Prediction of Survival Status of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Based on Improved Fully Convolutional Networks Model

Objective  To explore the model of using after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) imaging images of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) to predict whether pathological complete response (pCR) is achieved, thereby assisting physicians to develop a personalized plan.  Methods  Patients with LARC t...

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Main Authors: WANG Fang, PANG Xiaolin, FAN Xinjuan
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2022-07-01
Series:Xiehe Yixue Zazhi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://xhyxzz.pumch.cn/en/article/doi/10.12290/xhyxzz.2022-0159
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author WANG Fang
PANG Xiaolin
FAN Xinjuan
author_facet WANG Fang
PANG Xiaolin
FAN Xinjuan
author_sort WANG Fang
collection DOAJ
description Objective  To explore the model of using after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) imaging images of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) to predict whether pathological complete response (pCR) is achieved, thereby assisting physicians to develop a personalized plan.  Methods  Patients with LARC treated with nCRT at the Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from June 2013 to December 2018 were retrospectively included, and the treatment outcome was evaluated by total rectal mesenteric resection histopathology. The patients were divided into 2 data sets, Data A and Data B, according to the order of hospitalization time in a ratio of 1:2. Data A was used for semantic segmentation model training, and Data B was randomly divided into training and validation sets in the ratio of 7:3, which were used for pCR prediction model training and validation, respectively. The T2-weighted MRI images of Data A were collected, and the improved fully convolutional networks(FCN) model was used to semantically segment the tumor region, establish the semantic segmentation model and extract the image features in the final convolutional layer. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was used to filter the extracted image features and construct a support vector machine (SVM) classifier that could predict the pCR state. The performance of the prediction model was trained on the basis of the Data B training set and further validated in the Data B validation set.  Results  A total of 304 patients with LARC who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were enrolled, 82 patients reached pCR after nCRT, while 222 patients did not reach pCR (non-pCR). Among them, 103 patients from June 2013 to November 2015 were in Data A and 201 patients from December 2015 to December 2018 were in Data B. In Data B, 140 patients were in the training set and 61 patients in the validation set. The improved FCN model had a Dice value of 0.79(95% CI: 0.65-0.81), a sensitivity of 80%(95% CI: 77%-83%), and a specificity of 72%(95% CI: 64%-85%). A total of 512 image features in the final convolutional layer were extracted by the semantic segmentation model, and 7 were retained after LASSO regression screening for pCR state prediction. The area under the curve of the prediction model was 0.65(95% CI: 0.61-0.71) in the Data B training set and 0.69(95% CI: 0.59-0.74) in the Data B validation set for predicting pCR.  Conclusions  The improved FCN model proposed in this study has high accuracy for semantic segmentation of MRI images. The prediction model constructed based on this method is feasible to predict pCR status of LARC patients after receiving nCRT treatment.
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spelling doaj.art-ebeca4aa28684fd4b813810f7b837ac22022-12-22T00:54:30ZzhoEditorial Office of Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College HospitalXiehe Yixue Zazhi1674-90812022-07-0113460561210.12290/xhyxzz.2022-0159Prediction of Survival Status of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Based on Improved Fully Convolutional Networks ModelWANG Fang0PANG XiaolinFAN XinjuanGuangdong Institute of Gastroenterology, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Colorectal and Pelvic Floor Diseases, Supported by National Key Clinical Discipline, Guangzhou 510655, ChinaObjective  To explore the model of using after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) imaging images of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) to predict whether pathological complete response (pCR) is achieved, thereby assisting physicians to develop a personalized plan.  Methods  Patients with LARC treated with nCRT at the Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from June 2013 to December 2018 were retrospectively included, and the treatment outcome was evaluated by total rectal mesenteric resection histopathology. The patients were divided into 2 data sets, Data A and Data B, according to the order of hospitalization time in a ratio of 1:2. Data A was used for semantic segmentation model training, and Data B was randomly divided into training and validation sets in the ratio of 7:3, which were used for pCR prediction model training and validation, respectively. The T2-weighted MRI images of Data A were collected, and the improved fully convolutional networks(FCN) model was used to semantically segment the tumor region, establish the semantic segmentation model and extract the image features in the final convolutional layer. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was used to filter the extracted image features and construct a support vector machine (SVM) classifier that could predict the pCR state. The performance of the prediction model was trained on the basis of the Data B training set and further validated in the Data B validation set.  Results  A total of 304 patients with LARC who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were enrolled, 82 patients reached pCR after nCRT, while 222 patients did not reach pCR (non-pCR). Among them, 103 patients from June 2013 to November 2015 were in Data A and 201 patients from December 2015 to December 2018 were in Data B. In Data B, 140 patients were in the training set and 61 patients in the validation set. The improved FCN model had a Dice value of 0.79(95% CI: 0.65-0.81), a sensitivity of 80%(95% CI: 77%-83%), and a specificity of 72%(95% CI: 64%-85%). A total of 512 image features in the final convolutional layer were extracted by the semantic segmentation model, and 7 were retained after LASSO regression screening for pCR state prediction. The area under the curve of the prediction model was 0.65(95% CI: 0.61-0.71) in the Data B training set and 0.69(95% CI: 0.59-0.74) in the Data B validation set for predicting pCR.  Conclusions  The improved FCN model proposed in this study has high accuracy for semantic segmentation of MRI images. The prediction model constructed based on this method is feasible to predict pCR status of LARC patients after receiving nCRT treatment.https://xhyxzz.pumch.cn/en/article/doi/10.12290/xhyxzz.2022-0159locally advanced rectal cancerneoadjuvant chemoradiotherapypathological complete responsedeep learning
spellingShingle WANG Fang
PANG Xiaolin
FAN Xinjuan
Prediction of Survival Status of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Based on Improved Fully Convolutional Networks Model
Xiehe Yixue Zazhi
locally advanced rectal cancer
neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy
pathological complete response
deep learning
title Prediction of Survival Status of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Based on Improved Fully Convolutional Networks Model
title_full Prediction of Survival Status of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Based on Improved Fully Convolutional Networks Model
title_fullStr Prediction of Survival Status of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Based on Improved Fully Convolutional Networks Model
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Survival Status of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Based on Improved Fully Convolutional Networks Model
title_short Prediction of Survival Status of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Based on Improved Fully Convolutional Networks Model
title_sort prediction of survival status of locally advanced rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy based on improved fully convolutional networks model
topic locally advanced rectal cancer
neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy
pathological complete response
deep learning
url https://xhyxzz.pumch.cn/en/article/doi/10.12290/xhyxzz.2022-0159
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AT pangxiaolin predictionofsurvivalstatusoflocallyadvancedrectalcancerafterneoadjuvantchemoradiotherapybasedonimprovedfullyconvolutionalnetworksmodel
AT fanxinjuan predictionofsurvivalstatusoflocallyadvancedrectalcancerafterneoadjuvantchemoradiotherapybasedonimprovedfullyconvolutionalnetworksmodel