Regional Ombrian Curves: Design Rainfall Estimation for a Spatially Diverse Rainfall Regime

Ombrian curves, i.e., curves linking rainfall intensity to return period and time scale, are well-established engineering tools crucial to the design against stormwaters and floods. Though the at-site construction of such curves is considered a standard hydrological task, it is a rather challenging...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Theano Iliopoulou, Nikolaos Malamos, Demetris Koutsoyiannis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-04-01
Series:Hydrology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5338/9/5/67
Description
Summary:Ombrian curves, i.e., curves linking rainfall intensity to return period and time scale, are well-established engineering tools crucial to the design against stormwaters and floods. Though the at-site construction of such curves is considered a standard hydrological task, it is a rather challenging one when large regions are of interest. Regional modeling of ombrian curves is particularly complex due to the need to account for spatial dependence together with the increased variability of rainfall extremes in space. We develop a framework for the parsimonious modeling of the extreme rainfall properties at any point in a given area. This is achieved by assuming a common ombrian model structure, except for a spatially varying scale parameter which is itself modeled by a spatial smoothing model for the 24 h average annual rainfall maxima that employs elevation as an additional explanatory variable. The fitting is performed on the pooled all-stations data using an advanced estimation procedure (K-moments) that allows both for reliable high-order moment estimation and simultaneous handling of space-dependence bias. The methodology is applied in the Thessaly region, a 13,700 km<sup>2</sup> water district of Greece characterized by varying topography and hydrometeorological properties.
ISSN:2306-5338