Predicting TBM penetration rate with the coupled model of partial least squares regression and deep neural network

The scientific prediction of the TBM penetration rate is of great significance to the selection of hydraulic tunnel construction methods, construction schedule and cost estimation. In view of the high nonlinearity, fuzziness and complexity of TBM excavation process, and in order to improve the predi...

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Main Authors: YAN Chang-bin, WANG He-jian, YANG Ji-hua, CHEN Kui, ZHOU Jian-jun, GUO Wei-xin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SCIENCE PRESS , 16 DONGHUANGCHENGGEN NORTH ST, BEIJING, PEOPLES R CHINA, 100717 2021-02-01
Series:Rock and Soil Mechanics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://rocksoilmech.whrsm.ac.cn/EN/10.16285/j.rsm.2020.5164
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author YAN Chang-bin
WANG He-jian
YANG Ji-hua
CHEN Kui
ZHOU Jian-jun
GUO Wei-xin
author_facet YAN Chang-bin
WANG He-jian
YANG Ji-hua
CHEN Kui
ZHOU Jian-jun
GUO Wei-xin
author_sort YAN Chang-bin
collection DOAJ
description The scientific prediction of the TBM penetration rate is of great significance to the selection of hydraulic tunnel construction methods, construction schedule and cost estimation. In view of the high nonlinearity, fuzziness and complexity of TBM excavation process, and in order to improve the prediction accuracy and computational efficiency, the partial least squares regression (PLSR) has been applied to extract the principal components of the influencing parameters. Then the deep neural network (DNN) is employed to train and forecast the TBM penetration rate. A prediction model of TBM penetration rate based on the coupled method of PLSR and DNN is proposed. Based on the measured data of the double-shield TBM construction of a water conveyance tunnel in the Lanzhou water source construction project, six impact parameters including the rock uniaxial compressive strength, rock uniaxial tensile strength, cutter head thrust, cutter head speed, rock mass integrity coefficient and rock Cerchar abrasiveness index are selected to verify the prediction reasonability of the model. The fitting and prediction accuracy of the different prediction methods are compared and analyzed. The research results show that the PLSR can effectively overcome the problem of multiple collinearity between the independent variables. The extracted principal components are trained as the input layer of the DNN, which simplifies the structure of the neural network. The PLSR-DNN coupled model effectively avoids the over-fitting and inadequate fitting problems. It has the characteristics of fast convergence, stable solution and high fitting accuracy. The average relative fitting error of the PLSR-DNN prediction model is 2.96%, and the average relative prediction error is 3.27%. The fitting accuracy and prediction accuracy of the PLSR-DNN prediction model is significantly higher than those of PLSR model alone, BP neural network model and SVR model, respectively.
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spelling doaj.art-eb37f0a9a2e041a9b927ee9aaf6813442022-12-22T02:35:19ZengSCIENCE PRESS , 16 DONGHUANGCHENGGEN NORTH ST, BEIJING, PEOPLES R CHINA, 100717Rock and Soil Mechanics1000-75982021-02-0142251952810.16285/j.rsm.2020.5164Predicting TBM penetration rate with the coupled model of partial least squares regression and deep neural network YAN Chang-bin0WANG He-jian1YANG Ji-hua2CHEN Kui3 ZHOU Jian-jun4GUO Wei-xin5 School of Civil Engineering, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan 450001, China School of Civil Engineering, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan 450001, ChinaYellow River Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou, Henan 450003, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Shield Machine and Boring Technology, China Railway Tunnel Group Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou, Henan 450001, China State Key Laboratory of Shield Machine and Boring Technology, China Railway Tunnel Group Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou, Henan 450001, ChinaYellow River Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou, Henan 450003, ChinaThe scientific prediction of the TBM penetration rate is of great significance to the selection of hydraulic tunnel construction methods, construction schedule and cost estimation. In view of the high nonlinearity, fuzziness and complexity of TBM excavation process, and in order to improve the prediction accuracy and computational efficiency, the partial least squares regression (PLSR) has been applied to extract the principal components of the influencing parameters. Then the deep neural network (DNN) is employed to train and forecast the TBM penetration rate. A prediction model of TBM penetration rate based on the coupled method of PLSR and DNN is proposed. Based on the measured data of the double-shield TBM construction of a water conveyance tunnel in the Lanzhou water source construction project, six impact parameters including the rock uniaxial compressive strength, rock uniaxial tensile strength, cutter head thrust, cutter head speed, rock mass integrity coefficient and rock Cerchar abrasiveness index are selected to verify the prediction reasonability of the model. The fitting and prediction accuracy of the different prediction methods are compared and analyzed. The research results show that the PLSR can effectively overcome the problem of multiple collinearity between the independent variables. The extracted principal components are trained as the input layer of the DNN, which simplifies the structure of the neural network. The PLSR-DNN coupled model effectively avoids the over-fitting and inadequate fitting problems. It has the characteristics of fast convergence, stable solution and high fitting accuracy. The average relative fitting error of the PLSR-DNN prediction model is 2.96%, and the average relative prediction error is 3.27%. The fitting accuracy and prediction accuracy of the PLSR-DNN prediction model is significantly higher than those of PLSR model alone, BP neural network model and SVR model, respectively. http://rocksoilmech.whrsm.ac.cn/EN/10.16285/j.rsm.2020.5164tunnel boring machinepenetration ratiopartial least square regressiondeep neural nerworkcoupling prediction model
spellingShingle YAN Chang-bin
WANG He-jian
YANG Ji-hua
CHEN Kui
ZHOU Jian-jun
GUO Wei-xin
Predicting TBM penetration rate with the coupled model of partial least squares regression and deep neural network
Rock and Soil Mechanics
tunnel boring machine
penetration ratio
partial least square regression
deep neural nerwork
coupling prediction model
title Predicting TBM penetration rate with the coupled model of partial least squares regression and deep neural network
title_full Predicting TBM penetration rate with the coupled model of partial least squares regression and deep neural network
title_fullStr Predicting TBM penetration rate with the coupled model of partial least squares regression and deep neural network
title_full_unstemmed Predicting TBM penetration rate with the coupled model of partial least squares regression and deep neural network
title_short Predicting TBM penetration rate with the coupled model of partial least squares regression and deep neural network
title_sort predicting tbm penetration rate with the coupled model of partial least squares regression and deep neural network
topic tunnel boring machine
penetration ratio
partial least square regression
deep neural nerwork
coupling prediction model
url http://rocksoilmech.whrsm.ac.cn/EN/10.16285/j.rsm.2020.5164
work_keys_str_mv AT yanchangbin predictingtbmpenetrationratewiththecoupledmodelofpartialleastsquaresregressionanddeepneuralnetwork
AT wanghejian predictingtbmpenetrationratewiththecoupledmodelofpartialleastsquaresregressionanddeepneuralnetwork
AT yangjihua predictingtbmpenetrationratewiththecoupledmodelofpartialleastsquaresregressionanddeepneuralnetwork
AT chenkui predictingtbmpenetrationratewiththecoupledmodelofpartialleastsquaresregressionanddeepneuralnetwork
AT zhoujianjun predictingtbmpenetrationratewiththecoupledmodelofpartialleastsquaresregressionanddeepneuralnetwork
AT guoweixin predictingtbmpenetrationratewiththecoupledmodelofpartialleastsquaresregressionanddeepneuralnetwork