World Ocean Thermocline Weakening and Isothermal Layer Warming

This paper identifies world thermocline weakening and provides an improved estimate of upper ocean warming through replacement of the upper layer with the fixed depth range by the isothermal layer, because the upper ocean isothermal layer (as a whole) exchanges heat with the atmosphere and the deep...

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Main Authors: Peter C. Chu, Chenwu Fan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-11-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/22/8185
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author Peter C. Chu
Chenwu Fan
author_facet Peter C. Chu
Chenwu Fan
author_sort Peter C. Chu
collection DOAJ
description This paper identifies world thermocline weakening and provides an improved estimate of upper ocean warming through replacement of the upper layer with the fixed depth range by the isothermal layer, because the upper ocean isothermal layer (as a whole) exchanges heat with the atmosphere and the deep layer. Thermocline gradient, heat flux across the air–ocean interface, and horizontal heat advection determine the heat stored in the isothermal layer. Among the three processes, the effect of the thermocline gradient clearly shows up when we use the isothermal layer heat content, but it is otherwise when we use the heat content with the fixed depth ranges such as 0–300 m, 0–400 m, 0–700 m, 0–750 m, and 0–2000 m. A strong thermocline gradient exhibits the downward heat transfer from the isothermal layer (non-polar regions), makes the isothermal layer thin, and causes less heat to be stored in it. On the other hand, a weak thermocline gradient makes the isothermal layer thick, and causes more heat to be stored in it. In addition, the uncertainty in estimating upper ocean heat content and warming trends using uncertain fixed depth ranges (0–300 m, 0–400 m, 0–700 m, 0–750 m, or 0–2000 m) will be eliminated by using the isothermal layer. The isothermal layer heat content with the monthly climatology removed (i.e., relative isothermal layer heat content) is calculated for an individual observed temperature profile from three open datasets. The calculated 1,111,647 pairs of (thermocline gradient, relative isothermal layer heat content) worldwide show long-term decreasing of the thermocline gradient and increasing of isothermal layer heat content in the global as well as regional oceans. The global ocean thermocline weakening rate is (−2.11 ± 0.31) × 10<sup>−3</sup> (°C m<sup>−1</sup> yr<sup>−1</sup>) and isothermal layer warming rate is (0.142 ± 0.014) (W m<sup>−2</sup>).
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spelling doaj.art-eb8036dc8e9e47b59d75ab425fcbb2ac2023-11-20T21:28:48ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172020-11-011022818510.3390/app10228185World Ocean Thermocline Weakening and Isothermal Layer WarmingPeter C. Chu0Chenwu Fan1Naval Ocean Analysis and Prediction Laboratory, Department of Oceanography, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA 93943, USANaval Ocean Analysis and Prediction Laboratory, Department of Oceanography, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA 93943, USAThis paper identifies world thermocline weakening and provides an improved estimate of upper ocean warming through replacement of the upper layer with the fixed depth range by the isothermal layer, because the upper ocean isothermal layer (as a whole) exchanges heat with the atmosphere and the deep layer. Thermocline gradient, heat flux across the air–ocean interface, and horizontal heat advection determine the heat stored in the isothermal layer. Among the three processes, the effect of the thermocline gradient clearly shows up when we use the isothermal layer heat content, but it is otherwise when we use the heat content with the fixed depth ranges such as 0–300 m, 0–400 m, 0–700 m, 0–750 m, and 0–2000 m. A strong thermocline gradient exhibits the downward heat transfer from the isothermal layer (non-polar regions), makes the isothermal layer thin, and causes less heat to be stored in it. On the other hand, a weak thermocline gradient makes the isothermal layer thick, and causes more heat to be stored in it. In addition, the uncertainty in estimating upper ocean heat content and warming trends using uncertain fixed depth ranges (0–300 m, 0–400 m, 0–700 m, 0–750 m, or 0–2000 m) will be eliminated by using the isothermal layer. The isothermal layer heat content with the monthly climatology removed (i.e., relative isothermal layer heat content) is calculated for an individual observed temperature profile from three open datasets. The calculated 1,111,647 pairs of (thermocline gradient, relative isothermal layer heat content) worldwide show long-term decreasing of the thermocline gradient and increasing of isothermal layer heat content in the global as well as regional oceans. The global ocean thermocline weakening rate is (−2.11 ± 0.31) × 10<sup>−3</sup> (°C m<sup>−1</sup> yr<sup>−1</sup>) and isothermal layer warming rate is (0.142 ± 0.014) (W m<sup>−2</sup>).https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/22/8185isothermal layerthermoclineisothermal layer heat contentisothermal layer warmingthermocline gradientthermocline weakening
spellingShingle Peter C. Chu
Chenwu Fan
World Ocean Thermocline Weakening and Isothermal Layer Warming
Applied Sciences
isothermal layer
thermocline
isothermal layer heat content
isothermal layer warming
thermocline gradient
thermocline weakening
title World Ocean Thermocline Weakening and Isothermal Layer Warming
title_full World Ocean Thermocline Weakening and Isothermal Layer Warming
title_fullStr World Ocean Thermocline Weakening and Isothermal Layer Warming
title_full_unstemmed World Ocean Thermocline Weakening and Isothermal Layer Warming
title_short World Ocean Thermocline Weakening and Isothermal Layer Warming
title_sort world ocean thermocline weakening and isothermal layer warming
topic isothermal layer
thermocline
isothermal layer heat content
isothermal layer warming
thermocline gradient
thermocline weakening
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/22/8185
work_keys_str_mv AT petercchu worldoceanthermoclineweakeningandisothermallayerwarming
AT chenwufan worldoceanthermoclineweakeningandisothermallayerwarming