THE DANGERS OF AN UNDEFEATED RUSSIA
This article highlights the importance of accuracy in understanding the expectations, judgments and apprehensions of all parties involved in an armed conflict. The author reviews misconceptions that Russia, Ukraine and the West had about each other prior to 24 February and singles out three axioms t...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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National Institute for Strategic Studies
2022-11-01
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| Series: | Стратегічна панорама |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://niss-panorama.com/index.php/journal/article/view/128 |
| _version_ | 1811219732206977024 |
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| author | James Sherr |
| author_facet | James Sherr |
| author_sort | James Sherr |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This article highlights the importance of accuracy in understanding the expectations, judgments and apprehensions of all parties involved in an armed conflict. The author reviews misconceptions that Russia, Ukraine and the West had about each other prior to 24 February and singles out three axioms that arguably need to be kept in the foreground while analyzing the stakes and perils of this war. Five arguments, ranging from issues of geopolitics to matters of economy and security, are then put forward to prove why a failure to defeat Russia will cost Ukraine and the West more than the West’s determination to do what is necessary to enable Ukraine to prevail. The author concludes that if the West’s hesitancy is not replaced by a sense of urgency, the United States and its European allies will face a choice of a different nature: direct intervention with Russia or the loss of Ukraine. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T07:30:50Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-eb4362b39baf444b901a4866db4f9dbc |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2616-9460 2616-891X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T07:30:50Z |
| publishDate | 2022-11-01 |
| publisher | National Institute for Strategic Studies |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Стратегічна панорама |
| spelling | doaj.art-eb4362b39baf444b901a4866db4f9dbc2022-12-22T03:42:05ZengNational Institute for Strategic StudiesСтратегічна панорама2616-94602616-891X2022-11-0151110.53679/2616-9460.specialissue.2022.01128THE DANGERS OF AN UNDEFEATED RUSSIAJames Sherr0OBE – Senior Fellow, Estonian Foreign Policy Institute at the Int’l Centre for Defence & Security, TallinnThis article highlights the importance of accuracy in understanding the expectations, judgments and apprehensions of all parties involved in an armed conflict. The author reviews misconceptions that Russia, Ukraine and the West had about each other prior to 24 February and singles out three axioms that arguably need to be kept in the foreground while analyzing the stakes and perils of this war. Five arguments, ranging from issues of geopolitics to matters of economy and security, are then put forward to prove why a failure to defeat Russia will cost Ukraine and the West more than the West’s determination to do what is necessary to enable Ukraine to prevail. The author concludes that if the West’s hesitancy is not replaced by a sense of urgency, the United States and its European allies will face a choice of a different nature: direct intervention with Russia or the loss of Ukraine.https://niss-panorama.com/index.php/journal/article/view/128russia’s aggression against ukrainethe west’s responsepolicy of ambivalencethe calculus of risk |
| spellingShingle | James Sherr THE DANGERS OF AN UNDEFEATED RUSSIA Стратегічна панорама russia’s aggression against ukraine the west’s response policy of ambivalence the calculus of risk |
| title | THE DANGERS OF AN UNDEFEATED RUSSIA |
| title_full | THE DANGERS OF AN UNDEFEATED RUSSIA |
| title_fullStr | THE DANGERS OF AN UNDEFEATED RUSSIA |
| title_full_unstemmed | THE DANGERS OF AN UNDEFEATED RUSSIA |
| title_short | THE DANGERS OF AN UNDEFEATED RUSSIA |
| title_sort | dangers of an undefeated russia |
| topic | russia’s aggression against ukraine the west’s response policy of ambivalence the calculus of risk |
| url | https://niss-panorama.com/index.php/journal/article/view/128 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT jamessherr thedangersofanundefeatedrussia AT jamessherr dangersofanundefeatedrussia |