Non-Parametric Cointegration Analysis of ASEAN-5 Real Exchange Rates

This study employs the Bierens's (1997) non-parametric cointegration methodology to test the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis forfiz~e major ASEAN economies - Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, with the U.S. and Japan data as base countries. The results provid...

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Main Authors: Kian-Ping Lim, Hock-Ann Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: UUM Press 2004-06-01
Series:International Journal of Management Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://e-journal.uum.edu.my/index.php/ijms/article/view/9159
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author Kian-Ping Lim
Hock-Ann Lee
author_facet Kian-Ping Lim
Hock-Ann Lee
author_sort Kian-Ping Lim
collection DOAJ
description This study employs the Bierens's (1997) non-parametric cointegration methodology to test the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis forfiz~e major ASEAN economies - Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, with the U.S. and Japan data as base countries. The results provide evidence of mean reversion in dollar denominated real exchange rate for three ASEAN countries - Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. These findings are in sharp contrast with those earlier studies using Johansen cointegration technique. Consistent with the interpretation of Coakley and Fuertes (2001), the discrepancy between the findings from both approaches is interpreted as a consequence of significant non-linearity in the real exchange rate adjustment to PPP. Further analysis reveals that the evidence of PPP is much stronger with the Japanese yen as the numeraire currency, thus supporting the notion that the choice of numeraire currency can and does matter for testing PPP hypothesis. These results provide strong evidence of the integration between the Japanese economy and those of ASEAN countries, which are closely linked in geographical, economic and trade terms. The increasing role of Japanese yen in the ASEAN region can be taken as providing empirical support for the formation of a yen dominated ASEAN exchange rate system, or a 'yen bloc'.  
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spelling doaj.art-eb4c2fd36f2e4eccae6341df916398a72023-01-26T03:15:32ZengUUM PressInternational Journal of Management Studies2232-16082180-24672004-06-01111Non-Parametric Cointegration Analysis of ASEAN-5 Real Exchange RatesKian-Ping Lim0Hock-Ann Lee1Labuan School of International Business and Finance Universiti Malaysia SabahLabuan School of International Business and Finance Universiti Malaysia SabahThis study employs the Bierens's (1997) non-parametric cointegration methodology to test the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis forfiz~e major ASEAN economies - Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, with the U.S. and Japan data as base countries. The results provide evidence of mean reversion in dollar denominated real exchange rate for three ASEAN countries - Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. These findings are in sharp contrast with those earlier studies using Johansen cointegration technique. Consistent with the interpretation of Coakley and Fuertes (2001), the discrepancy between the findings from both approaches is interpreted as a consequence of significant non-linearity in the real exchange rate adjustment to PPP. Further analysis reveals that the evidence of PPP is much stronger with the Japanese yen as the numeraire currency, thus supporting the notion that the choice of numeraire currency can and does matter for testing PPP hypothesis. These results provide strong evidence of the integration between the Japanese economy and those of ASEAN countries, which are closely linked in geographical, economic and trade terms. The increasing role of Japanese yen in the ASEAN region can be taken as providing empirical support for the formation of a yen dominated ASEAN exchange rate system, or a 'yen bloc'.   https://e-journal.uum.edu.my/index.php/ijms/article/view/9159Non-parametric cointegrationPurchasing power parityASEAN economiesNon-linearityEasyReg
spellingShingle Kian-Ping Lim
Hock-Ann Lee
Non-Parametric Cointegration Analysis of ASEAN-5 Real Exchange Rates
International Journal of Management Studies
Non-parametric cointegration
Purchasing power parity
ASEAN economies
Non-linearity
EasyReg
title Non-Parametric Cointegration Analysis of ASEAN-5 Real Exchange Rates
title_full Non-Parametric Cointegration Analysis of ASEAN-5 Real Exchange Rates
title_fullStr Non-Parametric Cointegration Analysis of ASEAN-5 Real Exchange Rates
title_full_unstemmed Non-Parametric Cointegration Analysis of ASEAN-5 Real Exchange Rates
title_short Non-Parametric Cointegration Analysis of ASEAN-5 Real Exchange Rates
title_sort non parametric cointegration analysis of asean 5 real exchange rates
topic Non-parametric cointegration
Purchasing power parity
ASEAN economies
Non-linearity
EasyReg
url https://e-journal.uum.edu.my/index.php/ijms/article/view/9159
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