Pest occurrence model in current climate – validation study for European domain
The present study yields detail validation of the pest occurrence models under current climate in wide European domain. Study organisms involve Cydia pomonella, Lobesia botrana, Ostrinia nubilalis, Leptinotarsa decemlineata, Oulema melanopus, Rhopalosiphum padi, and Sitobion avenae. Method used in t...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Mendel University Press
2013-01-01
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| Series: | Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://acta.mendelu.cz/61/1/0205/ |
| _version_ | 1828435574539681792 |
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| author | Eva Svobodová Miroslav Trnka Martin Dubrovský Daniela Semerádová Josef Eitzinger Zdeněk Žalud Petr Štěpánek |
| author_facet | Eva Svobodová Miroslav Trnka Martin Dubrovský Daniela Semerádová Josef Eitzinger Zdeněk Žalud Petr Štěpánek |
| author_sort | Eva Svobodová |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The present study yields detail validation of the pest occurrence models under current climate in wide European domain. Study organisms involve Cydia pomonella, Lobesia botrana, Ostrinia nubilalis, Leptinotarsa decemlineata, Oulema melanopus, Rhopalosiphum padi, and Sitobion avenae. Method used in this study belongs to the category climate matching (CLIMEX model) allowing the estimation of areas climatically favourable for species persistence based on the climatic parameters characterising the species development. In the process of model validation parameters were iteratively tested and altered to truly describe the pest presence. The modelled pests presence was verified by comparison of the observed pests occurrence with the number of generations in given modelled area. The notable component of the model parameterization was the sensitivity analyses testing the reaction of species development on changing meteorological items. Parameterization of the factors causing distribution patterns of study species was successful and modelled potential distributions of species correspond well to known core distribution areas for all of these species. This validation study is intended as an initial for forthcoming studies focused on the estimation of geographical shifts of selected pests in the conditions of climate change within the Europe. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-10T19:09:36Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-eb6ba88fe32f4be991d6135723f2c0f4 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1211-8516 2464-8310 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-10T19:09:36Z |
| publishDate | 2013-01-01 |
| publisher | Mendel University Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis |
| spelling | doaj.art-eb6ba88fe32f4be991d6135723f2c0f42022-12-22T01:36:47ZengMendel University PressActa Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis1211-85162464-83102013-01-0161120521410.11118/actaun201361010205Pest occurrence model in current climate – validation study for European domainEva Svobodová0Miroslav Trnka1Martin Dubrovský2Daniela Semerádová3Josef Eitzinger4Zdeněk Žalud5Petr Štěpánek6Department of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Czech RepublicDepartment of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Czech RepublicDepartment of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Czech RepublicDepartment of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Czech RepublicInstitute of Meteorology, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences (BOKU), Vienna, AustriaDepartment of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Czech RepublicCzechGlobe-Global Change Research Centre, v.v.i., AS CR, Bělidla 4a, 603 00 Brno, Czech RepublicThe present study yields detail validation of the pest occurrence models under current climate in wide European domain. Study organisms involve Cydia pomonella, Lobesia botrana, Ostrinia nubilalis, Leptinotarsa decemlineata, Oulema melanopus, Rhopalosiphum padi, and Sitobion avenae. Method used in this study belongs to the category climate matching (CLIMEX model) allowing the estimation of areas climatically favourable for species persistence based on the climatic parameters characterising the species development. In the process of model validation parameters were iteratively tested and altered to truly describe the pest presence. The modelled pests presence was verified by comparison of the observed pests occurrence with the number of generations in given modelled area. The notable component of the model parameterization was the sensitivity analyses testing the reaction of species development on changing meteorological items. Parameterization of the factors causing distribution patterns of study species was successful and modelled potential distributions of species correspond well to known core distribution areas for all of these species. This validation study is intended as an initial for forthcoming studies focused on the estimation of geographical shifts of selected pests in the conditions of climate change within the Europe.https://acta.mendelu.cz/61/1/0205/climate changeclimate matchingpestsendangered areasnorthern rangeCLIMEX |
| spellingShingle | Eva Svobodová Miroslav Trnka Martin Dubrovský Daniela Semerádová Josef Eitzinger Zdeněk Žalud Petr Štěpánek Pest occurrence model in current climate – validation study for European domain Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis climate change climate matching pests endangered areas northern range CLIMEX |
| title | Pest occurrence model in current climate – validation study for European domain |
| title_full | Pest occurrence model in current climate – validation study for European domain |
| title_fullStr | Pest occurrence model in current climate – validation study for European domain |
| title_full_unstemmed | Pest occurrence model in current climate – validation study for European domain |
| title_short | Pest occurrence model in current climate – validation study for European domain |
| title_sort | pest occurrence model in current climate validation study for european domain |
| topic | climate change climate matching pests endangered areas northern range CLIMEX |
| url | https://acta.mendelu.cz/61/1/0205/ |
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