 σ range, depending on the criteria employed. Importantly, in direct comparison to the same analysis with the earlier Pantheon sample we find that statistical significance of redshift evolution of best fit parameters has increased, as expected for a physical effect. Our profile distribution analysis demonstrates a shift in $$(H_0, \Omega _m)$$ ( H 0 , Ω m ) in excess of $$95\%$$ 95 % confidence level for SNe with redshifts $$z > 1$$ z > 1 and also shows that a degeneracy in MCMC posteriors is not equivalent to a curve of constant $$\chi ^2$$ χ 2 . Our findings can be interpreted as a statistical fluctuation or unexplored systematics in Pantheon+ or $$\Lambda $$ Λ CDM model breakdown. The first two possibilities are disfavoured by similar trends in independent probes.
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spelling doaj.art-eb32e53d14414d398c6614e650fec8472024-03-31T11:31:58ZengSpringerOpenEuropean Physical Journal C: Particles and Fields1434-60522024-03-0184311410.1140/epjc/s10052-024-12667-zOn redshift evolution and negative dark energy density in Pantheon + SupernovaeM. Malekjani0R. Mc Conville1E. Ó Colgáin2S. Pourojaghi3M. M. Sheikh-Jabbari4Department of Physics, Bu-Ali Sina UniversityAtlantic Technological UniversityAtlantic Technological UniversitySchool of Physics, Institute for Research in Fundamental Sciences (IPM)School of Physics, Institute for Research in Fundamental Sciences (IPM)Abstract Within the Friedmann–Lemaître–Robertson–Walker (FLRW) framework, the Hubble constant $$H_0$$ H 0 is an integration constant. Thus, consistency of the model demands observational constancy of $$H_0$$ H 0 . We demonstrate redshift evolution of best fit $$\Lambda $$ Λ CDM parameters $$(H_0, \Omega _{m})$$ ( H 0 , Ω m ) in Pantheon+ supernove (SNe). Redshift evolution of best fit cosmological parameters is a prerequisite to finding a statistically significant evolution as well as identifying alternative models that are competitive with $$\Lambda $$ Λ CDM in a Bayesian model comparison. To assess statistical significance, we employ three different methods: (i) Bayesian model comparison, (ii) mock simulations and (iii) profile distributions. The first shows a marginal preference for the vanilla $$\Lambda $$ Λ CDM model over an ad hoc model with 3 additional parameters and an unphysical jump in cosmological parameters at $$z=1$$ z = 1 . From mock simulations, we estimate the statistical significance of redshift evolution of best fit parameters and negative dark energy density ( $$\Omega _m > 1$$ Ω m > 1 ) to be in the $$1-2 \sigma $$ 1 - 2 σ range, depending on the criteria employed. Importantly, in direct comparison to the same analysis with the earlier Pantheon sample we find that statistical significance of redshift evolution of best fit parameters has increased, as expected for a physical effect. Our profile distribution analysis demonstrates a shift in $$(H_0, \Omega _m)$$ ( H 0 , Ω m ) in excess of $$95\%$$ 95 % confidence level for SNe with redshifts $$z > 1$$ z > 1 and also shows that a degeneracy in MCMC posteriors is not equivalent to a curve of constant $$\chi ^2$$ χ 2 . Our findings can be interpreted as a statistical fluctuation or unexplored systematics in Pantheon+ or $$\Lambda $$ Λ CDM model breakdown. The first two possibilities are disfavoured by similar trends in independent probes.https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-024-12667-z
spellingShingle M. Malekjani
R. Mc Conville
E. Ó Colgáin
S. Pourojaghi
M. M. Sheikh-Jabbari
On redshift evolution and negative dark energy density in Pantheon + Supernovae
European Physical Journal C: Particles and Fields
title On redshift evolution and negative dark energy density in Pantheon + Supernovae
title_full On redshift evolution and negative dark energy density in Pantheon + Supernovae
title_fullStr On redshift evolution and negative dark energy density in Pantheon + Supernovae
title_full_unstemmed On redshift evolution and negative dark energy density in Pantheon + Supernovae
title_short On redshift evolution and negative dark energy density in Pantheon + Supernovae
title_sort on redshift evolution and negative dark energy density in pantheon supernovae
url https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-024-12667-z
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